Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Academies Australasia Group Ltd A$0.09, price A$0.07, upside +30.3%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0510 – A$0.4600 · fair‑value band A$0.0724 – A$0.1150 · the A$0.0700 price screens below the A$0.0912 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Academies Australasia Group Limited provides training and education services in Australia and Singapore. The company offers bachelor's and master's degrees, vocational education and training, first aid training, and cardiopulmonary resuscitation training services.
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Academies Australasia Group Limited provides training and education services in Australia and Singapore. The company offers bachelor's and master's degrees, vocational education and training, first aid training, and cardiopulmonary resuscitation training services. Its courses include English; high school; community services; early childhood education and care; yoga teaching and therapy; hospitality management; information technology; hairdressing, barbering, and beauty courses; leadership and management; project management; sports and fitness; travel and tourism; commercial cookery; and agriculture courses. It also holds 18 colleges that are licensed to operate as education institutions. Academies Australasia Group Limited was formerly known as Garratt's Limited. The company was incorporated in 1908 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG) currently trades at A$0.0700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0912, implying the stock looks roughly 23.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$0.5200 per share, and 11 of the 11 models we run sit above the A$0.0700 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0900, and 0 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0724 (bear) to A$0.1150 (bull), the price of A$0.0700 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Academies Australasia Group Ltd reported revenue of A$47.0M in FY2025 versus A$42.6M in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$9.3M (≈ $6.5M) · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Net margin −2.7% · Return on equity −6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin −1.1% · Revenue (TTM) A$45.6M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at 30%, AKG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0724Fair Value A$0.0912Bull A$0.1150
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.16/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.9% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.8% (2019) → −7.1% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−26.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −28.8% a year for the price.
Compare Academies Australasia Group Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 142 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+30% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.40× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Academies Australasia Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKG
Frequently asked questions
Is Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0912 versus a price of A$0.0700, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AKG?
Our model-based fair value for Academies Australasia Group Ltd is A$0.0912 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0700.
What is the quality score of AKG?
Academies Australasia Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0912 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0724, optimistic scenario A$0.1150. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Academies Australasia Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0912, about +30% upside versus a price of A$0.0700 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0724, optimistic scenario A$0.1150. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
Academies Australasia Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$45.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Academies Australasia Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -26.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AKG use?
Our models discount Academies Australasia Group Ltd at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.33, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Academies Australasia Group Ltd that is -26.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Academies Australasia Group Ltd grew -4.7 % a year. The price currently implies -26.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Academies Australasia Group Ltd (-26.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 40.40 %: that much free cash flow Academies Australasia Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Academies Australasia Group Ltd it is A$0.0912 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0700. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Academies Australasia Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AKG trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0700, fair value A$0.0912, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AKG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0912). For Academies Australasia Group Ltd the two are A$0.0212 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Academies Australasia Group Ltd worth?
The market values Academies Australasia Group Ltd at about A$9.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0700; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0912 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AKG?
Our models span a range for Academies Australasia Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0724, base A$0.0912, optimistic A$0.1150 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Academies Australasia Group Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −6.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AKG from its 52-week high?
Academies Australasia Group Ltd trades at A$0.0700, about 64% below its 52-week high of A$0.1950 and 37% above the low of A$0.0510 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0912 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Academies Australasia Group Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Grand Canyon Education, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Academies Australasia Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0700, calculated fair value A$0.0912 (+30%), Quality Score 58/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AKG calculated?
We run Academies Australasia Group Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0912, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Academies Australasia Group Ltd currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0700. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0912, about +30% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Academies Australasia Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0724). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Academies Australasia Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
The market capitalisation of Academies Australasia Group Ltd is A$9.3M (≈ $6.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Academies Australasia Group Ltd is 0.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
Earnings per share at Academies Australasia Group Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
The net margin of Academies Australasia Group Ltd is −2.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Academies Australasia Group Ltd is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Academies Australasia Group Ltd is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
The operating margin of Academies Australasia Group Ltd is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
Revenue at Academies Australasia Group Ltd is growing −5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG)?
Earnings per share at Academies Australasia Group Ltd are growing −93.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Academies Australasia Group Ltd (AKG) carry?
The net debt of Academies Australasia Group Ltd is A$37.2M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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