Alarko Holding (ALARK) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TR · Market cap 44.1B TRY
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated today
Share price −6.3% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (38.90 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (19.31 TRY to 38.90 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 73.94 TRY – 111.85 TRY · fair‑value band 19.31 TRY – 38.90 TRY · the 100.90 TRY price screens above the 30.95 TRY fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Alarko Holding (ALARK) currently trades at 100.90 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 30.95 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 69.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Alarko Holding generated revenue of 9.1B TRY at a net margin of 19.8%. Revenue grew 26.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. Net debt stands at 20.0B TRY. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 19.31 TRY (bear case) to 38.90 TRY (bull case); at 100.90 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -69%, ALARK screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alarko Holding A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in contracting, energy, industry and trade, tourism, land development, investment, and agriculture businesses in Turkey.
Full company description
Alarko Holding A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in contracting, energy, industry and trade, tourism, land development, investment, and agriculture businesses in Turkey. The company undertakes in the construction of refineries, chemical, petrochemical plants, power, industrial, and water and wastewater treatment plants, as well as pipelines, transportation, and housing projects. It also produces, distributes, sells, and trades energy; manufactures heating, ventilating, and air conditioning, as well as sells heating, RLC products, and provides marketing, repair, and maintenance services. In addition, the company operates hotels, sports center, spa centers, and movie theatres; residential land development activities; invest in public and private companies; and venture capital activities. Further, it is involved in greenhouse, fertilizer, seed, and food industry activities. The company was founded in 1954 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alarko Holding reported revenue of 8.7B TRL in FY2025 versus 2.0B TRL in FY2021, a compound +44.0%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2B TRL in FY2025.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
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| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,730 IDR | 16,231 IDR | +243% |
| Grupo Carso, S.A. GCARSOA1 | 130.55 MXN | 72.45 MXN | -45% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 234.00 THB | 209.79 THB | -10% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,705 | ₹725.09 | -73% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 5,980 CLP | 10,697 CLP | +79% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 58,300 KRW | 56,299 KRW | -3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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