Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Archer Aviation Inc stock $2.00, price $4.44, that is 55.0% below the price, quality 32 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.63 – $13.64 · fair‑value band $1.32 – $2.50 · the $4.44 price screens above the $2.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
Follow Archer Aviation in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Archer Aviation is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Archer Aviation Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops aircraft and related technologies and services for commercial and defense sectors in the United States and internationally.
Show moreShow less
The company offers electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air taxi operations. Archer Aviation Inc. is based in San Jose, California.
Stock analysis
Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR) currently trades at $4.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.00, 55% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $1.32 (bear) to $2.50 (bull), the price of $4.44 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Archer Aviation Inc reported revenue of $300K in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$618M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $3.5B Mid · EPS (TTM) $−1.09 · Return on equity −44.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −53.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −5,514% · Free cash flow −$512M · Net cash $979M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −55%, ACHR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$1.32Fair Value $2.00Bull$2.50
Price $4.44 · Downside -55.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham)$1.55$2.35$2.9454
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$1.55$2.35$2.9454
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
In the last 6 months, 5 officers or directors sold shares worth $3.2M and none bought.
SaleBenjamin LyonPresident, Aircraft OEM2× since Aug 17, 2026: 95,547 shares, avg. $5.94$568,004Sep 21, 2026
SaleEric LentellChief Strategy Officer8× since Nov 17, 2025: 431,591 shares, avg. $6.15$2.7MAug 20, 2026
SalePriya GuptaInterim CFO5× since Nov 17, 2025: 42,789 shares, avg. $6.43$275,151Aug 17, 2026
SaleHarsh RungtaChief Accounting Officer3× since Mar 5, 2026: 49,120 shares, avg. $6.32$310,290Aug 17, 2026
SaleThomas Paul MunizCHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER5× since Nov 17, 2025: 456,532 shares, avg. $6.94$3.2MMay 18, 2026
SaleTosha PerkinsCHIEF ADMINISTRATIVE OFFICER3× since Nov 17, 2025: 110,753 shares, avg. $6.86$759,753Mar 13, 2026
Plus 13 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Early progress on acquisitions offers a path to an integrated eVTOL and autonomy platform, but the business still lacks any meaningful revenue or profitability.
Main risk: Integration of the newly acquired defense and autonomy assets risks raising costs and delaying the path to scaled flight operations and revenue.
Archer is advancing its acquisition of Boeing’s Wisk Aero, Insitu and SkyGrid units after the Hart-Scott-Rodino waiting period expired in September. The move aims to build an end-to-end physical AI platform combining eVTOL with autonomy and defense technologies. Yet the company still faces the core challenge of scaling flight operations while integrating new assets. Will the added capabilities accelerate real revenue generation or mainly raise integration costs and execution risks?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−55.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−25.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.58× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 65
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 19
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.00 versus a price of $4.44, about 55% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ACHR?
Our model-based fair value for Archer Aviation Inc is $2.00 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.44.
What is the quality score of ACHR?
Archer Aviation Inc has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.00 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.32, optimistic scenario $2.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Archer Aviation Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.00, about 55% lower versus a price of $4.44 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.32, optimistic scenario $2.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Archer Aviation Inc it is $2.00 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $4.44. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Archer Aviation Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, ACHR trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.44, fair value $2.00, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACHR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.44); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.00). For Archer Aviation Inc the two are $2.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Archer Aviation Inc worth?
The market values Archer Aviation Inc at about $3.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $4.44; our models calculate a fair value of $2.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACHR?
Our models span a range for Archer Aviation Inc: cautious scenario $1.32, base $2.00, optimistic $2.50 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $4.44). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Archer Aviation Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −44.5%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACHR from its 52-week high?
Archer Aviation Inc trades at $4.44, about 51% below its 52-week high of $9.01 and 17% above the low of $3.80 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Archer Aviation Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Archer Aviation Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $4.44, calculated fair value $2.00 (−55%), Quality Score 32/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACHR calculated?
We run Archer Aviation Inc through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $2.00 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Archer Aviation Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $4.44. Our model-based fair value is $2.00, about 55% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Archer Aviation Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.32 to $2.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Archer Aviation Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR)?
The market capitalisation of Archer Aviation Inc is $3.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR)?
Earnings per share at Archer Aviation Inc are $−1.09. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Archer Aviation Inc is −44.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Archer Aviation Inc is −53.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR)?
The operating margin of Archer Aviation Inc is −5,514% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR) generate?
The free cash flow of Archer Aviation Inc is −$512M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR) hold?
Archer Aviation Inc holds more cash than debt, $979M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Archer Aviation Inc in the live analysis
One click puts Archer Aviation Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 7, 2026
