Anaergia Inc (ANRG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CA · Market cap C$396M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +2.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.7310). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.2150 – C$25.95 · fair‑value band C$0.4420 – C$0.7310 · the C$2.36 price screens above the C$0.5865 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Anaergia Inc (ANRG) currently trades at C$2.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.5865, implying the stock looks roughly 75.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Anaergia Inc generated revenue of C$211M at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue grew 122.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.7%. Net debt stands at C$21.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.4420 (bear case) to C$0.7310 (bull case); at C$2.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -75%, ANRG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$0.7400) versus Earnings-Based (C$0.4500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Anaergia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides solutions for the generation of renewable energy and conversion of waste to resources in Italy, North America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Capital Sales; Operation & Maintenance Services; and Build, Own, and Operate.
Full company description
Anaergia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides solutions for the generation of renewable energy and conversion of waste to resources in Italy, North America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Capital Sales; Operation & Maintenance Services; and Build, Own, and Operate. The company offers OREX, a waste processing solution that capture and process organic waste contained within mixed municipal solid wastes; Omnivore anaerobic digestion to produce valuable biogas and a nutrient rich soil amendment byproduct; membrane-based system to upgrade biogas and create pipeline; liquid treatment for water re-use and nutrient recovery; and residue treatment solutions. It provides wastewater resource recovery, municipal solid waste, and agricultural waste solutions. Anaergia Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Burlington, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Anaergia Inc reported revenue of C$180M in FY2025 versus C$154M in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was C$7.0M in FY2025.
ANRG screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →
Peer Group
Waste Management · 168 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $226.32 | $128.02 | -43% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $215.08 | $120.63 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$230.52 | C$78.67 | -66% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €34.47 | €23.26 | -33% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $316.65 | $154.01 | -51% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$57.56 | C$44.27 | -23% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.75 | ¥5.27 | -22% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥15.68 | ¥20.95 | +34% |
| China Everbright Environment Group 0257 | HK$5.00 | HK$8.96 | +79% |
| Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering & Technology, Inc 603588 | ¥14.10 | ¥9.35 | -34% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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