Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors

Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Amber International Holding Limited $0.74, price $1.81, upside -59.1%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Technology · US · ISIN US45113Y2037

Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Amber International Holding Limited

AMBR · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.7395 · Strongly overvalued (−59.1%)

!Quality 33/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −23.7 %/yr)

!Loss over the last twelve months · -1.5% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 5.7%

!negative free cash flow

!Trails peers (1/8)

!Narrow moat 19/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 27 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear $0.6035 to bull $0.8500 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 33/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.8801 – $110.40 · fair‑value band $0.6035 – $0.8500 · the $1.81 price screens above the $0.7395 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Amber International Holding Limited operates a digital asset wealth management platform in Hong Kong. It acts as the institutional gateway to crypto finance; and provides market access, execution infrastructure, and investment solutions for institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs). The company also offers wealth management solutions, including structured investment products, such as dual cryptocurrency instruments and accumulator/decumulator products; yield and decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions; and collateralized lending, including configurable loan terms and automated position monitoring mechanisms. In addition, it provides full-stack execution solutions for centralized exchanges (CEXs), decentralized exchanges (DEXs), and over-the-counter (OTC) markets; crypto-to-fiat and fiat-to-crypto conversion services through regulated channels; and Amber Premium Crypto Card, a virtual payment solution designed to integrate digital assets with traditional financial systems. It offers its products under the brand name of Amber Premium. The company is headquartered in Singapore.

Stock analysis

Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR) currently trades at $1.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7395, 59.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.06 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the $1.81 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.2800, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.6035 (bear) to $0.8500 (bull), the price of $1.81 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Amber International Holding Limited reported revenue of $66.1M in FY2025 versus $308M in FY2021, a compound −31.9%/yr. Reported net income was $3.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $145M · P/E ratio 154.0 · P/S ratio 8.74 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Net margin 5.7% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −29.8% · Operating margin −31.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −59%, AMBR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.6035 Fair Value $0.7395 Bull $0.8500

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0076 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Owner Earnings $0.8700 $1.06 $1.30 75

Residual Income $0.8400 $0.7800 $0.7700 71

EPV $0.5900 $0.6100 $0.6300 70

All 15 models by family

DCF Models

Owner Earnings $0.8700 $1.06 $1.30 75

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $0.2900 $0.9000 $1.19 65

Lynch FV $0.1900 $0.2800 $0.3600 61

PEG = 1.0 $0.1900 $0.2800 $0.3600 57

EPV $0.5900 $0.6100 $0.6300 70

Multiples

P/E Multiple $0.7100 $0.9500 $1.19 63

P/S Multiple $0.5500 $0.7300 $0.9200 58

P/B Multiple $0.5500 $0.7300 $0.9200 55

EV/EBIT $0.7700 $0.9000 $1.03 63

EV/EBITDA $0.8200 $0.9700 $1.12 64

EV/Revenue $0.6700 $0.8000 $0.9300 52

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $0.6300 $0.8500 $1.27 51

Economic Profit

Residual Income $0.8400 $0.7800 $0.7700 71

ROIC Compounder $0.5900 $0.6100 $0.6300 70

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $0.5800 $0.8300 $1.08 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 26

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 80

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 0

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 48

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 69

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 0

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 29

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 18

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 0

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

+101.5%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−26.9%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−23.7%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.1% a year

Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+0.2%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−2.2% (2020) → 4.3% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year

not computed

AMBR screens overvalued: fair value 59% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

Compare Amber International Holding Limited with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 358 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −60.9% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 6.7% · Above median

Return on assets 0.8% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) −1.5% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) −31.8% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −32.9% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 154.0× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 59

PAST (return on equity)27 · sector 23

HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Microsoft Corporation MSFT	$512.90	$564.19	+10%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR	$187.05	$42.16	−77%
Oracle Corporation ORCL	$137.30	$112.26	−18%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD	$264.75	$37.31	−86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT	$176.33	$164.68	−7%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS	$434.94	$249.20	−43%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV	$87.12	$58.32	−33%
Block, Inc XYZ	$74.04	$76.95	+4%
NetApp, Inc NTAP	$204.41	$157.26	−23%
Okta, Inc OKTA	$202.18	$142.12	−30%

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Amber International Holding Limited · Fair Value
$0.7395 −59%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AMBR" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Amber International Holding Limited · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$0.7395</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−59%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Amber International Holding Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AMBR

Frequently asked questions

Is Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7395 versus a price of $1.81, about −59% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of AMBR?

Our model-based fair value for Amber International Holding Limited is $0.7395 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.81.

What is the quality score of AMBR?

Amber International Holding Limited has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7395 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6035, optimistic scenario $0.8500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Amber International Holding Limited stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $0.7395, about −59% upside versus a price of $1.81 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.6035, optimistic scenario $0.8500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

Amber International Holding Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $61.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Amber International Holding Limited it is $0.7395 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $1.81. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Amber International Holding Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, AMBR trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.81, fair value $0.7395, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of AMBR?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.81); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7395). For Amber International Holding Limited the two are $1.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Amber International Holding Limited worth?

The market values Amber International Holding Limited at about $145M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $1.81; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7395 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AMBR?

Our models span a range for Amber International Holding Limited: cautious scenario $0.6035, base $0.7395, optimistic $0.8500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $1.81). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of AMBR?

Amber International Holding Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 154.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.7395 is built from several models across several years.

How solid is the balance sheet of Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

Balance-sheet figures for Amber International Holding Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 6.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is AMBR from its 52-week high?

Amber International Holding Limited trades at $1.81, about 47% below its 52-week high of $3.41 and 106% above the low of $0.8801 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7395 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Amber International Holding Limited?

From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Amber International Holding Limited stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $1.81, calculated fair value $0.7395 (−59%), Quality Score 33/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of AMBR calculated?

We run Amber International Holding Limited through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7395, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Amber International Holding Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.81. Our model-based fair value is $0.7395, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Amber International Holding Limited right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.8500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Amber International Holding Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

The market capitalisation of Amber International Holding Limited is $145M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Amber International Holding Limited is 8.74 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

Earnings per share at Amber International Holding Limited are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 154.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

The net margin of Amber International Holding Limited is 5.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Amber International Holding Limited is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Amber International Holding Limited is −29.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

The operating margin of Amber International Holding Limited is −31.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR)?

Revenue at Amber International Holding Limited is growing −32.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How much free cash flow does Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR) generate?

The free cash flow of Amber International Holding Limited is −$24.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR) hold?

Amber International Holding Limited holds more cash than debt, $30.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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