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Amotiv Ltd (AOV) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$866M (≈ $624M) · ISIN AU0000340770

What is Amotiv Ltd really worth?

AL Amotiv Ltd AOV · AU
PriceA$6.28
Fair ValueA$9.08
Upside+44.6%
Quality50/100

A solid business, trading 31% below our fair value of A$9.08.

As of Aug 19, 2026, the fair value of Amotiv Ltd is A$9.08 per share against a price of A$6.28, so the fair value sits 45% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -9.2% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 17 out of 100

For context

·6.69% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range A$6.33 – A$14.73

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −11.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (A$6.33 to A$14.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$11.13 A$5.95 Fair Value A$9.08 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$5.95 – A$11.13 · fair‑value band A$6.33 – A$14.73 · the A$6.28 price screens below the A$9.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Amotiv Ltd (AOV) currently trades at A$6.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$9.08, implying the stock looks roughly 30.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$12.43 per share, and 9 of the 15 models we run sit above the A$6.28 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at A$2.77, and 6 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Amotiv Ltd generated revenue of A$1.0B at a net margin of −9.2%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −11.3%. Net debt stands at A$517M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$6.33 (bear case) to A$14.73 (bull case); at A$6.28, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 45%, AOV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF A$4.28 A$7.37 A$11.47 79
Growth DCF A$4.33 A$7.03 A$10.39 78
EPV A$2.09 A$2.77 A$3.33 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$4.28 A$7.37 A$11.47 79
5Y Revenue Exit A$3.56 A$6.93 A$11.16 70
5Y EBITDA Exit A$6.14 A$11.71 A$18.17 73
10Y Revenue Exit A$3.62 A$6.58 A$10.42 65
10Y EBITDA Exit A$5.28 A$9.60 A$15.28 67
Earnings-Based
EPV A$2.09 A$2.77 A$3.33 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$3.29 A$5.93 A$8.16 68
DDM Multi-Stage A$3.29 A$5.06 A$6.34 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT A$8.61 A$12.43 A$16.24 65
EV/EBITDA A$8.74 A$12.60 A$16.46 67
EV/Revenue A$3.42 A$6.11 A$8.79 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$2.71 A$3.63 A$5.41 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$4.33 A$7.03 A$10.39 78
Rev-Margin DCF A$3.56 A$6.99 A$10.91 71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder A$2.09 A$2.77 A$3.33 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (A$12.43) versus Earnings-Based (A$2.77). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.85 TTM
EPS (TTM) A$−0.6500
Dividend yield 6.7%
Net margin −10.7% FY2025
Return on equity −11.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 16.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) A$1.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.3% 3y avg +6.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +44.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow A$102M FY2025
Net debt A$517M FY2025 · ≈ 5.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Amotiv Limited manufactures, imports, distributes, and sells automotive products in Australia, New Zealand, Thailand, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally. It operates through 4WD Accessories & Trailering; Lighting, Power & Electrical; Powertrain & Undercar segments.

Full company description

Amotiv Limited manufactures, imports, distributes, and sells automotive products in Australia, New Zealand, Thailand, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally. It operates through 4WD Accessories & Trailering; Lighting, Power & Electrical; Powertrain & Undercar segments. The 4WD Accessories & Trailering segment manufactures, markets, and distributes towing, trailering, functional accessories, and associated products for the automotive aftermarket and original equipment manufacturer customers. The Lighting, Power & Electrical segment offers automotive electrical, lighting, and associated products, as well as power management solutions for various types of vehicles for the automotive aftermarket and original equipment manufacturer customers. The Powertrain & Undercar segment manufactures, markets, and distributes automotive and heavy-duty filters for cars, fuel pumps, clutches, brakes, gaskets, pumps, electronic devices, trucks, and agricultural and mining equipment, as well as associated products and accessories for the automotive aftermarket. The company was formerly known as GUD Holdings Limited and changed its name to Amotiv Limited in June 2024. Amotiv Limited was incorporated in 1958 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Amotiv Ltd reported revenue of A$997M in FY2025 versus A$557M in FY2021, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$106M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$997M
Latest YoY
+1.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (36Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
19.2% (2019) → 11.5% (2024)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +15.7%/yr
FY21 A$557M
FY22 A$827M
FY23 A$917M
FY24 A$987M
FY25 A$997M
Net income
FY21 A$61.0M
FY22 A$27.3M
FY23 A$97.9M
FY24 A$98.8M
FY25 −A$106M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +8.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share −2.0 %

of which total revenue +5.2 % · buybacks/dilution −6.9 %

EBIT margin +8.3 %
Tax rate +0.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.9 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Amotiv Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AOV.AU

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) −9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.60× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.62× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 14
FUTURE17 · sector 21
PAST0 · sector 28
HEALTH70 · sector 95
DIVIDEND100 · sector 32

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

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Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥57.67 ¥84.47 +46%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹165.30 ₹80.63 −51%
Magna International Inc MGA $65.57 $68.17 +4%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $137.51 $58.07 −58%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,700 ₹11,534 −76%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.82 ¥28.28 −38%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,063 ₹393.20 −81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Amotiv Ltd (AOV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$9.08 versus a price of A$6.28, about +45% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AOV?
Our model-based fair value for Amotiv Ltd is A$9.08 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$6.28.
What is the quality score of AOV?
Amotiv Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Amotiv Ltd (AOV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$9.08 (as of Aug 19, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$6.33, optimistic scenario A$14.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Amotiv Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$9.08, about +45% upside versus a price of A$6.28 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$6.33, optimistic scenario A$14.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Amotiv Ltd (AOV)?
Amotiv Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AOV?
The net profit margin of Amotiv Ltd is about −9.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Amotiv Ltd pay a dividend?
Amotiv Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.69% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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