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Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Vaziva Sa €6.90, price €22.80, upside -69.7%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · FR · ISIN FR0014007T10

VS Some data Sep 23, 2026

Vaziva Sa

ALVAZ · PA

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €6.90 · Strongly overvalued (−70%)
!Quality 57/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +72.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 39/100
!Insider activity 30/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€50.50 €18.00 Fair Value €6.90 Aug 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

50‑month range €18.00 – €50.50 · fair‑value band €6.35 – €8.30 · the €22.80 price screens above the €6.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Vaziva issues vacation, gift, and lunch vouchers on a managed Mastercard payment card for social and economic committees, human resources, companies and local authorities. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Paris, France.

Stock analysis

Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ) currently trades at €22.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.90, implying the stock looks roughly 230.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of €28.71 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the €22.80 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €5.19, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €6.35 (bear) to €8.30 (bull), the price of €22.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Vaziva Sa reported revenue of €64.7M in FY2025 versus €6.0M in FY2021, a compound +81.0%/yr. Reported net income was €2.2M in FY2025, compounding +141.5%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap €88.5M · P/E ratio 27.8 · P/S ratio 0.95 · EPS (TTM) €0.8200 · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin 1.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −70%, ALVAZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €6.35 Fair Value €6.90 Bull €8.30
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.5998 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income €6.21 €6.69 €7.58 68
P/E Multiple €8.00 €10.66 €13.33 63
Graham-Dodd €5.58 €38.90 €54.60 61
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €5.58 €38.90 €54.60 61
Lynch FV €20.10 €28.71 €37.33 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €8.00 €10.66 €13.33 63
P/B Multiple €8.14 €10.85 €13.56 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.87 €5.19 €7.75 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €6.21 €6.69 €7.58 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 84
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 28
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+60.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+65.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+72.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+80.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +63.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+63.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 3%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 536% above its own trend.

ALVAZ screens 230% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 331 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −70% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 52% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 4.85× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.56× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 33.7× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)45 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 59
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 68

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $362.04 $227.35 −37%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $555.89 $356.78 −36%
American Express Company AXP $301.96 $206.40 −32%
Capital One Financial Corporation COF $196.10 $125.36 −36%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,043 ₹1,101 +6%
PayPal Holdings PYPL $52.89 $99.46 +88%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,011 ₹1,374 +36%
Affirm Holdings AFRM $68.09 $16.24 −76%
Synchrony Financial, SYF $70.67 $137.28 +94%
SoFi Technologies, Inc SOFI $16.55 $5.57 −66%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vaziva Sa Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALVAZ

Frequently asked questions

Is Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €6.90 versus a price of €22.80, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALVAZ?
Our model-based fair value for Vaziva Sa is €6.90 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €22.80.
What is the quality score of ALVAZ?
Vaziva Sa has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €6.90 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €6.35, optimistic scenario €8.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vaziva Sa stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €6.90, about −70% upside versus a price of €22.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €6.35, optimistic scenario €8.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
Vaziva Sa reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €64.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vaziva Sa it is €6.90 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €22.80. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vaziva Sa stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ALVAZ trades above its calculated fair value: price €22.80, fair value €6.90, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALVAZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€22.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€6.90). For Vaziva Sa the two are €15.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vaziva Sa worth?
The market values Vaziva Sa at about €88.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €22.80; our models calculate a fair value of €6.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALVAZ?
Our models span a range for Vaziva Sa: cautious scenario €6.35, base €6.90, optimistic €8.30 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €22.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALVAZ?
Vaziva Sa trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €6.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.9, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 33.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vaziva Sa (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 11.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALVAZ from its 52-week high?
Vaziva Sa trades at €22.80, about 49% below its 52-week high of €44.80 and at the low of €22.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €6.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vaziva Sa?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vaziva Sa stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €22.80, calculated fair value €6.90 (−70%), Quality Score 57/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALVAZ calculated?
We run Vaziva Sa through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €6.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Vaziva Sa itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €22.80. Our model-based fair value is €6.90, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vaziva Sa right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€8.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Vaziva Sa

How large is the market capitalisation of Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
The market capitalisation of Vaziva Sa is €88.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vaziva Sa is 0.95 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
Earnings per share at Vaziva Sa are €0.8200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
The net margin of Vaziva Sa is 3.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vaziva Sa is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vaziva Sa is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
The operating margin of Vaziva Sa is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ)?
Revenue at Vaziva Sa is growing +52.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +65.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ) generate?
The free cash flow of Vaziva Sa is −€916K (fiscal year 2022). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Vaziva Sa (ALVAZ) hold?
Vaziva Sa holds more cash than debt, €4.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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