Alpcot Holding (ALPCOT-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 247M SEK (≈ $25.8M) · ISIN SE0016845655
What is Alpcot Holding really worth?
A solid business, but trading 136% above our fair value of kr 0.4700.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from kr 0.3900 to kr 0.4700 (+20.5%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −10.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.5800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range kr 0.5700 – kr 5.80 · fair‑value band kr 0.3600 – kr 0.5800 · the kr 1.11 price screens above the kr 0.4700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Alpcot Holding (ALPCOT-B) currently trades at kr 1.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.4700, implying the stock looks roughly 136.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 2.08 per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the kr 1.11 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at kr 0.2200, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Alpcot Holding generated revenue of 136M SEK at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 24.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 6.4M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 0.3600 (bear case) to kr 0.5800 (bull case); at kr 1.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −58%, ALPCOT-B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 2.08) versus Economic Profit (kr 0.2200). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
Notify me when ALPCOT-B reaches fair value
Put ALPCOT-B on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Alpcot Holding AB (publ), through its subsidiaries, owns and operates a digital platform for personal finance in the financial industry in Sweden. Its digital platform offers customers various services, including lowering their fees, optimizing their investments and managing personal risks.
Full company description
Alpcot Holding AB (publ), through its subsidiaries, owns and operates a digital platform for personal finance in the financial industry in Sweden. Its digital platform offers customers various services, including lowering their fees, optimizing their investments and managing personal risks. The company also provides advice to corporate customers regarding occupational pension plans and associated risk insurance. In addition, it offers services for asset management of excess liquidity, generation planning, legal issues, and company property protection, as well as private banking services. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Alpcot Holding AB (publ) operates as a subsidiary of Alpcot Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alpcot Holding reported revenue of 127M SEK in FY2025 versus 6.5M SEK in FY2021, a compound +110.1%/yr. Reported net income was 4.1M SEK in FY2025.
ALPCOT-B screens 136% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $480.35 | $365.74 | −24% |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $151.94 | $117.84 | −22% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $166.00 | $61.46 | −63% |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $442.61 | $101.19 | −77% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$111.01 | A$70.69 | −36% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $105.26 | $71.79 | −32% |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $190.64 | $154.83 | −19% |
| Adyen N.V ADYEN | €1,007 | €707.53 | −30% |
| MongoDB, Inc MDB | $440.58 | $93.91 | −79% |
| Okta, Inc OKTA | $166.23 | $30.50 | −82% |
Compare Alpcot Holding with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Alpcot Holding (ALPCOT-B) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of ALPCOT-B?
What is the quality score of ALPCOT-B?
What is the revenue of Alpcot Holding (ALPCOT-B)?
What is the net profit margin of ALPCOT-B?
Watch Alpcot Holding in the live analysis
One click puts Alpcot Holding on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.