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Gévelot SA (ALGEV) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · FR · Market cap €145M

GS Gévelot SA ALGEV · PA
Price€197.00
Fair Value€81.73
Upside-58.5%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.56% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range €61.30 – €102.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +1.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€102.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€232.91 €144.36 Fair Value €81.73 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €144.36 – €232.91 · fair‑value band €61.30 – €102.16 · the €197.00 price screens above the €81.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Gévelot SA (ALGEV) currently trades at €197.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €81.73, implying the stock looks roughly 58.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Gévelot SA generated revenue of €156M at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €17.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €61.30 (bear case) to €102.16 (bull case); at €197.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -59%, ALGEV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €143.46 €167.27 €199.65 80
Residual Income €178.25 €164.68 €107.09 76
Rev-Margin DCF €124.69 €157.94 €197.59 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €141.64 €167.14 €204.17 38
Owner Earnings €81.11 €91.76 €107.22 31
5Y Revenue Exit €124.69 €155.61 €197.36 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €158.97 €214.45 €282.84 41
5Y P/E Exit €114.25 €137.69 €163.68 38
10Y Revenue Exit €130.26 €155.87 €184.59 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €149.94 €189.24 €234.13 37
10Y P/E Exit €126.33 €145.71 €165.07 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €26.46 €49.01 €60.77 54
EPV €77.99 €82.82 €86.74 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €34.90 €43.35 €50.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage €34.90 €44.10 €53.14 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €61.30 €81.73 €102.16 63
P/S Multiple €49.62 €66.16 €82.70 58
P/B Multiple €49.62 €66.16 €82.70 55
EV/EBIT €147.24 €183.74 €220.25 53
EV/EBITDA €195.17 €247.65 €300.12 54
EV/Revenue €115.89 €149.39 €182.88 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €142.21 €190.56 €284.42 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €143.46 €167.27 €199.65 80
Rev-Margin DCF €124.69 €157.94 €197.59 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €178.25 €164.68 €107.09 76
ROIC Compounder €77.99 €82.82 €86.74 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €43.59 €62.27 €80.95 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€190.56) versus Dividend Discount (€43.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €156M
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.4%
Net margin 1.9%
Return on equity 1.6%
Free cash flow €10.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 49.7
More key figures
Operating margin 3.8%
EPS (TTM) €3.92
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -60.4%
Net cash €17.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gévelot SA engages in the manufacture and sale of pumps and fluid technology products. It operates in France, other European Union countries, other European countries, the United States, Africa, Asia, and internationally. The company was founded in 1820 and is based in Levallois-Perret, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gévelot SA reported revenue of €156M in FY2025 versus €101M in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was €2.9M in FY2025, compounding −20.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€156M
Latest YoY
+13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.7%
Revenue +11.5%/yr
FY21 €101M
FY22 €135M
FY23 €151M
FY24 €138M
FY25 €156M
Net income −20.4%/yr
FY21 €7.2M
FY22 €8.0M
FY23 €13.3M
FY24 €3.3M
FY25 €2.9M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −17.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.3 pp

of which total revenue −0.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.5 pp

EBIT margin −18.1 pp
Tax rate −2.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

ALGEV screens 59% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gévelot SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALGEV

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 49.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.79× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.07× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 16.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.19× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 57 · sector 23
PAST 6 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 51 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gévelot SA (ALGEV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €81.73 versus a price of €197.00, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALGEV?
Our model-based fair value for Gévelot SA is €81.73 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €197.00.
What is the quality score of ALGEV?
Gévelot SA has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gévelot SA (ALGEV)?
Gévelot SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €156M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALGEV?
The net profit margin of Gévelot SA is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Gévelot SA pay a dividend?
Gévelot SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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