AG Anadolu Grubu Holding (AGHOL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TR · Market cap 86.4B TRY
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price +2.5% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (18.59 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 23.84 TRY – 36.05 TRY · fair‑value band 11.15 TRY – 18.59 TRY · the 35.46 TRY price screens above the 14.87 TRY fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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AG Anadolu Grubu Holding (AGHOL) currently trades at 35.46 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.87 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 58.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, AG Anadolu Grubu Holding generated revenue of 718B TRY at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue grew 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. Net debt stands at 39.5B TRY. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 11.15 TRY (bear case) to 18.59 TRY (bull case); at 35.46 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -58%, AGHOL screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AG Anadolu Grubu Holding A.S., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the retail market in Turkey and internationally. The company operates through Beer, Soft Drinks, Migros, Automotive, Agriculture, Energy, Industry, and Other segments.
Full company description
AG Anadolu Grubu Holding A.S., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the retail market in Turkey and internationally. The company operates through Beer, Soft Drinks, Migros, Automotive, Agriculture, Energy, Industry, and Other segments. It is involved in the production, bottling, distribution, and sales of beer, carbonated, and non-carbonated beverages; sales of food, beverage, and durable goods; distribution and sale of Coca-Cola products; production and sales of Isuzu branded commercial vehicles; wholesale and retail sale of electricity and its capacity; and production and transmission of electricity, and establishment and operation of distribution facilities, as well as IT, internet, and e-commerce service activities. The company also engages in import, distribution, and marketing of Kia motor vehicles and motor vehicle renting; production of industrial engines, sale of tractors, and manufacturing of boats; production of writing instruments under Adel, Johann Faber, and Faber Castell brand names; car rental service activities; insurance agency activities; purchase, sale, and rental of real estate; and purchase and sale of spare parts. In addition, it is involved in online food retailing; e-money legislation; media activities; logistics activities; electric vehicles charging service activities; packaged food production; marketing and distribution company of Anadolu Efes; production, distribution, and sale of fresh fruit; and production and sale of fruit juice concentrate and puree, as well as fresh fruit. The company was formerly known as Yazicilar Holding A.S. and changed its name to AG Anadolu Grubu Holding A.S. in December 2017. AG Anadolu Grubu Holding A.S. was founded in 1950 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AG Anadolu Grubu Holding reported revenue of 707B TRY in FY2025 versus 82.7B TRY in FY2021, a compound +71.0%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5B TRY in FY2025, compounding +18.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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