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A.J. Plast Public Company Limited (AJ) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 1.9B THB (≈ $56.4M) · ISIN TH0214010Z07

AJ A.J. Plast Public Company Limited AJ · BK
Price3.64 THB
Fair Value3.22 THB
Upside-11.5%
Quality25/100
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Risks

!Trades 13% ABOVE our fair value of 3.22 THB
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.6% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.5 %/yr)
Loss-making · -8.6% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range 2.41 THB – 4.81 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +16.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and trading another 13% above our fair value.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (2.41 THB to 4.81 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

26.16 THB 1.54 THB Fair Value 3.22 THB Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.54 THB – 26.16 THB · fair‑value band 2.41 THB – 4.81 THB · the 3.64 THB price screens above the 3.22 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

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Analysis

A.J. Plast Public Company Limited (AJ) currently trades at 3.64 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.22 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 11.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, A.J. Plast Public Company Limited generated revenue of 7.4B THB at a net margin of -8.6%. Revenue declined 18.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.2%. Net debt stands at 8.3B THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.41 THB (bear case) to 4.81 THB (bull case); at 3.64 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 141% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at -12%, AJ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 3.17 THB 4.25 THB 6.34 THB 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.17 THB 4.25 THB 6.34 THB 50

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.25 TTM
EPS (TTM) -1.07 THB
Net margin -7.1% FY2025
Return on equity -15.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -0.7% avg 5y
Operating margin -1.8% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 7.4B THB TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.4% 3y avg -4.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -26.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −41.6M THB FY2025
Net debt 8.3B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

A.J. Plast Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture, sale, and export of plastic films and scrap products in Thailand and internationally.

Full company description

A.J. Plast Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture, sale, and export of plastic films and scrap products in Thailand and internationally. The company provides biaxially oriented polypropylene films for printed packaging; lamination products and adhesive tapes; packaging of bread, garment, agricultural products, etc.; wrapping film for tobacco, CD, cosmetic, etc. It offers biaxially oriented polyethylene film for snack and confectionery, coffee, tea and milk powder, household chemicals, and cup lid, as well as air duct wrapping material and insulation, lamination and hot stamping foil, and yarn and thread; and biaxially oriented polyamide film for retort foods, ham and sausage, rice and grain, metallized balloons, frozen foods and liquid foods, oil and cheese packing, and vacuum packing. In addition, the company provides cast polypropylene film for bread or noodle packaging, retort pouch and dry fruit and meat packaging; metallized film applications; and offers earth care solutions. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

A.J. Plast Public Company Limited reported revenue of 7.8B THB in FY2025 versus 9.3B THB in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −553M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 8/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.8B THB
Latest YoY
−0.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −4.3%/yr
FY21 9.3B THB
FY22 9.1B THB
FY23 7.6B THB
FY24 7.9B THB
FY25 7.8B THB
Net income
FY21 429M THB
FY22 −57.0M THB
FY23 −367M THB
FY24 −725M THB
FY25 −553M THB

AJ screens 12% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "A.J. Plast Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AJ

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 274 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −12% · Above median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -18% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.96× · Higher than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE18 · sector 14
FUTURE0 · sector 1
PAST0 · sector 21
HEALTH52 · sector 93
DIVIDEND0 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $49.25 $22.66 -54%
Packaging Corporation PKG $246.68 $122.63 -50%
International Paper Company IP $41.39 $21.44 -48%
Amcor plc AMCR $47.15 $18.79 -60%
Ball Corporation BALL $61.67 $36.57 -41%
Crown Holdings CCK $119.08 $118.59 -0%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $182.33 $113.05 -38%
CCL Industries Inc CCLA C$93.99 C$77.64 -17%
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €9.74 €11.42 +17%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.66 CHF 8.32 -39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is A.J. Plast Public Company Limited (AJ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.22 THB versus a price of 3.64 THB, about −12% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AJ?
Our model-based fair value for A.J. Plast Public Company Limited is 3.22 THB (as of Aug 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3.64 THB.
What is the quality score of AJ?
A.J. Plast Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of A.J. Plast Public Company Limited (AJ)?
A.J. Plast Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.4B THB (latest available figure, as of Aug 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AJ?
The net profit margin of A.J. Plast Public Company Limited is about -8.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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