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Akdeniz Yatirim Holding (AKYHO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TR · Market cap 578M TRY

AY Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AKYHO · IS
Price2.27 TRY
Fair Value0.7100 TRY
Upside-68.7%
Quality24/100
Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -25.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 2/100
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Evidence: Low Range 0.4600 TRY – 0.9700 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated today

Share price −7.7% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.9700 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.4600 TRY to 0.9700 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

3.85 TRY 2.27 TRY Fair Value 0.7100 TRY Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 2.27 TRY – 3.85 TRY · fair‑value band 0.4600 TRY – 0.9700 TRY · the 2.27 TRY price screens above the 0.7100 TRY fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Akdeniz Yatirim Holding (AKYHO) currently trades at 2.27 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.7100 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 68.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Akdeniz Yatirim Holding generated revenue of 106M TRY at a net margin of -25.4%. Revenue declined 47.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.8%. Net debt stands at 75.4M TRY. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.4600 TRY (bear case) to 0.9700 TRY (bull case); at 2.27 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -69%, AKYHO screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 106M TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -47.3%
Net margin -25.4%
Return on equity -5.8%
Free cash flow −34.1M TRY FY2025
Operating margin -9.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.1100 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -24.4%
Net debt 75.4M TRY FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100
Profitability 1
Quality Growth 45
Cashflow 25
Fin. Strength 60
Investment 0
Low Volatility 79
Momentum 14
52W Momentum 1
Net Issuance 40

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Akdeniz Yatirim Holding A.S. operates in the plastic, chemical, renewable energy, agriculture and livestock, and environment and waste systems fields in Türkiye. The company offers rubber plastic molds and chemicals, agriculture and livestock services, and solid waste management and recycling services in Turkey.

Full company description

Akdeniz Yatirim Holding A.S. operates in the plastic, chemical, renewable energy, agriculture and livestock, and environment and waste systems fields in Türkiye. The company offers rubber plastic molds and chemicals, agriculture and livestock services, and solid waste management and recycling services in Turkey. The company was formerly known as Akdeniz Güvenlik Hizmetleri A.S. and changed its name to Akdeniz Yatirim Holding A.S. in July 2020. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Akdeniz Yatirim Holding reported revenue of 129M TRY in FY2025 versus 6.1M TRY in FY2021, a compound +114.5%/yr. Reported net income was −49.3M TRY in FY2025.

Revenue +114.5%/yr
FY21 6.1M TRY
FY22 48.2M TRY
FY23 147M TRY
FY24 153M TRY
FY25 129M TRY
Net income
FY21 7.0M TRY
FY22 −12.3M TRY
FY23 −65.9M TRY
FY24 −121M TRY
FY25 −49.3M TRY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Akdeniz Yatirim Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKYHO

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 14
FUTURE 0 / 39
PAST 0 / 19
HEALTH 100 / 99
DIVIDEND 0 / 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Akdeniz Yatirim Holding (AKYHO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.7100 TRY versus a price of 2.27 TRY, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKYHO?
Our model-based fair value for Akdeniz Yatirim Holding is 0.7100 TRY (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.27 TRY.
What is the quality score of AKYHO?
Akdeniz Yatirim Holding has a Quality Score of 24/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding (AKYHO)?
Akdeniz Yatirim Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 106M TRY (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AKYHO?
The net profit margin of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding is about -25.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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