Agarwal Industrial Corporation (AGARIND) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹8.1B

Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• Our model range runs from ₹315.65 (bear) to ₹526.08 (bull), base ₹420.87. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 32/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹147.06 – ₹1,357 · fair‑value band ₹315.65 – ₹526.08 · the ₹507.00 price screens above the ₹420.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Agarwal Industrial Corporation (AGARIND) currently trades at ₹507.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹420.87, implying the stock looks roughly 17.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Agarwal Industrial Corporation generated revenue of ₹16.5B at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue declined 50.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at ₹2.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹315.65 (bear case) to ₹526.08 (bull case); at ₹507.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -17%, AGARIND screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹1,222) versus Dividend Discount (₹49.91). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited manufactures and trades in petrochemicals in India and internationally. It operates through five segments: Ancillary Infra - Bitumen & Allied Products, Petroleum Vessels Operating and Chartering, Petroleum Products, Logistics, and Windmill.

Full company description

Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited manufactures and trades in petrochemicals in India and internationally. It operates through five segments: Ancillary Infra - Bitumen & Allied Products, Petroleum Vessels Operating and Chartering, Petroleum Products, Logistics, and Windmill. The company provides various bituminous products, including viscosity grade bitumen and industrial grade bitumen; paving grade bitumen and crumb rubber modified bitumen; polymer modified bitumen, such as ethylene vinyl acetate, ethylene butyl acrylate, ethylene ter polymer, styrene-butadiene styrene, and styrene isoprene styrene; byproducts waterproof materials comprising bitubond, bituplast, bituminous black, bitukote, bituprimer, cable compound, and bitufelt; bitumen insulation materials; and bitumen emulsions. It is involved in the transportation of bulk bitumen and liquefied petroleum gas; rubber processing oil; and generation of power through windmills, as well as imports and stores bitumen. The company was formerly known as Bombay Baroda Roadways (India) Limited and changed its name to Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited in March 2008. Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Agarwal Industrial Corporation reported revenue of ₹16.5B in FY2026 versus ₹16.0B in FY2022, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹436M in FY2026, compounding −9.1%/yr from FY2022.

AGARIND screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 674 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.