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ACNB Corporation (ACNB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $574M

AC ACNB Corporation logo ACNB Corporation ACNB · US
Price$64.38
Fair Value$40.09
Upside-37.7%
Quality45/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 32.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.53% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $30.06 – $50.12 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +10.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 38% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($50.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$65.43 $22.99 Fair Value $40.09 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $22.99 – $65.43 · fair‑value band $30.06 – $50.12 · the $64.38 price screens above the $40.09 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

ACNB Corporation (ACNB) currently trades at $64.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $40.09, implying the stock looks roughly 37.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, ACNB Corporation generated revenue of $159M at a net margin of 32.1%. Revenue grew 42.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.6%. Net debt stands at $308M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $30.06 (bear case) to $50.12 (bull case); at $64.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -38%, ACNB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $33.00 $35.11 $38.36 76
Gordon GGM $10.94 $19.72 $27.14 70
P/E Multiple $35.37 $47.17 $58.96 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $10.94 $19.72 $27.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage $10.94 $18.01 $21.06 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $35.37 $47.17 $58.96 63
P/B Multiple $43.18 $57.58 $71.97 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $20.56 $27.55 $41.13 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $33.00 $35.11 $38.36 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($47.17) versus Dividend Discount ($18.01). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $159M
Revenue growth (YoY) +42.7%
Net margin 32.1%
Return on equity 12.6%
Free cash flow $52.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.3
More key figures
Operating margin 45.7%
EPS (TTM) $4.95
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +34.8%
Net debt $308M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 10
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ACNB Corporation, a financial holding company, offers banking, insurance, and financial services to individual, business, and government customers in the United States. The company offers checking, savings, and money market deposit accounts, as well as time deposits and debit cards.

Full company description

ACNB Corporation, a financial holding company, offers banking, insurance, and financial services to individual, business, and government customers in the United States. The company offers checking, savings, and money market deposit accounts, as well as time deposits and debit cards. It also provides commercial lending products, such as commercial mortgages, real estate development and construction loans, accounts receivable and inventory financing, and agricultural and governmental loans; consumer lending products, including home equity loans and lines of credit, automobile and recreational vehicle loans, manufactured housing loans, and personal lines of credit; and mortgage lending programs that include personal residential mortgages, residential construction loans, and investment mortgage loans. In addition, the company offers other services that are related to testamentary trusts, life insurance trusts, charitable, guardianships, powers of attorney, custodial accounts, investment management and advisory accounts, wealth management, and retail brokerage and services. Further, the company offers property and casualty, health, life, and disability insurance products to commercial and personal clients; online, telephone, and mobile banking; as well as automated teller machine services. ACNB Corporation was founded in 1857 and is headquartered in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ACNB Corporation reported revenue of $170M in FY2025 versus $101M in FY2021, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was $37.1M in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$170M
Latest YoY
+28.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+16.5%
Revenue +14.0%/yr
FY21 $101M
FY22 $108M
FY23 $115M
FY24 $132M
FY25 $170M
Net income +7.4%/yr
FY21 $27.8M
FY22 $35.8M
FY23 $31.7M
FY24 $31.8M
FY25 $37.1M

ACNB screens 38% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ACNB Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACNB

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −38% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 46% · Above median
Revenue growth 43% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.61× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.37× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.61× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 15.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 50 · sector 41
HEALTH 70 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 51 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ACNB Corporation (ACNB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $40.09 versus a price of $64.38, about −38% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ACNB?
Our model-based fair value for ACNB Corporation is $40.09 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $64.38.
What is the quality score of ACNB?
ACNB Corporation has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ACNB Corporation (ACNB)?
ACNB Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $159M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ACNB?
The net profit margin of ACNB Corporation is about 32.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ACNB Corporation pay a dividend?
ACNB Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.53% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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