Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. $0.01, price $0.01, upside +9.5%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0070 – $9.00 · fair‑value band $0.0104 – $0.0115 · the $0.0105 price screens below the $0.0115 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Ameriguard Security Services, Inc. engages in providing guard services to governmental, quasi-governmental, and commercial property management sectors.
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Ameriguard Security Services, Inc. engages in providing guard services to governmental, quasi-governmental, and commercial property management sectors. Its guard services, including armed and unarmed uniformed security personnel for access control, mobile patrols, traffic control, security console/system operators, fire safety directors, communication, reception, concierge, and front desk/doorman operations. The company was formerly known as Health Revenue Assurance Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ameriguard Security Services, Inc. in March 2022. Ameriguard Security Services, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is based in Fresno, California.
Stock analysis
Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS) currently trades at $0.0105, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0115, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.0700 per share, and 5 of the 5 models we run sit above the $0.0105 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0200, and 0 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0104 (bear) to $0.0115 (bull), the price of $0.0105 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Ameriguard Security Services Inc. reported revenue of $23.5M in FY2025 versus $22.4M in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$488K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.0M · P/S ratio 0.05 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.1% · Operating margin −22.5% · Revenue (TTM) $19.8M · Revenue growth (YoY) −52.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 10%, AGSS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0104Fair Value $0.0115Bull $0.0115
Price $0.0105 · Upside +9.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
’11
’12
’13
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.1% (2021) → 1.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+9.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−10.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−22.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−52.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.05× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)46· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 41
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 38
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ameriguard Security Services Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGSS
Frequently asked questions
Is Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0115 versus a price of $0.0105, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AGSS?
Our model-based fair value for Ameriguard Security Services Inc. is $0.0115 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0105.
What is the quality score of AGSS?
Ameriguard Security Services Inc. has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0115 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0104, optimistic scenario $0.0115. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ameriguard Security Services Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0115, about +10% upside versus a price of $0.0105 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0104, optimistic scenario $0.0115. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS)?
Ameriguard Security Services Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $19.8M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Ameriguard Security Services Inc. pay a dividend?
Ameriguard Security Services Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.45% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ameriguard Security Services Inc. it is $0.0115 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $0.0105. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ameriguard Security Services Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, AGSS trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0105, fair value $0.0115, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGSS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0105); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0115). For Ameriguard Security Services Inc. the two are $0.0010 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ameriguard Security Services Inc. worth?
The market values Ameriguard Security Services Inc. at about $1.0M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $0.0105; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0115 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGSS?
Our models span a range for Ameriguard Security Services Inc.: cautious scenario $0.0104, base $0.0115, optimistic $0.0115 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $0.0105). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (as of Oct 4, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGSS from its 52-week high?
Ameriguard Security Services Inc. trades at $0.0105, about 72% below its 52-week high of $0.0377 and at the low of $0.0105 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0115 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ameriguard Security Services Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, ADT Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ameriguard Security Services Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $0.0105, calculated fair value $0.0115 (+10%), Quality Score 41/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGSS calculated?
We run Ameriguard Security Services Inc. through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0115, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ameriguard Security Services Inc. currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0105. Our model-based fair value is $0.0115, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ameriguard Security Services Inc. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0104 to $0.0115), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Ameriguard Security Services Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS)?
The market capitalisation of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. is $1.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. is 0.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS)?
The dividend yield of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS)?
The net margin of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. is −2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. is −13.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS)?
The operating margin of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. is −22.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS)?
Revenue at Ameriguard Security Services Inc. is growing −52.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS) generate?
The free cash flow of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. is −$582K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ameriguard Security Services Inc. (AGSS) carry?
The net debt of Ameriguard Security Services Inc. is $6.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 4, 2026