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Nam Viet Corp (ANV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Nam Viet Corp VND 58,196, price VND 17,000, upside +242.3%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · VN · ISIN VN000000ANV3

NV Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Nam Viet Corp

ANV · VN

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 58,196 VND · Strongly undervalued (+242.3%)
✓Quality 72/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +15.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (12/14)
✓Wide moat 72/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

33,350 VND 7,538 VND Fair Value 58,196 VND Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7,538 VND – 33,350 VND · fair‑value band 35,431 VND – 103,480 VND · the 17,000 VND price screens below the 58,196 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Nam Viet Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, processing, and preserving of aquatic products in Vietnam and internationally.

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Nam Viet Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, processing, and preserving of aquatic products in Vietnam and internationally. The company engages in growing fish; manufacturing paper packages; printing packages of all kinds; processing and preserving aquatic products; processing fish oil and fish powder; trading fish and aquatic products; manufacturing aqua feeds; producing solar power; and constructing works. It also offers pangasius products, such as white fillet, red meat on fillet, skin on fillet, steak, butterfly, and whole fish; and value-added products, including fish balls, fennel and breaded fish balls, lean pork pie, lemongrass fish rolls, and breaded cube products. In addition, the company engages in growing fish; manufacturing paper packages; printing packages; manufacturing, processing, and preserving aquatic products; manufacturing bio-diesel oil; processing fish oil and fish powder; trading fish and aquatic products; processing and trading aqua feeds for aquatic animals; manufacturing and wholesaling veterinary medicines and aquatic products; and manufacturing and trading fertilizers. Additionally, it is involved in wholesaling metals and metal ores, and chemicals; installing electric systems; transporting goods by road; producing solar power; transmitting and distributing electricity; constructing residential and non-residential buildings; railway, road, irrigation, and mining works; hotel, villa, or apartment accommodation services; leasing non-residential buildings, such as offices, stores, shopping malls, workshops, exhibition halls, and warehouses, as well as land; and constructing processing and manufacturing plants. Further, the company exploits minerals, such as chromite and industrial halite, as well as non-ferrous metals, including iron, copper, lead, and zinc. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Long Xuyen, Vietnam.

Stock analysis

Nam Viet Corp (ANV) currently trades at 17,000 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 58,196 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 70.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 79,600 VND per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the 17,000 VND price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 8,875 VND, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 35,431 VND (bear) to 103,480 VND (bull), the price of 17,000 VND sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Nam Viet Corp reported revenue of 7.0T VND in FY2025 versus 3.5T VND in FY2021, a compound +18.8%/yr. Reported net income was 999B VND in FY2025, compounding +66.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 4.5T VND · P/E ratio 4.3 · P/S ratio 0.61 · EPS (TTM) 3,993 VND · Net margin 14.4% · Return on equity 32.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5% · Operating margin 13.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 242%, ANV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 35,431 VND Fair Value 58,196 VND Bull 103,480 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (3,019 VND per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 28,888 VND 48,658 VND 79,700 VND 78
Growth DCF 28,056 VND 44,723 VND 68,047 VND 77
Owner Earnings 33,936 VND 57,548 VND 93,680 VND 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 28,888 VND 48,658 VND 79,700 VND 78
Owner Earnings 33,936 VND 57,548 VND 93,680 VND 75
5Y Revenue Exit 27,781 VND 49,003 VND 78,343 VND 71
5Y EBITDA Exit 38,077 VND 71,153 VND 114,028 VND 73
5Y P/E Exit 44,331 VND 84,606 VND 132,570 VND 69
10Y Revenue Exit 26,982 VND 45,734 VND 75,489 VND 65
10Y EBITDA Exit 33,660 VND 59,955 VND 102,103 VND 66
10Y P/E Exit 37,275 VND 68,593 VND 115,931 VND 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 25,526 VND 137,053 VND 189,911 VND 63
Lynch FV 37,891 VND 54,130 VND 70,369 VND 61
PEG = 1.0 37,891 VND 54,130 VND 70,369 VND 57
EPV 28,479 VND 31,876 VND 34,633 VND 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 59,123 VND 78,830 VND 98,538 VND 63
P/S Multiple 31,330 VND 41,773 VND 52,217 VND 58
P/B Multiple 47,861 VND 63,815 VND 79,769 VND 55
EV/EBIT 56,315 VND 75,030 VND 93,745 VND 66
EV/EBITDA 48,052 VND 64,013 VND 79,973 VND 67
EV/Revenue 27,585 VND 39,334 VND 51,083 VND 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6,623 VND 8,875 VND 13,246 VND 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 28,056 VND 44,723 VND 68,047 VND 77
Rev-Margin DCF 27,781 VND 48,394 VND 76,294 VND 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income 18,276 VND 25,571 VND 46,722 VND 72
ROIC Compounder 31,707 VND 39,456 VND 48,399 VND 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 55,720 VND 79,600 VND 103,480 VND 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 79
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+41.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−10.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 17%
2025 sits 1,990% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Vietnam: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.1% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 284 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 32.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 66.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.28× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $80.38 $38.02 −53%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.48 ¥115.35 +185%
Bunge Global SA BG $108.14 $56.75 −48%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $50.98 $37.06 −27%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 −17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 205.60 kr 280.90 +37%
SalMar ASA SALM kr 580.50 kr 171.05 −71%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 21.80 THB 55.71 THB +156%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 32.58 MYR 35.84 MYR +10%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥155.26 ¥254.63 +64%

