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Adecoagro S.A (AGRO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.4B

Price$9.37
Fair Value$63.09
Upside+573.3%
Quality91/100
Evidence: Low Range $47.32 – $78.86

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Adecoagro S.A (AGRO) currently trades at $9.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $63.09 — implying the stock looks roughly 573.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 91/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Adecoagro S.A., engages in agricultural and agro-industrial activities in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay. The company operates through three segments: Sugar, Ethanol and Energy, Fertilizers and Farming. The company is involved in the production of a range of agricultural commodities, including soybean, corn, wheat, peanut, sunflower, cotton, and others; planting, harvesting, processing, and marketing of white, brown, and rough rice; genetic development of seeds; and production of dairy products, such as raw milk, ultra-high temperature milk, powdered milk, semi-hard cheese, cream, cream and cocoa flavored milk, chocolate and fluid milk, and other dairy products. It also generates electricity through burning biogas extracted from effluents produced by its dairy cattle; and provides grain warehousing and conditioning, and handling and drying services. In addition, the company cultivates andharvests sugarcane to produce ethanol, sugar, and bioelectricity; and sells carbon credit…

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Frequently asked questions

Is Adecoagro S.A (AGRO) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $63.09 versus a price of $9.37 — about +573% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AGRO?
Our 21-model fair value for Adecoagro S.A is $63.09 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.37.
What is the quality score of AGRO?
Adecoagro S.A has a Quality Score of 91/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.