WINFARM Société anonyme (ALWF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · FR · Market cap €7.9M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from €24.19 to €3.13 (−87.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +3.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€1.93 to €4.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €3.30 – €38.50 · fair‑value band €1.93 – €4.33 · the €3.99 price screens above the €3.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
WINFARM Société anonyme (ALWF) currently trades at €3.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.13, implying the stock looks roughly 21.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, WINFARM Société anonyme generated revenue of €147M at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.3%. Net debt stands at €25.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.93 (bear case) to €4.33 (bull case); at €3.99, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -21%, ALWF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€28.45) versus Asset-Based (€5.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
WINFARM Société anonyme engages in the provision of consulting, services, and supplies of equipment and solutions to the agricultural and livestock industry worldwide.
Full company description
WINFARM Société anonyme engages in the provision of consulting, services, and supplies of equipment and solutions to the agricultural and livestock industry worldwide. The company is also involved in the design and manufactures of food supplements and hygiene products for livestock; sale of agricultural supplies under the VITAL CONCEPT brand for the mixed crop-livestock market; and operates Bel Orient farm. In addition, it provides technical advice services; and training courses for professionals in agriculture, industry, construction, service sector, and local authorities. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Loudéac, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
WINFARM Société anonyme reported revenue of €146M in FY2025 versus €108M in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€831K in FY2025.
ALWF screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $952.41 | $307.83 | -68% |
| Deere & Company DE | $597.24 | $187.86 | -69% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 336.60 | kr 288.08 | -14% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $126.20 | $94.80 | -25% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 251.90 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €69.40 | €219.41 | +216% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.65 | ¥20.84 | +12% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.39 | ¥11.79 | +41% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.00 | HK$53.51 | +31% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.00 | +30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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