Amber International Holding (AMBR) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $145M
Amber International Holding
AMBR · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −2.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.8500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.18 – $129.00 · fair‑value band $0.6035 – $0.8500 · the $1.38 price screens above the $0.7395 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Amber International Holding (AMBR) currently trades at $1.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7395, implying the stock looks roughly 46.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Amber International Holding generated revenue of $61.6M at a net margin of -1.5%. Revenue declined 32.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $30.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.6035 (bear case) to $0.8500 (bull case); at $1.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -46%, AMBR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.05) versus Earnings-Based ($0.2800). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Amber International Holding Limited operates a digital asset wealth management platform in Hong Kong. It acts as the institutional gateway to crypto finance; and provides market access, execution infrastructure, and investment solutions for institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs).
Full company description
Amber International Holding Limited operates a digital asset wealth management platform in Hong Kong. It acts as the institutional gateway to crypto finance; and provides market access, execution infrastructure, and investment solutions for institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs). The company also offers wealth management solutions, including structured investment products, such as dual cryptocurrency instruments and accumulator/decumulator products; yield and decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions; and collateralized lending, including configurable loan terms and automated position monitoring mechanisms. In addition, it provides full-stack execution solutions for centralized exchanges (CEXs), decentralized exchanges (DEXs), and over-the-counter (OTC) markets; crypto-to-fiat and fiat-to-crypto conversion services through regulated channels; and Amber Premium Crypto Card, a virtual payment solution designed to integrate digital assets with traditional financial systems. It offers its products under the brand name of Amber Premium. The company is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Amber International Holding reported revenue of $66.1M in FY2025 versus $308M in FY2021, a compound −31.9%/yr. Reported net income was $3.8M in FY2025.
AMBR screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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