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Nam Viet Corp · Fair Value
58,196 VND +71%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nam Viet Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ANV

Frequently asked questions

Is Nam Viet Corp (ANV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 58,196 VND versus a price of 17,000 VND, about +242% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ANV?
Our model-based fair value for Nam Viet Corp is 58,196 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 17,000 VND.
What is the quality score of ANV?
Nam Viet Corp has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 58,196 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 35,431 VND, optimistic scenario 103,480 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nam Viet Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 58,196 VND, about +242% upside versus a price of 17,000 VND (undervalued). Cautious scenario 35,431 VND, optimistic scenario 103,480 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
Nam Viet Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.7T VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nam Viet Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +4.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ANV use?
Our models discount Nam Viet Corp at 15.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.77, country premium for Vietnam. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nam Viet Corp that is +4.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nam Viet Corp (ANV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nam Viet Corp grew +15.1 % a year. The price currently implies +4.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nam Viet Corp (ANV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nam Viet Corp (+4.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.81 %: that much free cash flow Nam Viet Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nam Viet Corp it is 58,196 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 17,000 VND. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nam Viet Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ANV trades below its calculated fair value: price 17,000 VND, fair value 58,196 VND, a gap of about +242% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ANV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (17,000 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (58,196 VND). For Nam Viet Corp the two are 41,196 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nam Viet Corp worth?
The market values Nam Viet Corp at about 4.5T VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 17,000 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 58,196 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ANV?
Our models span a range for Nam Viet Corp: cautious scenario 35,431 VND, base 58,196 VND, optimistic 103,480 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 17,000 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ANV?
Nam Viet Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 58,196 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 3.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nam Viet Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 32.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ANV from its 52-week high?
Nam Viet Corp trades at 17,000 VND, about 49% below its 52-week high of 33,350 VND and 11% above the low of 15,300 VND (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 58,196 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nam Viet Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nam Viet Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 17,000 VND, calculated fair value 58,196 VND (+242%), Quality Score 72/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ANV calculated?
We run Nam Viet Corp through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 58,196 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Nam Viet Corp currently trades 71 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 17,000 VND. Our model-based fair value is 58,196 VND, about +242% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nam Viet Corp right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (72/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (35,431 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (35,431 VND to 103,480 VND). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Nam Viet Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
The market capitalisation of Nam Viet Corp is 4.5T VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nam Viet Corp is 0.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
Earnings per share at Nam Viet Corp are 3,993 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
The net margin of Nam Viet Corp is 14.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nam Viet Corp is 32.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nam Viet Corp is 9.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
The operating margin of Nam Viet Corp is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
Revenue at Nam Viet Corp is growing +66.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nam Viet Corp (ANV)?
Earnings per share at Nam Viet Corp are growing +48.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Nam Viet Corp (ANV) carry?
The net debt of Nam Viet Corp is 1.5T VND (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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