Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS TRY 230, price TRY 92.70, upside +147.7%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 21.00 TRY – 180.80 TRY · fair‑value band 191.69 TRY – 292.01 TRY · the 92.70 TRY price screens below the 229.57 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomünikasyon A.S. engages in the production and sale of telecommunication equipment in Turkey, Finland, and internationally. It operates through Cloud and Network Services; and Network Infrastructures segments. The company offers telephone switchboards and transmission devices.
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Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomünikasyon A.S. engages in the production and sale of telecommunication equipment in Turkey, Finland, and internationally. It operates through Cloud and Network Services; and Network Infrastructures segments. The company offers telephone switchboards and transmission devices. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL) currently trades at 92.70 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 229.57 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 59.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 486.70 TRY per share, and 12 of the 14 models we run sit above the 92.70 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 57.25 TRY, and 2 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 191.69 TRY (bear) to 292.01 TRY (bull), the price of 92.70 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS reported revenue of 5.4B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.3B TRY in FY2021, a compound +42.5%/yr. Reported net income was −66.9M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 7.0B TRY (≈ $143M) · P/S ratio 1.33 · EPS (TTM) −1.74 TRY · Net margin −1.2% · Return on equity −4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% · Operating margin −1.5% · Revenue (TTM) 5.2B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at 148%, ALCTL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 191.69 TRYFair Value 229.57 TRYBull 292.01 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +32.2% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.6% (2021) → 9.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−22.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −34.8% a year for the price.
Compare Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 308 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+148% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)−3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−14% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALCTL
Frequently asked questions
Is Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 229.57 TRY versus a price of 92.70 TRY, about +148% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALCTL?
Our model-based fair value for Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS is 229.57 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 92.70 TRY.
What is the quality score of ALCTL?
Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 229.57 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 191.69 TRY, optimistic scenario 292.01 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 229.57 TRY, about +148% upside versus a price of 92.70 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 191.69 TRY, optimistic scenario 292.01 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.2B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS would have to grow free cash flow by -22.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +36.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ALCTL use?
Our models discount Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.45, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS that is -22.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS grew +36.4 % a year. The price currently implies -22.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (-22.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.92 %: that much free cash flow Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS it is 229.57 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 92.70 TRY. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ALCTL trades below its calculated fair value: price 92.70 TRY, fair value 229.57 TRY, a gap of about +148% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALCTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (92.70 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (229.57 TRY). For Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS the two are 136.87 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS worth?
The market values Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS at about 7.0B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 92.70 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 229.57 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALCTL?
Our models span a range for Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS: cautious scenario 191.69 TRY, base 229.57 TRY, optimistic 292.01 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 92.70 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALCTL from its 52-week high?
Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS trades at 92.70 TRY, about 49% below its 52-week high of 182.90 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 229.57 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 92.70 TRY, calculated fair value 229.57 TRY (+148%), Quality Score 56/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALCTL calculated?
We run Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 229.57 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS currently trades 148 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 92.70 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 229.57 TRY, about +148% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (191.69 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
The market capitalisation of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS is 7.0B TRY (≈ $143M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS is 1.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
Earnings per share at Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS are −1.74 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
The net margin of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS is −1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
The operating margin of Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS is −1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
Revenue at Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS is growing −13.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +33.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS (ALCTL)?
Earnings per share at Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomunikasyon AS are growing −87.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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