Ryanair Holdings (RYA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IE · Market cap €26.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from €43.68 to €30.50 (−30.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (€22.78 to €49.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from €22.78 (bear) to €49.61 (bull), base €30.50. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 69/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €9.78 – €29.77 · fair‑value band €22.78 – €49.61 · the €25.47 price screens below the €30.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Ryanair Holdings (RYA) currently trades at €25.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €30.50, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ryanair Holdings generated revenue of €15.5B at a net margin of 14.0%. Revenue grew 9.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €22.78 (bear case) to €49.61 (bull case); at €25.47, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 40% fair-value upside, at 20%, RYA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€51.62) versus Asset-Based (€6.50). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ryanair Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides scheduled-passenger airline services in Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Full company description
Ryanair Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides scheduled-passenger airline services in Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers various ancillary services; engages in other activities connected with its air passenger service, including non-flight scheduled and Internet-related services, as well as in-flight sale of beverages, food, duty-free, and merchandise; and markets car hire, travel insurance, and accommodation services through its website and mobile app. It also provides passenger and aircraft handling, ticketing, and maintenance and repair services; and markets car parking, fast-track, airport transfers, attractions, and activities on its website and mobile app, as well as sells gift vouchers. Ryanair Holdings plc was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Ryanair Holdings reported revenue of €15.5B in FY2026 versus €4.8B in FY2022, a compound +34.1%/yr. Reported net income was €2.2B in FY2026.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Ryanair passenger numbers reach new high
- Ryanair sued by hundreds of pilots
- Ryanair Extends AWS AI Partnership
- Higher Fuel Prices Are Hurting Europe’s Budget Airlines; Is Ryanair or EasyJet Better Positioned?
Peer Group
Airlines · 60 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Airlines median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL | $84.17 | $118.24 | +40% |
| United Airlines Holdings UAL | $120.97 | $175.62 | +45% |
| Southwest Airlines Co LUV | $47.56 | $14.76 | -69% |
| InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO | ₹5,249 | ₹3,704 | -29% |
| Singapore Airlines Limited C6L | 7.60 SGD | 7.89 SGD | +4% |
| Air China Limited 601111 | ¥5.97 | ¥7.16 | +20% |
| LATAM Airlines Group LTM | $54.87 | $106.79 | +95% |
| Deutsche Lufthansa AG 1LHA | €8.57 | €15.42 | +80% |
| China Southern Airlines Company 600029 | ¥4.99 | ¥1.28 | -74% |
| China Eastern Airlines Corporation 600115 | ¥3.66 | ¥14.20 | +288% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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