Aksa Enerji Üretim A.S., an independent power producer, (AKSEN) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · TR · Market cap 112B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 4, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Share price +12.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 41% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (67.01 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.21 TRY – 116.00 TRY · fair‑value band 37.97 TRY – 67.01 TRY · the 91.00 TRY price screens above the 53.61 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.
Analysis
Aksa Enerji Üretim A.S., an independent power producer, (AKSEN) currently trades at 91.00 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 53.61 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 41.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Aksa Enerji Üretim A.S., an independent power producer, generated revenue of 39.7B TRY at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue declined 21.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.4%. Net debt stands at 47.5B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 4, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 37.97 TRY (bear case) to 67.01 TRY (bull case); at 91.00 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 157% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -41%, AKSEN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (118.91 TRY) versus Asset-Based (32.54 TRY). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aksa Enerji Üretim A.S., an independent power producer, produces and sells electricity in Turkey, Asia, and Africa. The company produces energy from coal, fuel oil, biogas, natural gas, wind, sun, and hydroelectricity. It also engages in construction, leasing, and operation of electricity power plants.
Full company description
Aksa Enerji Üretim A.S., an independent power producer, produces and sells electricity in Turkey, Asia, and Africa. The company produces energy from coal, fuel oil, biogas, natural gas, wind, sun, and hydroelectricity. It also engages in construction, leasing, and operation of electricity power plants. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey. Aksa Enerji Üretim A.S. is a subsidiary of Kazanci Holding AS.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aksa Enerji Üretim A.S., an independent power producer, reported revenue of 42.4B TRY in FY2025 versus 13.9B TRY in FY2021, a compound +32.2%/yr. Reported net income was 3.7B TRY in FY2025, compounding +21.4%/yr from FY2021.
AKSEN screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Constellation Energy Corporation →
Peer Group
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 80 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 4, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constellation Energy Corporation CEG | $257.57 | $89.08 | -65% |
| Vistra Corp VST | $158.86 | $47.59 | -70% |
| Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER | ₹218.45 | ₹75.57 | -65% |
| CGN Power Co 003816 | ¥3.88 | ¥3.13 | -19% |
| NRG Energy, Inc NRG | $137.90 | $56.02 | -59% |
| Gulf Development Public Company GULF | 67.50 THB | 40.44 THB | -40% |
| Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL | ₹1,730 | ₹342.02 | -80% |
| Talen Energy Corporation TLN | $372.37 | $44.67 | -88% |
| Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 | ¥5.80 | ¥4.95 | -15% |
| Power Assets Holdings 0006 | HK$58.45 | HK$31.90 | -45% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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