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Aegis Logistics Limited (AEGISLOG) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · IN · Market cap ₹399B

AL Aegis Logistics Limited AEGISLOG · NSE
Price₹1,265
Fair Value₹310.51
Upside-75.4%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.82% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹232.89 – ₹434.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price −2.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹434.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹232.89 to ₹434.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,400 ₹160.63 Fair Value ₹310.51 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹160.63 – ₹1,400 · fair‑value band ₹232.89 – ₹434.36 · the ₹1,265 price screens above the ₹310.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Aegis Logistics Limited (AEGISLOG) currently trades at ₹1,265, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹310.51, implying the stock looks roughly 75.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Aegis Logistics Limited generated revenue of ₹83.3B at a net margin of 10.8%. Revenue grew 52.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹446M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹232.89 (bear case) to ₹434.36 (bull case); at ₹1,265, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -75%, AEGISLOG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹658.32 ₹1,229 ₹2,369 80
Residual Income ₹177.30 ₹230.37 ₹631.24 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹418.02 ₹667.14 ₹1,037 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹683.70 ₹1,100 ₹2,329 38
Owner Earnings ₹240.73 ₹416.84 ₹803.06 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹418.02 ₹632.81 ₹1,043 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹398.15 ₹589.77 ₹932.36 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹457.71 ₹770.73 ₹1,164 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹484.47 ₹787.12 ₹1,121 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹478.70 ₹748.60 ₹1,204 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹521.62 ₹864.06 ₹1,429 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹174.00 ₹1,213 ₹1,703 54
Lynch FV ₹360.74 ₹515.35 ₹669.95 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹360.74 ₹515.35 ₹669.95 46
EPV ₹373.41 ₹419.97 ₹461.35 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹103.30 ₹225.53 ₹379.47 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹103.30 ₹184.75 ₹235.04 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹268.68 ₹358.24 ₹447.80 63
P/S Multiple ₹213.67 ₹284.90 ₹356.12 58
P/B Multiple ₹232.89 ₹310.51 ₹388.14 55
EV/EBIT ₹377.25 ₹466.46 ₹555.68 53
EV/EBITDA ₹295.75 ₹357.80 ₹419.84 54
EV/Revenue ₹309.05 ₹394.51 ₹479.98 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹86.25 ₹115.58 ₹172.51 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹658.32 ₹1,229 ₹2,369 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹418.02 ₹667.14 ₹1,037 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹177.30 ₹230.37 ₹631.24 76
ROIC Compounder ₹425.36 ₹551.26 ₹721.37 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹422.09 ₹602.99 ₹783.88 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹748.60) versus Asset-Based (₹115.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹83.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +52.2%
Net margin 10.8%
Return on equity 15.3%
Free cash flow ₹12.1B FY2026
P/E ratio 44.5
More key figures
Operating margin 22.0%
EPS (TTM) ₹25.55
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +45.8%
Net cash ₹446M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 89

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 19
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Aegis Logistics Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil, gas, and chemical logistics company primarily in India. The company operates through Liquid Terminal Division and Gas Terminal Division segments.

Full company description

Aegis Logistics Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil, gas, and chemical logistics company primarily in India. The company operates through Liquid Terminal Division and Gas Terminal Division segments. It owns and operates a network of shore based tank farm installations for the handling of bulk liquids, including hazardous chemicals, petroleum products, and petrochemicals for petroleum, oil, petrochemical, chemical, and vegetable oil industries. The company also offers supply chain management services, including product planning, sourcing, shipping, receipt, storage, and dispatch; product handling services; storage services for other related gases, such as Butene-1, Butadiene, Propylene, VCM, etc.; and energy solution to industries for their various applications, as well as supplies LPG, propane, and butane. In addition, it provides fuel transportation services; and LPG installation and interfuel conversion services for home, hotels, and industries, as well as offers LPG appliances, such as cooktops, pressure cooker, cookware, LPG iron-GasXpress, and LPG accessories. The company was incorporated in 1956 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Aegis Logistics Limited reported revenue of ₹83.3B in FY2026 versus ₹46.3B in FY2022, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹9.0B in FY2026, compounding +25.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹83.3B
Latest YoY
+23.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.4%
Revenue +15.8%/yr
FY22 ₹46.3B
FY23 ₹86.3B
FY24 ₹70.5B
FY25 ₹67.6B
FY26 ₹83.3B
Net income +25.9%/yr
FY22 ₹3.6B
FY23 ₹4.6B
FY24 ₹5.7B
FY25 ₹6.6B
FY26 ₹9.0B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +22.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.6 pp

of which total revenue +9.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.6 pp

EBIT margin +8.7 pp
Tax rate −0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +5.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

AEGISLOG screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aegis Logistics Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AEGISLOG

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 113 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 52% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.59× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.79× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 24.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 100 · sector 15
PAST 61 · sector 33
HEALTH 97 · sector 80
DIVIDEND 16 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,293 ₹835.66 -35%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $309.65 $127.32 -59%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $283.74 $135.80 -52%
Phillips 66 PSX $196.16 $101.04 -48%
Neste Oyj NESTE €31.10 €4.07 -87%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 81.30 TWD 16.68 TWD -79%
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹138.96 ₹417.35 +200%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $88.59 $48.90 -45%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹315.55 ₹846.81 +168%
SK Innovation Co 096770 121,400 KRW 58,865 KRW -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aegis Logistics Limited (AEGISLOG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹310.51 versus a price of ₹1,265, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AEGISLOG?
Our model-based fair value for Aegis Logistics Limited is ₹310.51 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1,265.
What is the quality score of AEGISLOG?
Aegis Logistics Limited has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Aegis Logistics Limited (AEGISLOG)?
Aegis Logistics Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹83.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AEGISLOG?
The net profit margin of Aegis Logistics Limited is about 10.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Aegis Logistics Limited pay a dividend?
Aegis Logistics Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.82% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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