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ALVAZ Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · FR · Market cap €88.5M

A ALVAZ ALVAZ · PA
Price€31.20
Fair Value€16.41
Upside-47.4%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: Medium Range €12.31 – €20.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −5.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€20.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

€50.50 €18.00 Fair Value €16.41 Aug 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

48‑month range €18.00 – €50.50 · fair‑value band €12.31 – €20.51 · the €31.20 price screens above the €16.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

ALVAZ (ALVAZ) currently trades at €31.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €16.41, implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, ALVAZ generated revenue of €54.7M at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 67.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €4.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €12.31 (bear case) to €20.51 (bull case); at €31.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -47%, ALVAZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple €12.31 €16.41 €20.51 63
Residual Income €6.21 €6.69 €7.58 61
P/B Multiple €10.46 €13.95 €17.43 55
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €5.58 €38.90 €54.60 54
Lynch FV €20.10 €28.71 €37.33 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple €12.31 €16.41 €20.51 63
P/B Multiple €10.46 €13.95 €17.43 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.87 €5.19 €7.75 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €6.21 €6.69 €7.58 61

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (€28.71) versus Asset-Based (€5.19). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €64.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) +52.4%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 11.2%
Free cash flow −€916K FY2022
P/E ratio 40.2
More key figures
Operating margin 1.6%
EPS (TTM) €0.8200
Net cash €4.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 84
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 28
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Vaziva Société anonyme issues vacation, gift, and lunch vouchers on a managed Mastercard payment card for social and economic committees, human resources, companies and local authorities. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Paris, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ALVAZ reported revenue of €64.7M in FY2025 versus €6.0M in FY2021, a compound +81.0%/yr. Reported net income was €2.2M in FY2025, compounding +141.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€64.7M
Latest YoY
+60.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+65.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+72.6%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+80.8%
Revenue +81.0%/yr
FY21 €6.0M
FY22 €14.3M
FY23 €27.1M
FY24 €40.4M
FY25 €64.7M
Net income +141.5%/yr
FY21 €64.7K
FY22 €204K
FY23 €320K
FY24 €1.2M
FY25 €2.2M

ALVAZ screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ALVAZ Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALVAZ

Peer Group

Credit Services · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −47% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 52% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.92× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.58× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 34.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 45 · sector 32
HEALTH 99 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ALVAZ overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €16.41 versus a price of €31.20, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALVAZ?
Our model-based fair value for ALVAZ is €16.41 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €31.20.
What is the quality score of ALVAZ?
ALVAZ has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ALVAZ?
ALVAZ reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €54.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALVAZ?
The net profit margin of ALVAZ is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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