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AO World plc (AO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 510M GBX

AW AO World plc AO · LSE
Price£0.9130
Fair Value£1.41
Upside+54.4%
Quality69/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range £1.06 – £1.77 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from £0.4200 to £1.41 (+235.7%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +4.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 54% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (£1.06). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£2.37 £0.3446 Fair Value £1.41 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.3446 – £2.37 · fair‑value band £1.06 – £1.77 · the £0.9130 price screens below the £1.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

AO World plc (AO) currently trades at £0.9130, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.41, implying the stock looks roughly 54.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, AO World plc generated revenue of £1.2B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £16.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £1.06 (bear case) to £1.77 (bull case); at £0.9130, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 54%, AO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £1.79 £2.68 £3.91 80
Residual Income £0.3700 £0.5200 £2.15 76
Rev-Margin DCF £1.26 £1.85 £2.59 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £1.81 £2.79 £4.22 38
Owner Earnings £1.24 £1.88 £2.83 31
5Y Revenue Exit £1.26 £1.84 £2.58 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £1.49 £2.29 £3.26 41
5Y P/E Exit £1.37 £2.06 £2.81 38
10Y Revenue Exit £1.43 £2.01 £2.82 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £1.59 £2.31 £3.32 37
10Y P/E Exit £1.52 £2.16 £2.99 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.4400 £1.81 £2.46 54
Lynch FV £0.4600 £0.6500 £0.8500 50
PEG = 1.0 £0.4600 £0.6500 £0.8500 46
EPV £0.6400 £0.7100 £0.7700 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.0400 £0.0700 £0.1000 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.0400 £0.0600 £0.0800 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £1.06 £1.41 £1.77 63
P/S Multiple £0.8200 £1.09 £1.37 58
P/B Multiple £0.8200 £1.09 £1.37 55
EV/EBIT £1.34 £1.73 £2.13 53
EV/EBITDA £1.41 £1.84 £2.26 54
EV/Revenue £0.9500 £1.29 £1.64 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.1600 £0.2100 £0.3100 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £1.79 £2.68 £3.91 80
Rev-Margin DCF £1.26 £1.85 £2.59 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.3700 £0.5200 £2.15 76
ROIC Compounder £0.6800 £0.8100 £0.9500 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £0.8000 £1.15 £1.49 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (£2.06) versus Dividend Discount (£0.0600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.3B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.9%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow 91.3M GBX FY2026
P/E ratio 46.0
More key figures
Operating margin 3.0%
EPS (TTM) £0.0200
EPS growth (YoY) +13.5%
Net cash 16.5M GBX FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 70
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AO World plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the online retailing of domestic appliances and ancillary services in the United Kingdom and Germany. It retails fridges and freezers, laundry products, and dishwashers, as well as smart tech, computing, and TV and entertainment products through its e-commerce platforms.

Full company description

AO World plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the online retailing of domestic appliances and ancillary services in the United Kingdom and Germany. It retails fridges and freezers, laundry products, and dishwashers, as well as smart tech, computing, and TV and entertainment products through its e-commerce platforms. The company also engages in the production of content, including imagery, videos, how-to guides and lifestyle contents, and energy efficiency ratings; and operation of waste electrical and electronic equipment (WEEE) and plastics recycling facilities, as well as distribution centers. In addition, the company offers musicMagpie, a reverse supply chain platform that provides customers options to train in tech and to buy second-life products. Further, it provides logistics and transport services. The company sells its products through its website, marketplaces, and third-party websites. AO World plc was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Bolton, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

AO World plc reported revenue of £1.3B in FY2026 versus £1.6B in FY2022, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was £35.9M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£1.3B
Latest YoY
+11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+14.6%
Revenue −5.0%/yr
FY22 £1.6B
FY23 £1.1B
FY24 £1.0B
FY25 £1.1B
FY26 £1.3B
Net income
FY22 −£30.4M
FY23 −£2.6M
FY24 £24.7M
FY25 £10.5M
FY26 £35.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AO World plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AO

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 221 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +54% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.92× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.54× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 31
FUTURE 45 · sector 23
PAST 90 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $827.04 $405.44 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $222.84 $164.16 -26%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $479.57 $488.39 +2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $208.89 $181.10 -13%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.98 $109.12 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.90 ¥40.40 -24%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.01 $35.52 +15%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $618.57 $423.35 -32%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $197.71 $117.29 -41%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 110.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AO World plc (AO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.41 versus a price of £0.9130, about +54% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AO?
Our model-based fair value for AO World plc is £1.41 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.9130.
What is the quality score of AO?
AO World plc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AO World plc (AO)?
AO World plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £1.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AO?
The net profit margin of AO World plc is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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