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AirIQ Inc (AILQF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of AirIQ Inc $0.12, price $0.37, upside -67.6%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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AI
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
AirIQ Inc
AILQF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $0.1200 · Strongly overvalued (−67.6%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 29/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1910 – $0.4474 · fair‑value band $0.1000 – $0.1400 · the $0.3700 price screens above the $0.1200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
AirIQ Inc. provides IoT based asset management solutions in North America. The company offers fleet reporting, maintenance, compliance, safety, and analytics utilizing multiple hardware options, including a fully integrated video telematics camera solution, and a battery powered solution for non-powered assets.
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AirIQ Inc. provides IoT based asset management solutions in North America. The company offers fleet reporting, maintenance, compliance, safety, and analytics utilizing multiple hardware options, including a fully integrated video telematics camera solution, and a battery powered solution for non-powered assets. It also provides fleet management, trailer tracking, field services application, video telematics, battery powered solutions, and cutting edge solutions. In addition, the company offers its services through online or a mobile app, including instant vehicle locating, boundary notification, automated inventory reports, maintenance reminders, security alerts, and vehicle disabling and unauthorized movement alerts. It serves construction, healthcare, food and beverage, trades and service, rental, and trucking and transportation industries. AirIQ Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Pickering, Canada.
Stock analysis
AirIQ Inc (AILQF) currently trades at $0.3700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1200, 67.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.1300 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.3700 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0500, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $0.1000 (bear) to $0.1400 (bull), the price of $0.3700 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
AirIQ Inc reported revenue of C$5.5M in FY2025 versus C$3.7M in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was C$203K in FY2025, compounding −18.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $11.1M · P/E ratio 37.0 · P/S ratio 1.36 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.1% · Operating margin 6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −68%, AILQF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1000
Fair Value $0.1200
Bull $0.1400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0100 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.1000
$0.1100
$0.1400
82
Growth DCF
$0.1000
$0.1100
$0.1300
80
Owner Earnings
$0.0900
$0.1100
$0.1300
78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.1000
$0.1100
$0.1400
82
Owner Earnings
$0.0900
$0.1100
$0.1300
78
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.0900
$0.1100
$0.1300
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.2500
$0.4100
$0.6200
74
5Y P/E Exit
$0.1400
$0.2000
$0.2700
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.0900
$0.1100
$0.1300
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.1900
$0.3200
$0.5200
67
10Y P/E Exit
$0.1200
$0.1700
$0.2400
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.0300
$0.1300
$0.1800
64
Lynch FV
$0.0300
$0.0500
$0.0600
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.0300
$0.0500
$0.0600
57
EPV
$0.0900
$0.0900
$0.1000
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.1000
$0.1400
$0.1700
63
P/S Multiple
$0.0600
$0.0800
$0.1000
58
P/B Multiple
$0.0600
$0.0800
$0.1000
55
EV/EBIT
$0.1100
$0.1300
$0.1400
66
EV/EBITDA
$0.3500
$0.4500
$0.5400
67
EV/Revenue
$0.0900
$0.1000
$0.1100
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.1000
$0.1300
$0.1900
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.1000
$0.1100
$0.1300
80
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.0900
$0.1100
$0.1200
74
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.1400
$0.1300
$0.1300
71
ROIC Compounder
$0.0900
$0.0900
$0.1000
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.0700
$0.1000
$0.1300
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
45/100
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Profitability
37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
7
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
91
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.1% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−14.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−14.2% vs −4.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+36.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +32.9% a year for the price.
AILQF screens overvalued: fair value 68% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →
Compare AirIQ Inc with another stock
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAP | €186.74 | €172.46 | −8% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $229.57 | $342.73 | +49% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | $144.01 | $64.36 | −55% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $134.01 | $147.41 | +10% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $69.36 | $103.69 | +49% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $330.31 | $74.36 | −77% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $261.80 | $150.01 | −43% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $239.94 | $454.04 | +89% |
| Datadog, Inc DDOG | $268.70 | $32.52 | −88% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $326.70 | $225.48 | −31% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is AirIQ Inc (AILQF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1200 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.3700, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AILQF?
Our model-based fair value for AirIQ Inc is $0.1200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.3700.
What is the quality score of AILQF?
AirIQ Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1000, optimistic scenario $0.1400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AirIQ Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1200, about −68% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.3700 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1000, optimistic scenario $0.1400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
AirIQ Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AirIQ Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +36.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AILQF use?
Our models discount AirIQ Inc at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.08, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AirIQ Inc that is +36.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AirIQ Inc (AILQF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AirIQ Inc grew +1.9 % a year. The price currently implies +36.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AirIQ Inc (AILQF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AirIQ Inc (+36.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.75 %: that much free cash flow AirIQ Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AirIQ Inc it is $0.1200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.3700. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AirIQ Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AILQF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.3700, fair value $0.1200, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AILQF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1200). For AirIQ Inc the two are $0.2500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AirIQ Inc worth?
The market values AirIQ Inc at about $11.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.3700; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AILQF?
Our models span a range for AirIQ Inc: cautious scenario $0.1000, base $0.1200, optimistic $0.1400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.3700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is AILQF from its 52-week high?
AirIQ Inc trades at $0.3700, about 17% below its 52-week high of $0.4474 and 54% above the low of $0.2400 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AirIQ Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AirIQ Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.3700, calculated fair value $0.1200 (−68%), Quality Score 45/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AILQF calculated?
We run AirIQ Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. AirIQ Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.3700. Our model-based fair value is $0.1200, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AirIQ Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of AirIQ Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
The market capitalisation of AirIQ Inc is $11.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of AirIQ Inc is 37.0. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AirIQ Inc is 1.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
Earnings per share at AirIQ Inc are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
The net margin of AirIQ Inc is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AirIQ Inc is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AirIQ Inc is 14.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
The operating margin of AirIQ Inc is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
Revenue at AirIQ Inc is growing +30.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AirIQ Inc (AILQF)?
Earnings per share at AirIQ Inc are growing +277% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does AirIQ Inc (AILQF) hold?
AirIQ Inc holds more cash than debt, $3.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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