Akg Exim Limited (AKG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Akg Exim Limited stock ₹2.40, price ₹9.53, that is 74.8% below the price, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 18 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹8.43 – ₹75.10 · fair‑value band ₹1.80 – ₹3.00 · the ₹9.53 price screens above the ₹2.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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AKG Exim Limited engages in the commodity trading business in India and rest of Asia.
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The company distributes agro-food commodities comprising basmati and non-basmati rice, spices, and dry fruits; ferrous scraps, such as heavy and light melting, cast iron, auto purja, iron pipes, and stainless steel; non-ferrous scraps, including magnesium, aluminum tense, taint and tabor, taldon, copper, brass, and lead battery; and petrochemicals, which include base oil, sulphur granules, urea, bitumen, aromatics, alkyl benzene, toluene, and other petroleum-based chemicals.
It also provides engineering, technical and business consultancy, indenting/commission, international supply, sourcing, and product establishment services. The company exports its products. AKG Exim Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Gurugram, India.
Stock analysis
Akg Exim Limited (AKG) currently trades at ₹9.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2.40, 75% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹16.54 per share, and 5 of the 18 models we run sit above the ₹9.53 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹0.7200, and 13 of the 18 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹1.80 (bear) to ₹3.00 (bull), the price of ₹9.53 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Akg Exim Limited reported revenue of ₹870M in FY2026 versus ₹1.9B in FY2022, a compound −17.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.6M in FY2026, compounding −34.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹303M (≈ $3.2M) Micro · P/E ratio 79.4 · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.1200 · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −75%, AKG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹1.80Fair Value ₹2.40Bull₹3.00
Price ₹9.53 · Downside -74.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.0733 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−34.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−27.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27.5% vs −4.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 0%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Below median
Fair Value upside−74.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)1.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−27.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)79.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.55× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.39× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)9.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA33.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 40
PAST (return on equity)3· sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Akg Exim Limited (AKG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2.40 versus a price of ₹9.53, about 75% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKG?
Our model-based fair value for Akg Exim Limited is ₹2.40 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹9.53.
What is the quality score of AKG?
Akg Exim Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹2.40 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1.80, optimistic scenario ₹3.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Akg Exim Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹2.40, about 75% lower versus a price of ₹9.53 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹1.80, optimistic scenario ₹3.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
Akg Exim Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹767M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Akg Exim Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +1.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.6 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AKG use?
Our models discount Akg Exim Limited at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Akg Exim Limited that is +1.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Akg Exim Limited (AKG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Akg Exim Limited grew -3.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +1.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Akg Exim Limited (AKG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Akg Exim Limited (+1.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.75 %: that much free cash flow Akg Exim Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Akg Exim Limited it is ₹2.40 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ₹9.53. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Akg Exim Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, AKG trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹9.53, fair value ₹2.40, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AKG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹9.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹2.40). For Akg Exim Limited the two are ₹7.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Akg Exim Limited worth?
The market values Akg Exim Limited at about ₹303M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ₹9.53; our models calculate a fair value of ₹2.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AKG?
Our models span a range for Akg Exim Limited: cautious scenario ₹1.80, base ₹2.40, optimistic ₹3.00 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ₹9.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AKG?
Akg Exim Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 79.4 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹2.40 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2021 to 2026), reported earnings: 42.5. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 33.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Akg Exim Limited (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 0.7%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AKG from its 52-week high?
Akg Exim Limited trades at ₹9.53, about 35% below its 52-week high of ₹14.64 and 13% above the low of ₹8.43 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹2.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Akg Exim Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Akg Exim Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ₹9.53, calculated fair value ₹2.40 (−75%), Quality Score 58/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AKG calculated?
We run Akg Exim Limited through 18 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹2.40 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Akg Exim Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ₹9.53. Our model-based fair value is ₹2.40, about 75% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Akg Exim Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹3.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Akg Exim Limited (AKG) come from?
Earnings per share at Akg Exim Limited grew +5.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.0 %, EBIT margin −6.6 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +10.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Akg Exim Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
The market capitalisation of Akg Exim Limited is ₹303M (≈ $3.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Akg Exim Limited is 0.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
Earnings per share at Akg Exim Limited are ₹0.1200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 79.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
The net margin of Akg Exim Limited is 0.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Akg Exim Limited is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Akg Exim Limited is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
The operating margin of Akg Exim Limited is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
Revenue at Akg Exim Limited is growing −27.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Akg Exim Limited (AKG)?
Earnings per share at Akg Exim Limited are growing +50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Akg Exim Limited (AKG) carry?
The net debt of Akg Exim Limited is ₹57.5M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 6, 2026