PT Antam (Persero) Tbk (ANTM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 73.8T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 4,407 IDR to 1,542 IDR (−65.0%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +13.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (1,157 IDR to 4,777 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,074 IDR – 4,435 IDR · fair‑value band 1,157 IDR – 4,777 IDR · the 3,160 IDR price screens above the 1,542 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
PT Antam (Persero) Tbk (ANTM) currently trades at 3,160 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,542 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 51.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Antam (Persero) Tbk generated revenue of 87.8T IDR at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.9T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,157 IDR (bear case) to 4,777 IDR (bull case); at 3,160 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -51%, ANTM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (12,917 IDR) versus Asset-Based (984.15 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Antam (Persero) Tbk operates as a diversified metals and mining company in Indonesia. The company operates through three segments: Nickel, Precious Metals and Refinery, and Bauxite and Alumina. The company is involved in the exploration, excavation, processing, and marketing of alumina, nickel ore, ferronickel, gold, silver, bauxite, and coal.
Full company description
PT Antam (Persero) Tbk operates as a diversified metals and mining company in Indonesia. The company operates through three segments: Nickel, Precious Metals and Refinery, and Bauxite and Alumina. The company is involved in the exploration, excavation, processing, and marketing of alumina, nickel ore, ferronickel, gold, silver, bauxite, and coal. It also engages in construction, trading, industry, mining, agriculture, printing, and ground transportation businesses; and provision of industrial area management services. In addition, the company exports its products. The company was formerly known as PT Aneka Tambang Tbk and changed its name to PT Antam (Persero) Tbk in February 2026. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Antam (Persero) Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Mineral Industri Indonesia (Persero).
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Antam (Persero) Tbk reported revenue of 84.6T IDR in FY2025 versus 38.4T IDR in FY2021, a compound +21.8%/yr. Reported net income was 7.2T IDR in FY2025, compounding +40.3%/yr from FY2021.
ANTM screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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