Autodesk Inc (ADSK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Autodesk Inc stock $296, price $269, upside +10.0%, quality 77 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Autodesk Inc
ADSK · USThe stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $164.31 – $342.27 · fair‑value band $222.07 – $370.10 · the $269.16 price screens below the $296.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Company profile
Autodesk, Inc. engages in the provision of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions worldwide.
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The company offers AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution; Autodesk Build, a toolset for managing, sharing, and accessing project documents for streamlined workflows between the office, trailer, and jobsite; Revit, a software built for building information modeling to help professionals design, build, and maintain energy-efficient buildings; Autodesk BIM Collaborate Pro, cloud-based design collaboration and design management software; BuildingConnected, a SaaS preconstruction solution; and Tandem, a cloud-based platform that transforms the built asset lifecycle.
It also provides AutoCAD software, a customizable and extensible CAD application for professional design, drafting, detailing, and visualization; AutoCAD LT, a drafting and detailing software; Fusion, a 3D CAD, computer-aided manufacturing, and computer-aided engineering tool; Inventor, a software solution that offers a set of tools for 3D mechanical design, simulation, analysis, tooling, visualization, and documentation; product design and manufacturing collection tools; and Vault, a data management software for managing data in one central location, accelerate design processes, and streamline internal/external collaboration.
The company offers Flow Production Tracking, a cloud-based production management software; Maya software that offers 3D modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing solutions for film and video artists, game developers, and design visualization professionals; Media and Entertainment Collection that offers end-to-end creative tools for entertainment creation; and 3ds Max software, which provides 3D modeling, animation, and rendering solutions.
It sells its products and services through a network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Stock analysis
Autodesk Inc (ADSK) currently trades at $269.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $296.08, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $191.75 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the $269.16 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $41.33, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $222.07 (bear) to $370.10 (bull), the price of $269.16 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Autodesk Inc reported revenue of $7.2B in FY2026 versus $4.4B in FY2022, a compound +13.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2026, compounding +22.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $57.9B Large · P/E ratio 34.9 · P/S ratio 7.43 · EPS (TTM) $7.71 · Net margin 21.1% · Return on equity 53.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.2% · Operating margin 29.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 91 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 10%, ADSK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 22 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 4 officers or directors bought shares worth $2.2M, most recently on Jun 23, 2026. Buying cluster
- BuyJohn T CahillDirector2,000 shares at $189.20$378,400Jun 23, 2026
- BuyAndrew AnagnostPresident and CEO, Director2,460 shares at $202.66$498,544Jun 16, 2026
- BuyJanesh MoorjaniEVP, Chief Financial Officer2,500 shares at $197.67$494,175Jun 15, 2026
- BuyStacy J SmithDirector3,435 shares at $231.17$794,054May 29, 2026
Plus 10 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
Watch ADSK, get fair value alerts →
Recent news
- Autodesk extends invitation to join financial results conference call
- What Does Autodesk (ADSK) IDC Leader Status Mean For Its Construction Software Push?
- Autodesk (ADSK) Could Turn AI Disruption Concerns Into an Opportunity, Bell Global Equities Fund Says
Compare Autodesk Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 632 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Revenue growth by industry
- PEG ratio by industry
- PEG screener for stocks with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $246.44 | $463.72 | +88% | vs ADSK |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $222.41 | $342.73 | +54% | vs ADSK |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $68.78 | $101.25 | +47% | vs ADSK |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $354.84 | $459.14 | +29% | vs ADSK |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $102.36 | $112.60 | +10% | vs ADSK |
| SAP SE SAP | €215.75 | €173.59 | −20% | vs ADSK |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $311.43 | $225.48 | −28% | vs ADSK |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $307.14 | $150.40 | −51% | vs ADSK |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | $143.75 | $68.68 | −52% | vs ADSK |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $269.54 | $73.81 | −73% | vs ADSK |
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Key figures of Autodesk Inc
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