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ANA Holdings (ALNPY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $8.4B

AH ANA Holdings logo ANA Holdings ALNPY · US
Price$3.64
Fair Value$10.39
Upside+185.4%
Quality56/100
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Evidence: High Range $7.05 – $13.14 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $10.59 to $10.39 (−1.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$3.90 $3.16 Fair Value $10.39 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $3.16 – $3.90 · fair‑value band $7.05 – $13.14 · the $3.64 price screens below the $10.39 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

ANA Holdings (ALNPY) currently trades at $3.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.39, implying the stock looks roughly 185.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, ANA Holdings generated revenue of $2.5T at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue grew 18.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.9%. Net debt stands at $437B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.05 (bear case) to $13.14 (bull case); at $3.64, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 39% fair-value upside, at 185%, ALNPY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.5T
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.4%
Net margin 6.7%
Return on equity 12.9%
Free cash flow $242B FY2026
P/E ratio 9.5
More key figures
Operating margin 5.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.4000
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +50.3%
Net debt $437B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

ANA Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in Japan and internationally. It operates through Aviation Business, Aviation related business, Travel business, and Trading company business segments. The Air Transportation segment offers domestic and international passenger, cargo and mail, and other transportation services. The Aviation related business segment provides air transportation related services, such as airport handling, and maintenance services. Its Travel business segment provides travellers with transportation, accommodation and other related services for the travel products, and manages the itinerary for the travel products. The Trading company business segment import and export of aviation-related materials, stores, mail order sales, etc. The company was formerly known as All Nippon Airways Co., Ltd. and changed its name to ANA Holdings Inc. in April 2013. ANA Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1920 and is headquartered in …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

ANA Holdings reported revenue of $2.7T in FY2026 versus $1.0T in FY2022, a compound +27.5%/yr. Reported net income was $179B in FY2026.

Revenue +27.5%/yr
FY22 $1.0T
FY23 $1.7T
FY24 $2.1T
FY25 $2.3T
FY26 $2.7T
Net income
FY22 −$144B
FY23 $89.5B
FY24 $157B
FY25 $153B
FY26 $179B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ANA Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALNPY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ryanair Holdings R1YA34 R$36.55 R$31.35 -14%
Delta Air Lines, Inc DEAI34 R$406.00 R$415.54 +2%
United Airlines Holdings UAL1 €100.00 €85.45 -15%
International Consolidated Airlines Group ICAGY $12.37 $32.93 +166%
Southwest Airlines Co LUV $41.54 $4.93 -88%
InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO ₹5,021 ₹3,704 -26%
Singapore Airlines Limited C6L 6.95 SGD 9.68 SGD +39%
Air China Limited 601111 ¥6.16 ¥15.33 +149%
LATAM Airlines Group LTM $55.74 $106.79 +92%
Deutsche Lufthansa AG 1LHA €9.98 €15.60 +56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ANA Holdings (ALNPY) undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.39 versus a price of $3.64, about +185% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ALNPY?
Our model-based fair value for ANA Holdings is $10.39 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.64.
What is the quality score of ALNPY?
ANA Holdings has a Quality Score of 56/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of ANA Holdings (ALNPY)?
ANA Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.5T (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALNPY?
The net profit margin of ANA Holdings is about 6.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ANA Holdings pay a dividend?
ANA Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.