Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹201.88 – ₹1,357 · fair‑value band ₹308.70 – ₹573.30 · the ₹431.75 price screens below the ₹441.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited manufactures and trades in petrochemicals in India and internationally. It operates through five segments: Ancillary Infra - Bitumen & Allied Products, Petroleum Vessels Operating and Chartering, Petroleum Products, Logistics, and Windmill.
Show more
Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited manufactures and trades in petrochemicals in India and internationally. It operates through five segments: Ancillary Infra - Bitumen & Allied Products, Petroleum Vessels Operating and Chartering, Petroleum Products, Logistics, and Windmill. The company provides various bituminous products, including viscosity grade bitumen and industrial grade bitumen; paving grade bitumen and crumb rubber modified bitumen; polymer modified bitumen, such as ethylene vinyl acetate, ethylene butyl acrylate, ethylene ter polymer, styrene-butadiene styrene, and styrene isoprene styrene; byproducts waterproof materials comprising bitubond, bituplast, bituminous black, bitukote, bituprimer, cable compound, and bitufelt; bitumen insulation materials; and bitumen emulsions. It is involved in the transportation of bulk bitumen and liquefied petroleum gas; rubber processing oil; and generation of power through windmills, as well as imports and stores bitumen. The company was formerly known as Bombay Baroda Roadways (India) Limited and changed its name to Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited in March 2008. Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND) currently trades at ₹431.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹441.00, implying the stock looks roughly 2.1% fairly valued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹1,222 per share, and 19 of the 25 models we run sit above the ₹431.75 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹49.91, and 6 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹308.70 (bear) to ₹573.30 (bull), the price of ₹431.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited reported revenue of ₹16.5B in FY2026 versus ₹16.0B in FY2022, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹436M in FY2026, compounding −9.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹8.1B (≈ $84.9M) · P/E ratio 14.8 · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) ₹29.11 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 2.6% · Return on equity 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at 2%, AGARIND screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹308.70Fair Value ₹441.00Bull ₹573.30
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹11.81 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−31.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.8%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.3%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−22.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−23% vs 0%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 4%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 706 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−51% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹441.00 versus a price of ₹431.75, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AGARIND?
Our model-based fair value for Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited is ₹441.00 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹431.75.
What is the quality score of AGARIND?
Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹441.00 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹308.70, optimistic scenario ₹573.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹441.00, about +2% upside versus a price of ₹431.75 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹308.70, optimistic scenario ₹573.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹16.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited pay a dividend?
Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +21.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.8 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AGARIND use?
Our models discount Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.16, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited that is +21.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited grew +12.8 % a year. The price currently implies +21.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (+21.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.05 %: that much free cash flow Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited it is ₹441.00 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹431.75. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, AGARIND trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹431.75, fair value ₹441.00, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGARIND?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹431.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹441.00). For Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited the two are ₹9.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited worth?
The market values Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited at about ₹8.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹431.75; our models calculate a fair value of ₹441.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGARIND?
Our models span a range for Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited: cautious scenario ₹308.70, base ₹441.00, optimistic ₹573.30 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹431.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AGARIND?
Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹441.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
Balance-sheet figures for Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 6.6%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGARIND from its 52-week high?
Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited trades at ₹431.75, about 57% below its 52-week high of ₹1,006 and 20% above the low of ₹360.00 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹441.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹431.75, calculated fair value ₹441.00 (+2%), Quality Score 32/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGARIND calculated?
We run Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹441.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited currently trades 2 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (₹308.70 to ₹573.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND) come from?
Earnings per share at Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited grew +16.0 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.1 %, EBIT margin +12.6 %, tax rate +2.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
The market capitalisation of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited is ₹8.1B (≈ $84.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited is 0.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
Earnings per share at Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited are ₹29.11 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
The dividend yield of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited is 0.8% (payout 11.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
The net margin of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited is 2.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited is 17.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
The operating margin of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
Revenue at Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited is growing −50.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND)?
Earnings per share at Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited are growing −48.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (AGARIND) carry?
The net debt of Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited is ₹2.7B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited in the live analysis
One click puts Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
