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Data-driven stock valuation

Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS stock TRY 1.10, price TRY 1.46, upside -24.7%, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value 30%+ above price?No
  2. Quality 50+?No
  3. In an uptrend?No
  4. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Industrials TR · ISIN TREAKGH00018

AY Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS logo Thin data Oct 24, 2026

Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS

AKYHO · IS

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

Our calculation puts a fair price 25% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +38.7 %/yr in TRY)
Fair value 1.10 TRY · Overvalued (−24.7%)
Quality 30/100
Loss-making · -98.6% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

6.06 TRY 0.9183 TRY Fair Value 1.10 TRY Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.9183 TRY – 6.06 TRY · fair‑value band 0.7500 TRY – 1.45 TRY · the 1.46 TRY price screens above the 1.10 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Akdeniz Yatirim Holding A.S. operates in the plastic, chemical, renewable energy, agriculture and livestock, and environment and waste systems fields in Türkiye.

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The company offers rubber plastic molds and chemicals, agriculture and livestock services, and solid waste management and recycling services in Turkey. The company was formerly known as Akdeniz Güvenlik Hizmetleri A.S. and changed its name to Akdeniz Yatirim Holding A.S. in July 2020.

The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO) currently trades at 1.46 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.10 TRY, 24.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 82/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 0.7500 TRY (bear) to 1.45 TRY (bull), the price of 1.46 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2021: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2021.

Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS reported revenue of 129M TRY in FY2025 versus 6.1M TRY in FY2021, a compound +114.5%/yr. Reported net income was −49.3M TRY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 368M TRY (≈ $7.4M) Micro · P/S ratio 4.19 · EPS (TTM) −0.3800 TRY · Net margin −98.6% · Return on equity −14.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.5% · Operating margin −26.5% · Revenue (TTM) 95.2M TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −25%, AKYHO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.7500 TRY Fair Value 1.10 TRY Bull 1.45 TRY
Price 1.46 TRY · Upside -24.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA 0.7500 TRY 1.10 TRY 1.45 TRY 66
NCAV (Graham) 0.7500 TRY 1.00 TRY 1.50 TRY 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 0.7500 TRY 1.10 TRY 1.45 TRY 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.7500 TRY 1.00 TRY 1.50 TRY 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 1
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 52
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 72
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 0
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2021: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2021.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−83.8% (2020) → −17.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AKYHO screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with Allegion plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 102 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −24.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −6.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −98.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −26.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −19.6% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.59× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 3.87× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 44
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
ADT Inc ADT $6.90 $19.40 +181% vs AKYHO
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥14.54 ¥32.80 +126% vs AKYHO
The Brink's Company BCO $107.13 $121.18 +13% vs AKYHO
S-1 Corporation 012750 95,300 KRW 99,629 KRW +5% vs AKYHO
Brady Corporation BRC $81.98 $84.37 +3% vs AKYHO
Loomis AB LOOMIS kr 546.50 kr 496.43 −9% vs AKYHO
Allegion plc ALLE $180.55 $129.15 −28% vs AKYHO
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $179.17 $121.66 −32% vs AKYHO
CoreCivic, Inc CXW $29.87 $18.76 −37% vs AKYHO
The GEO Group GEO $27.57 $13.08 −53% vs AKYHO

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKYHO

Frequently asked questions

Is Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.10 TRY versus a price of 1.46 TRY, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKYHO?
Our model-based fair value for Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is 1.10 TRY (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.46 TRY.
What is the quality score of AKYHO?
Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.10 TRY (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.7500 TRY, optimistic scenario 1.45 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.10 TRY, about −25% upside versus a price of 1.46 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.7500 TRY, optimistic scenario 1.45 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 95.2M TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS it is 1.10 TRY per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of 1.46 TRY. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, AKYHO trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.46 TRY, fair value 1.10 TRY, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AKYHO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.46 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.10 TRY). For Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS the two are 0.3600 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS worth?
The market values Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS at about 368M TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is 1.46 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 1.10 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AKYHO?
Our models span a range for Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS: cautious scenario 0.7500 TRY, base 1.10 TRY, optimistic 1.45 TRY per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price 1.46 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (as of Oct 24, 2026): return on equity −14.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AKYHO from its 52-week high?
Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS trades at 1.46 TRY, about 55% below its 52-week high of 3.21 TRY and 1% above the low of 1.44 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.10 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, ADT Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price 1.46 TRY, calculated fair value 1.10 TRY (−25%), Quality Score 30/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AKYHO calculated?
We run Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.10 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 1.46 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 1.10 TRY, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS right now?
Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (0.7500 TRY to 1.45 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
The market capitalisation of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is 368M TRY (≈ $7.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is 4.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Earnings per share at Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS are −0.3800 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
The net margin of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is −98.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is −14.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is −5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
The operating margin of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is −26.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Revenue at Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is growing −19.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +38.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO)?
Earnings per share at Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS are growing −24.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO) generate?
The free cash flow of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is −34.1M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS (AKYHO) carry?
The net debt of Akdeniz Yatirim Holding AS is 75.4M TRY (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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