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Academies Australasia Group (AKG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · AU · Market cap A$9.4M

AA Academies Australasia Group AKG · AU
PriceA$0.0680
Fair ValueA$0.0685
Upside+0.7%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -2.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$0.0542 – A$0.0853 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from A$0.1191 to A$0.0685 (−42.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +13.3% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from A$0.0542 (bear) to A$0.0853 (bull), base A$0.0685. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.4600 A$0.0600 Fair Value A$0.0685 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0600 – A$0.4600 · fair‑value band A$0.0542 – A$0.0853 · the A$0.0680 price screens below the A$0.0685 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Academies Australasia Group (AKG) currently trades at A$0.0680, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0685, implying the stock looks roughly 0.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Academies Australasia Group generated revenue of A$45.6M at a net margin of -2.3%. Revenue declined 5.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.7%. Net debt stands at A$37.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0542 (bear case) to A$0.0853 (bull case); at A$0.0680, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 1%, AKG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.2700 A$0.3600 A$0.4600 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.2900 A$0.4600 A$0.6500 74
ROIC Compounder A$0.4400 A$0.5000 A$0.5700 72
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.2700 A$0.3700 A$0.5000 38
Owner Earnings A$0.3800 A$0.5300 A$0.7200 31
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.2900 A$0.4600 A$0.6600 39
5Y EBITDA Exit A$0.6500 A$1.12 A$1.69 41
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.2700 A$0.4000 A$0.5800 36
10Y EBITDA Exit A$0.4700 A$0.8000 A$1.26 37
Earnings-Based
EPV A$0.4200 A$0.4700 A$0.5100 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT A$0.8600 A$1.13 A$1.41 53
EV/EBITDA A$1.05 A$1.40 A$1.74 54
EV/Revenue A$0.3300 A$0.4600 A$0.6000 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0600 A$0.0900 A$0.1300 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.2700 A$0.3600 A$0.4600 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.2900 A$0.4600 A$0.6500 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder A$0.4400 A$0.5000 A$0.5700 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (A$1.13) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$45.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.8%
Net margin -2.3%
Return on equity -6.7%
Free cash flow A$3.8M FY2025
Operating margin -1.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) -93.1%
Net debt A$37.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 83
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Academies Australasia Group Limited provides training and education services in Australia and Singapore. The company offers bachelor's and master's degrees, vocational education and training, first aid training, and cardiopulmonary resuscitation training services.

Full company description

Academies Australasia Group Limited provides training and education services in Australia and Singapore. The company offers bachelor's and master's degrees, vocational education and training, first aid training, and cardiopulmonary resuscitation training services. Its courses include English; high school; community services; early childhood education and care; yoga teaching and therapy; hospitality management; information technology; hairdressing, barbering, and beauty courses; leadership and management; project management; sports and fitness; travel and tourism; commercial cookery; and agriculture courses. It also holds 18 colleges that are licensed to operate as education institutions. Academies Australasia Group Limited was formerly known as Garratt's Limited. The company was incorporated in 1908 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Academies Australasia Group reported revenue of A$47.0M in FY2025 versus A$42.6M in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 16/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$47.0M
Latest YoY
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (36Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.1%
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 A$42.6M
FY22 A$36.0M
FY23 A$46.5M
FY24 A$46.4M
FY25 A$47.0M
Net income
FY21 −A$1.2M
FY22 −A$1.3M
FY23 −A$2.8M
FY24 −A$9.8M
FY25 −A$1.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Academies Australasia Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKG

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +3% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Revenue growth -6% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 37 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 0 · sector 18
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 897.37 MXN -7%
TAL Education Group TAL $10.24 $15.60 +52%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.45 $41.45 +14%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹131.59 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $149.00 $152.01 +2%
Covista Inc CVSA $116.22 $135.45 +17%
Stride, Inc LRN $83.39 $139.45 +67%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $40.33 $21.35 -47%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.66 $41.45 +31%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $84.18 $105.48 +25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Academies Australasia Group (AKG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0685 versus a price of A$0.0680, about +1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AKG?
Our model-based fair value for Academies Australasia Group is A$0.0685 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0680.
What is the quality score of AKG?
Academies Australasia Group has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Academies Australasia Group (AKG)?
Academies Australasia Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$45.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AKG?
The net profit margin of Academies Australasia Group is about -2.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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