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AEON Financial Service Co (AEOJF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $2.1B

AF AEON Financial Service Co logo AEON Financial Service Co AEOJF · US
Price$8.57
Fair Value$10.47
Upside+22.2%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.1% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
4.22% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range $10.39 – $10.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $10.64 to $10.47 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($10.39). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • The models converge in a tight band ($10.39 to $10.47), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$19.05 $7.58 Fair Value $10.47 Oct 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.58 – $19.05 · fair‑value band $10.39 – $10.47 · the $8.57 price screens below the $10.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

AEON Financial Service Co (AEOJF) currently trades at $8.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.47, implying the stock looks roughly 22.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, AEON Financial Service Co generated revenue of $511B at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue grew 9.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at $728B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.39 (bear case) to $10.47 (bull case); at $8.57, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 22%, AEOJF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $13,196 $19,064 $27,048 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5,866 $7,577 $9,227 74
P/E Multiple $952.58 $1,270 $1,588 63
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $707.56 $1,158 $1,809 31
5Y P/E Exit $5,149 $6,145 $7,055 38
10Y P/E Exit $7,988 $9,524 $11,133 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $664.36 $1,968 $2,604 54
Lynch FV $413.76 $591.09 $768.41 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $952.58 $1,270 $1,588 63
P/B Multiple $1,246 $1,661 $2,076 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1,104 $1,480 $2,209 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $13,196 $19,064 $27,048 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5,866 $7,577 $9,227 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1,640 $1,628 $1,475 61

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($7,577) versus Earnings-Based ($591.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $511B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.9%
Net margin 4.1%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow $267B FY2026
P/E ratio 17.4
More key figures
Operating margin 13.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.5500
Dividend yield 4.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.3%
Net debt $728B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AEON Financial Service Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in Japan. It operates in five segments: Retail, Solutions, China Area, Mekong Area, and Malaysia Area.

Full company description

AEON Financial Service Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in Japan. It operates in five segments: Retail, Solutions, China Area, Mekong Area, and Malaysia Area. The company engages in banking and insurance business; provision of financial services, including database of processing and installment payments, as well as credit cards and loans. It is also involved in bank and business management activities; life insurance sales business; non-life insurance agency business; management, collection and purchase of specified monetary claims, and backup servicing business; and provision of housing related loans, property leases, short-term small amount insurance services, as well as digital solutions for local governments. AEON Financial Service Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

AEON Financial Service Co reported revenue of $471B in FY2026 versus $420B in FY2022, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was $21.1B in FY2026, compounding −8.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$471B
Latest YoY
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+6.6%
Revenue +2.9%/yr
FY22 $420B
FY23 $413B
FY24 $448B
FY25 $491B
FY26 $471B
Net income −8.6%/yr
FY22 $30.2B
FY23 $30.7B
FY24 $20.9B
FY25 $19.5B
FY26 $21.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AEON Financial Service Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AEOJF

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +22% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Below median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.51× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.4× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 63 · sector 35
FUTURE 50 · sector 39
PAST 24 · sector 32
HEALTH 25 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 84 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AEON Financial Service Co (AEOJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.47 versus a price of $8.57, about +22% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AEOJF?
Our model-based fair value for AEON Financial Service Co is $10.47 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.57.
What is the quality score of AEOJF?
AEON Financial Service Co has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AEON Financial Service Co (AEOJF)?
AEON Financial Service Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $511B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AEOJF?
The net profit margin of AEON Financial Service Co is about 4.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does AEON Financial Service Co pay a dividend?
AEON Financial Service Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.22% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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