Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Arlandastad Group AB SEK 44.24, price SEK 35.40, upside +25.0%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Arlandastad Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development company in Sweden. It operates through Property Improvement; Management of Real Estate; and Operational Activities segments. The company focuses on identifying strategic land areas and developing properties.
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Arlandastad Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development company in Sweden. It operates through Property Improvement; Management of Real Estate; and Operational Activities segments. The company focuses on identifying strategic land areas and developing properties. It also provides property management, and training for dealers and general agents in the automotive industry. In addition, it conducts event operations; and operates an airport in Skavsta. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Arlandastad, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP) currently trades at kr 35.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 44.24, implying the stock looks roughly 20.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of kr 48.26 per share, and 2 of the 4 models we run sit above the kr 35.40 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 33.86, and 2 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 35.81 (bear) to kr 44.24 (bull), the price of kr 35.40 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Arlandastad Group AB reported revenue of 377M SEK in FY2025 versus 199M SEK in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was 126M SEK in FY2025, compounding −8.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.2B SEK (≈ $226M) · P/E ratio 15.4 · P/S ratio 5.14 · EPS (TTM) kr 2.30 · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 33.4% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at 25%, AGROUP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 35.81Fair Value kr 44.24Bull kr 44.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.5507 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−19.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−24.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.578% → 3%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Above median
Fair Value upside+25% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Above median
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)40% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−14% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.30× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arlandastad Group AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGROUP
Frequently asked questions
Is Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 44.24 versus a price of kr 35.40, about +25% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AGROUP?
Our model-based fair value for Arlandastad Group AB is kr 44.24 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 35.40.
What is the quality score of AGROUP?
Arlandastad Group AB has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 44.24 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 35.81, optimistic scenario kr 44.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arlandastad Group AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 44.24, about +25% upside versus a price of kr 35.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 35.81, optimistic scenario kr 44.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
Arlandastad Group AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 345M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Arlandastad Group AB pay a dividend?
Arlandastad Group AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.38% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arlandastad Group AB it is kr 44.24 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 35.40. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arlandastad Group AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AGROUP trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 35.40, fair value kr 44.24, a gap of about +25% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGROUP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 35.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 44.24). For Arlandastad Group AB the two are kr 8.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arlandastad Group AB worth?
The market values Arlandastad Group AB at about 2.2B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 35.40; our models calculate a fair value of kr 44.24 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGROUP?
Our models span a range for Arlandastad Group AB: cautious scenario kr 35.81, base kr 44.24, optimistic kr 44.24 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 35.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AGROUP?
Arlandastad Group AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 44.24 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 16.9 (reported for FY2025: 17.8). Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 6.5, EV/EBITDA 48.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arlandastad Group AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.2%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGROUP from its 52-week high?
Arlandastad Group AB trades at kr 35.40, about 25% below its 52-week high of kr 47.24 and 25% above the low of kr 28.23 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 44.24 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arlandastad Group AB?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arlandastad Group AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 35.40, calculated fair value kr 44.24 (+25%), Quality Score 47/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGROUP calculated?
We run Arlandastad Group AB through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 44.24, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Arlandastad Group AB currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 35.40. Our model-based fair value is kr 44.24, about +25% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arlandastad Group AB right now?
Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Arlandastad Group AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
The market capitalisation of Arlandastad Group AB is 2.2B SEK (≈ $226M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arlandastad Group AB is 5.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
Earnings per share at Arlandastad Group AB are kr 2.30 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
The dividend yield of Arlandastad Group AB is 4.4% (payout 67.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
The net margin of Arlandastad Group AB is 33.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arlandastad Group AB is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arlandastad Group AB is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
The operating margin of Arlandastad Group AB is −14.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
Revenue at Arlandastad Group AB is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP)?
Earnings per share at Arlandastad Group AB are growing −93.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP) generate?
The free cash flow of Arlandastad Group AB is −205M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arlandastad Group AB (AGROUP) carry?
The net debt of Arlandastad Group AB is 1.5B SEK (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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