EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Advantage Solutions Inc $11.28, price $33.54, upside -66.4%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · US · ISIN US00791N1028

AS Advantage Solutions Inc logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Advantage Solutions Inc

ADV · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $11.28 · Strongly overvalued (−66%)
!Quality 49/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.8% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $11.28 to $36.61
!Weak on future: 29 out of 100
Watch Advantage Solutions Inc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$291.00 $12.55 Fair Value $11.28 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.55 – $291.00 · fair‑value band $11.28 – $36.61 · the $33.54 price screens above the $11.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

Follow Advantage Solutions in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Advantage Solutions is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Advantage Solutions Inc. provides outsourced sales, marketing, merchandising, sampling, and retailer support services to consumer packaged goods manufacturers and retailers in North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe. It operates in three segments: Branded Services, Experiential Services, and Retailer Services.

Show more

Advantage Solutions Inc. provides outsourced sales, marketing, merchandising, sampling, and retailer support services to consumer packaged goods manufacturers and retailers in North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe. It operates in three segments: Branded Services, Experiential Services, and Retailer Services. The Branded Services segment delivers sales, merchandising, and omni-commerce marketing support to branded consumer packaged goods manufacturers, including brokerage services, branded merchandising, and shopper-centric marketing programs across in-store and digital platforms. The Experiential Services segment provides in-store and digital sampling programs, demonstrations, and experiential events designed to drive trial, conversion, and sustained consumer engagement. The Retailer Services segment offers solutions supporting retailers in in-store merchandising execution, private brand strategy and development, retail media, and marketing initiatives, including reset services, category updates, space management, audits, retailer merchandising, advisory services, and agency services for print and digital circulars and targeted advertising. The company serves a diverse client base across grocery, mass, club, retail pharmacy, convenience, and other channels in retail locations. The company was formerly known as Karman Holding Corp. and changed its name to Advantage Solutions Inc. in March 2016. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

Stock analysis

Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV) currently trades at $33.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.28, implying the stock looks roughly 197.4% overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $47.13 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the $33.54 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $27.92, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $11.28 (bear) to $36.61 (bull), the price of $33.54 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Advantage Solutions Inc reported revenue of $3.5B in FY2025 versus $3.6B in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$228M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $501M · P/S ratio 0.14 · EPS (TTM) $−18.63 · Net margin −6.4% · Return on equity −41.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.8% · Operating margin 0.4% · Revenue (TTM) $3.6B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 167% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at −66%, ADV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $11.28 Fair Value $11.28 Bull $36.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $10.44 $47.13 $92.53 74
Growth DCF $12.91 $46.95 $87.38 73
NCAV (Graham) $20.83 $27.92 $41.67 54
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $10.44 $47.13 $92.53 74
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $20.83 $27.92 $41.67 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.91 $46.95 $87.38 73

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when ADV reaches fair value

Put ADV on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 28/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.5% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.1% (2020) → 0.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.6% a year for the price.

ADV screens 197% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

Compare Advantage Solutions Inc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 195 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 3.00× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.91× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 9.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.3× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)29 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 8
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 59

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $328.73 $361.60 +10%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €97.48 €146.36 +50%
Omnicom Group OMC $75.34 $110.54 +47%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥4.75 ¥5.71 +20%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $13.18 $47.32 +259%
Leo Group 002131 ¥4.66 ¥1.17 −75%
JCDecaux SE DEC €25.10 €20.99 −16%
WPP plc WPP $25.71 $41.10 +60%
Magnite, Inc MGNI $24.80 $27.28 +10%
Ströer SE SAX €37.62 €41.69 +11%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Communication Services stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Advantage Solutions Inc · Fair Value
$11.28 −197%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Advantage Solutions Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADV

Frequently asked questions

Is Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.28 versus a price of $33.54, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ADV?
Our model-based fair value for Advantage Solutions Inc is $11.28 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $33.54.
What is the quality score of ADV?
Advantage Solutions Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $11.28 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.28, optimistic scenario $36.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Advantage Solutions Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $11.28, about −66% upside versus a price of $33.54 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $11.28, optimistic scenario $36.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
Advantage Solutions Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Advantage Solutions Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +29.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ADV use?
Our models discount Advantage Solutions Inc at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 2.13, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Advantage Solutions Inc that is +29.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Advantage Solutions Inc grew +2.3 % a year. The price currently implies +29.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Advantage Solutions Inc (+29.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.64 %: that much free cash flow Advantage Solutions Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Advantage Solutions Inc it is $11.28 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $33.54. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Advantage Solutions Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ADV trades above its calculated fair value: price $33.54, fair value $11.28, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ADV?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($33.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($11.28). For Advantage Solutions Inc the two are $22.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Advantage Solutions Inc worth?
The market values Advantage Solutions Inc at about $501M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $33.54; our models calculate a fair value of $11.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ADV?
Our models span a range for Advantage Solutions Inc: cautious scenario $11.28, base $11.28, optimistic $36.61 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $33.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Advantage Solutions Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −41.5%, debt of 3.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ADV from its 52-week high?
Advantage Solutions Inc trades at $33.54, about 28% below its 52-week high of $46.82 and 167% above the low of $12.55 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $11.28 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Advantage Solutions Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Advantage Solutions Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $33.54, calculated fair value $11.28 (−66%), Quality Score 49/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ADV calculated?
We run Advantage Solutions Inc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $11.28, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Advantage Solutions Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $33.54. Our model-based fair value is $11.28, about −66% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Advantage Solutions Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($11.28 to $36.61). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Advantage Solutions Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
The market capitalisation of Advantage Solutions Inc is $501M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Advantage Solutions Inc is 0.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
Earnings per share at Advantage Solutions Inc are $−18.63. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
The net margin of Advantage Solutions Inc is −6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Advantage Solutions Inc is −41.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Advantage Solutions Inc is −7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
The operating margin of Advantage Solutions Inc is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
Revenue at Advantage Solutions Inc is growing +5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
Earnings per share at Advantage Solutions Inc are growing −5.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV) hold?
Advantage Solutions Inc holds more cash than debt, $228M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Advantage Solutions Inc in the live analysis

One click puts Advantage Solutions Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.