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American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of American Superconductor Corporation $8.42, price $31.05, upside -72.9%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US0301112076

AS American Superconductor Corporation logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

American Superconductor Corporation

AMSC · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $8.42 · Strongly overvalued (−73%)
!Quality 50/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +28.0 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 44.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$66.68 $3.29 Fair Value $8.42 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.29 – $66.68 · fair‑value band $5.92 – $12.48 · the $31.05 price screens above the $8.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

American Superconductor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides megawatt-scale power resiliency solutions worldwide. The company operates through two segments: Grid and Wind segments.

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American Superconductor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides megawatt-scale power resiliency solutions worldwide. The company operates through two segments: Grid and Wind segments. The Grid segment offers products and services that enable electric utilities, industrial facilities, and traditional and renewable energy project developers to connect, transmit, and distribute power under the Gridtec Solutions brand. It provides transmission planning services, which identify power grid congestion, poor power quality, and other risks; grid interconnection solutions for wind farms and solar power plants, power quality systems, and transmission and distribution cable systems; D-VAR systems used for controlling power flow and voltage in the AC transmission system; actiVAR system, a fast-switching medium-voltage reactive compensation solution; armorVAR system installed for reactive compensation, power factor correction, loss reduction, utility bill savings, and mitigation of common power quality concerns related to power converter-based generation and load devices; D-VAR volt var optimization (VVO) that serves the distribution power grid market. This segment also offers ship protection systems, which reduce a vessel's magnetic signature; power management, power generation systems, and propulsion motors and power generators; and transformers and rectifiers; and REG systems used in a ring or loop configuration to interconnect nearby urban substations. The Wind segment designs wind turbine systems and licenses these designs to third parties under the Windtec Solutions brand. It also supplies power electronics and software-based control systems, engineered designs, and support services; and provides customer support services to wind turbine manufacturers. This segment's design portfolio comprises a range of drivetrains and power ratings of 2 megawatts and higher. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Ayer, Massachusetts.

Stock analysis

American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) currently trades at $31.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.42, implying the stock looks roughly 269.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $64.99 per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the $31.05 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $5.82, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $5.92 (bear) to $12.48 (bull), the price of $31.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

American Superconductor Corporation reported revenue of $299M in FY2026 versus $108M in FY2022, a compound +28.9%/yr. Reported net income was $134M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $1.6B · P/E ratio 10.2 · P/S ratio 4.57 · EPS (TTM) $3.04 · Net margin 44.7% · Return on equity 35.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.8% · Operating margin 5.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −73%, AMSC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.92 Fair Value $8.42 Bull $12.48
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.47 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $7.75 $11.13 $18.78 79
Growth DCF $7.59 $11.27 $16.37 78
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.74 $11.88 $17.33 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.75 $11.13 $18.78 79
Owner Earnings $36.30 $64.95 $113.38 74
5Y Revenue Exit $6.70 $9.60 $13.63 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.74 $11.88 $17.33 75
5Y P/E Exit $31.07 $63.49 $103.56 68
10Y Revenue Exit $6.93 $9.76 $14.36 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.67 $11.35 $17.38 68
10Y P/E Exit $22.25 $47.35 $88.07 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $18.78 $109.18 $151.93 63
Lynch FV $30.87 $44.09 $57.32 61
PEG = 1.0 $30.87 $44.09 $57.32 57
EPV $5.48 $5.82 $6.11 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $43.49 $57.98 $72.48 63
P/S Multiple $9.26 $12.35 $15.43 58
P/B Multiple $35.20 $46.94 $58.67 55
EV/EBIT $7.41 $8.89 $10.37 66
EV/EBITDA $8.07 $9.77 $11.46 67
EV/Revenue $6.14 $7.50 $8.86 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.73 $7.68 $11.46 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.59 $11.27 $16.37 78
Rev-Margin DCF $6.70 $9.51 $13.42 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $15.79 $21.25 $90.21 58
ROIC Compounder $5.48 $5.82 $6.11 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $45.50 $64.99 $84.49 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+34.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.0% a year
Revenue growth 34 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−26.6% (2021) → 5.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+44.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+14.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +40.9% a year for the price and +12.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+20.5%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+16.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+14.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+12.5%
Projected 2031 (sales)+10.8%

AMSC screens 269% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 30% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 2.88× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.35× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 87.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 58.1× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.74× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
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Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $964.85 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $526.13 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.47 $151.39 −44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.19 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $427.19 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 383.50 kr 193.39 −50%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "American Superconductor Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AMSC

Frequently asked questions

Is American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.42 versus a price of $31.05, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AMSC?
Our model-based fair value for American Superconductor Corporation is $8.42 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $31.05.
What is the quality score of AMSC?
American Superconductor Corporation has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.42 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.92, optimistic scenario $12.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the American Superconductor Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.42, about −73% upside versus a price of $31.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.92, optimistic scenario $12.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
American Superconductor Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $299M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, American Superconductor Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +44.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +28.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AMSC use?
Our models discount American Superconductor Corporation at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 3.22, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For American Superconductor Corporation that is +44.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at American Superconductor Corporation grew +28.0 % a year. The price currently implies +44.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into American Superconductor Corporation (+44.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.34 %: that much free cash flow American Superconductor Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For American Superconductor Corporation it is $8.42 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $31.05. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is American Superconductor Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AMSC trades above its calculated fair value: price $31.05, fair value $8.42, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AMSC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($31.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.42). For American Superconductor Corporation the two are $22.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is American Superconductor Corporation worth?
The market values American Superconductor Corporation at about $1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $31.05; our models calculate a fair value of $8.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AMSC?
Our models span a range for American Superconductor Corporation: cautious scenario $5.92, base $8.42, optimistic $12.48 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $31.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AMSC?
American Superconductor Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $8.42 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 2.9, P/S 5.4, EV/EBITDA 58.1.
What is the PEG ratio of AMSC?
The PEG ratio of American Superconductor Corporation is 0.74 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
Balance-sheet figures for American Superconductor Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 35.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AMSC from its 52-week high?
American Superconductor Corporation trades at $31.05, about 53% below its 52-week high of $66.68 and 20% above the low of $25.95 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to American Superconductor Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is American Superconductor Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $31.05, calculated fair value $8.42 (−73%), Quality Score 50/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AMSC calculated?
We run American Superconductor Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. American Superconductor Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $31.05. Our model-based fair value is $8.42, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with American Superconductor Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($12.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($5.92 to $12.48) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of American Superconductor Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
The market capitalisation of American Superconductor Corporation is $1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of American Superconductor Corporation is 4.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
Earnings per share at American Superconductor Corporation are $3.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
The net margin of American Superconductor Corporation is 44.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of American Superconductor Corporation is 35.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of American Superconductor Corporation is −6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
The operating margin of American Superconductor Corporation is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
Revenue at American Superconductor Corporation is growing +29.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +41.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC)?
Earnings per share at American Superconductor Corporation are growing +222% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) hold?
American Superconductor Corporation holds more cash than debt, $140M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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