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ACTIA Group (ALATI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €75.5M

AG ACTIA Group ALATI · PA
Price€4.07
Fair Value€12.21
Upside+200.0%
Quality44/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.05% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: High Range €7.89 – €16.53 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from €14.12 to €12.21 (−13.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −0.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 200% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€7.89). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (€7.89 to €16.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€4.66 €2.29 Fair Value €12.21 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.29 – €4.66 · fair‑value band €7.89 – €16.53 · the €4.07 price screens below the €12.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

ACTIA Group (ALATI) currently trades at €4.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.21, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, ACTIA Group generated revenue of €535M at a net margin of -1.0%. Revenue grew 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.9%. Net debt stands at €118M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €7.89 (bear case) to €16.53 (bull case); at €4.07, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 200%, ALATI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €12.76 €16.66 €21.03 80
Rev-Margin DCF €5.80 €7.23 €8.92 74
ROIC Compounder €0.0600 €0.1500 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €12.64 €17.01 €22.16 38
Owner Earnings €1.77 €2.65 €3.69 31
5Y Revenue Exit €5.80 €6.91 €8.04 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €12.33 €18.64 €25.66 41
10Y Revenue Exit €8.79 €10.33 €11.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €12.33 €17.15 €23.00 37
Earnings-Based
EPV €0.0600 €0.1500 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.8400 €1.33 €1.80 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.8400 €1.16 €1.44 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT €0.9800 €1.64 €2.31 53
EV/EBITDA €13.99 €18.99 €23.98 54
EV/Revenue €0.3400 €0.9100 €1.48 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.43 €4.59 €6.85 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €12.76 €16.66 €21.03 80
Rev-Margin DCF €5.80 €7.23 €8.92 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €0.0600 €0.1500 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€10.33) versus Earnings-Based (€0.0600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €535M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.2%
Net margin -1.0%
Return on equity -3.9%
Free cash flow €34.4M FY2025
Operating margin 3.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.2500
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +371%
Net debt €118M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ACTIA Group S.A. designs and manufactures embedded electronic equipment and systems in the fields of road and rail transport, transport, passenger transport, agriculture, and construction sectors. It offers embedded electronic systems; embedded systems, augmented by software services; and solutions for managing, transport, and distributing electrical energy.

Full company description

ACTIA Group S.A. designs and manufactures embedded electronic equipment and systems in the fields of road and rail transport, transport, passenger transport, agriculture, and construction sectors. It offers embedded electronic systems; embedded systems, augmented by software services; and solutions for managing, transport, and distributing electrical energy. ACTIA Group S.A. was formerly known as Actielec Technologies and changed its name to ACTIA Group S.A. in September 2008. The company was incorporated in 1907 and is headquartered in Toulouse, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ACTIA Group reported revenue of €535M in FY2025 versus €446M in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€5.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 39/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€535M
Latest YoY
+0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Revenue +4.7%/yr
FY21 €446M
FY22 €500M
FY23 €579M
FY24 €535M
FY25 €535M
Net income
FY21 −€6.4M
FY22 €20.0M
FY23 €7.5M
FY24 €13.9M
FY25 −€5.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −5.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.5 pp

of which total revenue +4.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −3.6 pp
Tax rate −2.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ACTIA Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALATI

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.76× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.63× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.16× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 16
FUTURE 26 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 62 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 61 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is ACTIA Group (ALATI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €12.21 versus a price of €4.07, about +200% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALATI?
Our model-based fair value for ACTIA Group is €12.21 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €4.07.
What is the quality score of ALATI?
ACTIA Group has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ACTIA Group (ALATI)?
ACTIA Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €535M (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALATI?
The net profit margin of ACTIA Group is about -1.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ACTIA Group pay a dividend?
ACTIA Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.81% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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