Arlandastad Group (AGROUP) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SE · Market cap 2.2B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +1.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range kr 23.33 – kr 73.94 · fair‑value band kr 25.40 – kr 42.33 · the kr 37.00 price screens above the kr 33.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Arlandastad Group (AGROUP) currently trades at kr 37.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 33.86, implying the stock looks roughly 8.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Arlandastad Group generated revenue of 342M SEK at a net margin of 37.0%. Revenue grew 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. Net debt stands at 1.5B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 25.40 (bear case) to kr 42.33 (bull case); at kr 37.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -8%, AGROUP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (kr 48.87) versus Multiples (kr 33.86). Highest evidence: Residual Income (61).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Arlandastad Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development company in Sweden. It operates through Property Improvement; Management of Real Estate; and Operational Activities segments. The company focuses on identifying strategic land areas and developing properties.
Full company description
Arlandastad Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development company in Sweden. It operates through Property Improvement; Management of Real Estate; and Operational Activities segments. The company focuses on identifying strategic land areas and developing properties. It also provides property management, and training for dealers and general agents in the automotive industry. In addition, it conducts event operations; and operates an airport in Skavsta. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Arlandastad, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Arlandastad Group reported revenue of kr 377M in FY2025 versus kr 199M in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was kr 126M in FY2025, compounding −8.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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