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AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of AirJoule Technologies Corporation stock $2.08, price $2.39, that is 12.7% below the price, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

AT AirJoule Technologies Corporation logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

AirJoule Technologies Corporation

AIRJ · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 13% below what the stock costs today.

Positive coverage
Insiders sold $186,845 (6M)
Fair value $2.08 · Overvalued
Quality 30/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$29.27 $2.10 Fair Value $2.08 Feb 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range $2.10 – $29.27 · fair‑value band $1.56 – $3.10 · the $2.39 price screens above the $2.08 fair value. As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

AirJoule Technologies Corporation operates as an atmospheric renewable energy and water harvesting technology company.

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It provides energy and dehumidification, water harvesting systems, water recapture systems, evaporative heat pump systems, water heating systems, low relative humidity drying systems, pre- and mid-cool integration coils, evaporative cooling, advanced vacuum pump systems, isothermal condenser design, gate and seal systems, and atmospheric water generation through its AirJoule technology.

In addition, it offers solutions, such as water from air, water recovery, data centers, cooling systems, and moisture control. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Ronan, Montana.

Stock analysis

AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ) currently trades at $2.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.08, 13% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $1.56 (bear) to $3.10 (bull), the price of $2.39 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

AirJoule Technologies Corporation reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$9.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $166M Micro · EPS (TTM) $−1.25 · Return on equity −31.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −414% (5-year average) · EPS growth (YoY) −83.8% · Free cash flow −$5.7M · Net cash $21.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −13%, AIRJ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.56 Fair Value $2.08 Bull $3.10
Price $2.39 · Downside -12.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $1.83 $2.45 $3.65 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.83 $2.45 $3.65 51

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 4
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 69
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 88
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 33
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 5
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $186,845 and none bought.

  • SaleMatthew B JoreChief Executive Officer, Director, 10% owner50,000 shares at $3.06$153,165Oct 15, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleChad MacDonaldChief Legal Officer7,307 shares at $4.61$33,680Jun 9, 2026
  • SaleJeff GutkeChief Administrative Officer3,462 shares at $3.17$10,975Mar 3, 2026
  • BuyStuart D PorterDirector, 10% owner2× since Dec 8, 2025: 496,491 shares, avg. $3.02$1.5MJan 15, 2026
  • BuyPatrick C EilersExecutive Chairman, Director76,923 shares at $3.25$250,000Jan 15, 2026
  • BuyMatthew B JoreChief Executive Officer, Director, 10% owner2× since Dec 8, 2025: 18,192 shares, avg. $3.01$54,768Jan 15, 2026
  • BuyThomas Edward MurphyDirector31,950 shares at $3.10$99,180Dec 12, 2025
  • BuyStephen S. PangChief Financial Officer2,169 shares at $2.95$6,399Dec 10, 2025

Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AIRJ screens overvalued: fair value 13% below the price. Compare with Johnson Controls International plc →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (75 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 255 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −12.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.62× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)16 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €74.10 €93.79 +27% vs AIRJ
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $375.74 $347.14 −8% vs AIRJ
Madison Air Solutions Corporation MAIR $23.04 $20.32 −12% vs AIRJ
Kingspan Group KRX €95.15 €68.99 −27% vs AIRJ
Masco Corporation MAS $82.22 $56.97 −31% vs AIRJ
Trane Technologies plc TT $401.76 $223.94 −44% vs AIRJ
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $135.03 $73.99 −45% vs AIRJ
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 580.00 CHF 303.40 −48% vs AIRJ
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $52.38 $19.35 −63% vs AIRJ
BELIMO Holding BEAN CHF 727.00 CHF 236.88 −67% vs AIRJ

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AirJoule Technologies Corporation: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AirJoule Technologies Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIRJ

Frequently asked questions

Is AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.08 versus a price of $2.39, about 13% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AIRJ?
Our model-based fair value for AirJoule Technologies Corporation is $2.08 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.39.
What is the quality score of AIRJ?
AirJoule Technologies Corporation has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.08 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.56, optimistic scenario $3.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AirJoule Technologies Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.08, about 13% lower versus a price of $2.39 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.56, optimistic scenario $3.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AirJoule Technologies Corporation it is $2.08 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $2.39. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is AirJoule Technologies Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, AIRJ trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.39, fair value $2.08, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AIRJ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.39); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.08). For AirJoule Technologies Corporation the two are $0.3025 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AirJoule Technologies Corporation worth?
The market values AirJoule Technologies Corporation at about $166M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $2.39; our models calculate a fair value of $2.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AIRJ?
Our models span a range for AirJoule Technologies Corporation: cautious scenario $1.56, base $2.08, optimistic $3.10 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $2.39). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ)?
Balance-sheet figures for AirJoule Technologies Corporation (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −31.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AIRJ from its 52-week high?
AirJoule Technologies Corporation trades at $2.39, about 63% below its 52-week high of $6.40 and 14% above the low of $2.10 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AirJoule Technologies Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Johnson Controls International plc, Trane Technologies plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AirJoule Technologies Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $2.39, calculated fair value $2.08 (−13%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AIRJ calculated?
We run AirJoule Technologies Corporation through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $2.08 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. AirJoule Technologies Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $2.39. Our model-based fair value is $2.08, about 13% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AirJoule Technologies Corporation right now?
A fairly wide model range ($1.56 to $3.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of AirJoule Technologies Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ)?
The market capitalisation of AirJoule Technologies Corporation is $166M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ)?
Earnings per share at AirJoule Technologies Corporation are $−1.25. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AirJoule Technologies Corporation is −31.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AirJoule Technologies Corporation is −414% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast are earnings growing at AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ)?
Earnings per share at AirJoule Technologies Corporation are growing −83.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ) generate?
The free cash flow of AirJoule Technologies Corporation is −$5.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does AirJoule Technologies Corporation (AIRJ) hold?
AirJoule Technologies Corporation holds more cash than debt, $21.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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