Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.9183 TRY – 6.06 TRY · fair‑value band 0.7500 TRY – 1.45 TRY · the 2.21 TRY price screens above the 1.10 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Akdeniz Yatirim Holding A.S. operates in the plastic, chemical, renewable energy, agriculture and livestock, and environment and waste systems fields in Türkiye. The company offers rubber plastic molds and chemicals, agriculture and livestock services, and solid waste management and recycling services in Turkey.
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Akdeniz Yatirim Holding A.S. operates in the plastic, chemical, renewable energy, agriculture and livestock, and environment and waste systems fields in Türkiye. The company offers rubber plastic molds and chemicals, agriculture and livestock services, and solid waste management and recycling services in Turkey. The company was formerly known as Akdeniz Güvenlik Hizmetleri A.S. and changed its name to Akdeniz Yatirim Holding A.S. in July 2020. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO) currently trades at 2.21 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.10 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 100.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 1.65 TRY per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the 2.21 TRY price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 1.50 TRY, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.7500 TRY (bear) to 1.45 TRY (bull), the price of 2.21 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS reported revenue of 129M TRY in FY2025 versus 6.1M TRY in FY2021, a compound +114.5%/yr. Reported net income was −49.3M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 557M TRY (≈ $11.5M) · P/S ratio 5.47 · EPS (TTM) −0.1100 TRY · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin −38.3% · Return on equity −5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.5% · Operating margin −9.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −50%, AKYHO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.7500 TRYFair Value 1.10 TRYBull 1.45 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+74.4%
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−83.8% (2020) → −17.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 111 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKYHO
Frequently asked questions
Is Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.10 TRY versus a price of 2.21 TRY, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKYHO?
Our model-based fair value for Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is 1.10 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.21 TRY.
What is the quality score of AKYHO?
Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.10 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.7500 TRY, optimistic scenario 1.45 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.10 TRY, about −50% upside versus a price of 2.21 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.7500 TRY, optimistic scenario 1.45 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 106M TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS pay a dividend?
Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.03% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS it is 1.10 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 2.21 TRY. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, AKYHO trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.21 TRY, fair value 1.10 TRY, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AKYHO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.21 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.10 TRY). For Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS the two are 1.11 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS worth?
The market values Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS at about 557M TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 2.21 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 1.10 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AKYHO?
Our models span a range for Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS: cautious scenario 0.7500 TRY, base 1.10 TRY, optimistic 1.45 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 2.21 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −5.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AKYHO from its 52-week high?
Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS trades at 2.21 TRY, about 46% below its 52-week high of 4.07 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.10 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ASSA ABLOY AB, Verisure plc, Allegion plc, Securitas AB, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 2.21 TRY, calculated fair value 1.10 TRY (−50%), Quality Score 23/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AKYHO calculated?
We run Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.10 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.45 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (0.7500 TRY to 1.45 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
The market capitalisation of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is 557M TRY (≈ $11.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is 5.47 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Earnings per share at Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS are −0.1100 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
The dividend yield of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is 0.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
The net margin of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is −38.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is −5.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is −5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
The operating margin of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is −9.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Revenue at Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is growing −47.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +38.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Earnings per share at Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS are growing −24.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO) generate?
The free cash flow of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is −34.1M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO) carry?
The net debt of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is 75.4M TRY (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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