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Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $501M

AS Advantage Solutions Inc logo Advantage Solutions Inc ADV · US
Price$28.17
Fair Value$36.41
Upside+29.3%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -6.8% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: High Range $31.59 – $41.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $37.94 to $36.41 (−4.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −28.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 29% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($31.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$324.00 $12.55 Fair Value $36.41 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.55 – $324.00 · fair‑value band $31.59 – $41.23 · the $28.17 price screens below the $36.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV) currently trades at $28.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.41, implying the stock looks roughly 29.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Advantage Solutions Inc generated revenue of $3.6B at a net margin of -6.8%. Revenue grew 5.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -41.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $228M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $31.59 (bear case) to $41.23 (bull case); at $28.17, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 130% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at 29%, ADV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $37.75 $52.14 $65.35 70
DDM Multi-Stage $37.75 $50.65 $63.61 61
NCAV (Graham) $20.83 $27.92 $41.67 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $37.75 $52.14 $65.35 70
DDM Multi-Stage $37.75 $50.65 $63.61 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $20.83 $27.92 $41.67 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($50.65) versus Asset-Based ($27.92). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.8%
Net margin -6.8%
Return on equity -41.5%
Free cash flow $55.1M FY2025
Operating margin 0.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-18.63
EPS growth (YoY) -5.6%
Net cash $228M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Advantage Solutions Inc. provides outsourced sales, marketing, merchandising, sampling, and retailer support services to consumer packaged goods manufacturers and retailers in North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe. It operates in three segments: Branded Services, Experiential Services, and Retailer Services.

Full company description

Advantage Solutions Inc. provides outsourced sales, marketing, merchandising, sampling, and retailer support services to consumer packaged goods manufacturers and retailers in North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe. It operates in three segments: Branded Services, Experiential Services, and Retailer Services. The Branded Services segment delivers sales, merchandising, and omni-commerce marketing support to branded consumer packaged goods manufacturers, including brokerage services, branded merchandising, and shopper-centric marketing programs across in-store and digital platforms. The Experiential Services segment provides in-store and digital sampling programs, demonstrations, and experiential events designed to drive trial, conversion, and sustained consumer engagement. The Retailer Services segment offers solutions supporting retailers in in-store merchandising execution, private brand strategy and development, retail media, and marketing initiatives, including reset services, category updates, space management, audits, retailer merchandising, advisory services, and agency services for print and digital circulars and targeted advertising. The company serves a diverse client base across grocery, mass, club, retail pharmacy, convenience, and other channels in retail locations. The company was formerly known as Karman Holding Corp. and changed its name to Advantage Solutions Inc. in March 2016. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Advantage Solutions Inc reported revenue of $3.5B in FY2025 versus $3.6B in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$228M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 28/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.5B
Latest YoY
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+6.8%
Revenue −0.4%/yr
FY21 $3.6B
FY22 $3.6B
FY23 $3.9B
FY24 $3.6B
FY25 $3.5B
Net income
FY21 $54.5M
FY22 −$1.4B
FY23 −$63.3M
FY24 −$327M
FY25 −$228M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Advantage Solutions Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADV

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +29% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Debt / equity 3.00× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.91× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 72 · sector 19
FUTURE 29 · sector 8
PAST 0 · sector 7
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $506.98 $181.37 -64%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €87.16 €146.36 +68%
Omnicom Group OMC $80.75 $99.84 +24%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.00 ¥4.08 -18%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $19.37 $20.76 +7%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.81 ¥1.50 -89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €21.28 €20.99 -1%
WPP plc WPP $18.13 $18.56 +2%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥28.85 ¥5.62 -81%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.15 HK$6.43 -42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $36.41 versus a price of $28.17, about +29% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ADV?
Our model-based fair value for Advantage Solutions Inc is $36.41 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.17.
What is the quality score of ADV?
Advantage Solutions Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV)?
Advantage Solutions Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ADV?
The net profit margin of Advantage Solutions Inc is about -6.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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