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Silvair, Inc (SVRS) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · PL · Market cap 74.4M PLN

SI Silvair, Inc SVRS · WAR
Price4.20 PLN
Fair Value0.5900 PLN
Upside-86.0%
Quality60/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: High Range 0.3800 PLN – 0.7300 PLN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −0.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.7300 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.3800 PLN to 0.7300 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

12.00 PLN 2.34 PLN Fair Value 0.5900 PLN Jul 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.34 PLN – 12.00 PLN · fair‑value band 0.3800 PLN – 0.7300 PLN · the 4.20 PLN price screens above the 0.5900 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Silvair, Inc (SVRS) currently trades at 4.20 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5900 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 86.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Silvair, Inc generated revenue of 4.4M PLN at a net margin of 11.6%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at 3.5M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.3800 PLN (bear case) to 0.7300 PLN (bull case); at 4.20 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -86%, SVRS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.2200 PLN 0.3600 PLN 0.5900 PLN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.4200 PLN 0.8100 PLN 1.61 PLN 74
ROIC Compounder 0.3300 PLN 0.3700 PLN 0.4000 PLN 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.2300 PLN 0.3400 PLN 0.6400 PLN 38
Owner Earnings 0.1600 PLN 0.3300 PLN 0.6400 PLN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.3800 PLN 0.7000 PLN 1.39 PLN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.22 PLN 2.42 PLN 4.76 PLN 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.3500 PLN 0.8300 PLN 1.48 PLN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.3100 PLN 0.7600 PLN 1.07 PLN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.8500 PLN 2.32 PLN 5.00 PLN 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.3100 PLN 0.7200 PLN 1.40 PLN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.2000 PLN 1.39 PLN 1.95 PLN 54
Lynch FV 0.7200 PLN 1.03 PLN 1.34 PLN 50
PEG = 1.0 0.7200 PLN 1.03 PLN 1.34 PLN 46
EPV 0.3300 PLN 0.3700 PLN 0.4000 PLN 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.4400 PLN 0.5900 PLN 0.7300 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 0.3700 PLN 0.5000 PLN 0.6200 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 0.3700 PLN 0.5000 PLN 0.6200 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 0.7500 PLN 1.01 PLN 1.27 PLN 53
EV/EBITDA 1.77 PLN 2.36 PLN 2.96 PLN 54
EV/Revenue 0.4200 PLN 0.6100 PLN 0.8000 PLN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2800 PLN 0.3700 PLN 0.5500 PLN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.2200 PLN 0.3600 PLN 0.5900 PLN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.4200 PLN 0.8100 PLN 1.61 PLN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.3800 PLN 0.3700 PLN 0.3200 PLN 61
ROIC Compounder 0.3300 PLN 0.3700 PLN 0.4000 PLN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.9300 PLN 1.32 PLN 1.72 PLN 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1.32 PLN) versus Growth DCF (0.3600 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.1M PLN
Revenue growth (YoY) -29.0%
Net margin 0.2%
Return on equity 0.1%
Free cash flow 377K PLN FY2025
Operating margin -37.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.0400 PLN
EPS growth (YoY) -99.6%
Net debt 3.5M PLN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 99
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Silvair, Inc. builds and provides software solutions for the Internet of Things in the United States, the European Union, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Lighting Control, Smart Lighting Services, and Smart Building Management.

Full company description

Silvair, Inc. builds and provides software solutions for the Internet of Things in the United States, the European Union, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Lighting Control, Smart Lighting Services, and Smart Building Management. It focuses on developing a technology for lighting manufacturers and providers of intelligent building management systems. Its products include lighting firmware enables wireless communication with other devices using the Bluetooth Mesh technology; and digital tools for commissioning, configuration and management of smart lighting networks. The company also provides lighting infrastructure diagnostics; emergency lighting system test automation; energy consumption monitoring; and remote control and configuration of the lighting installation. The company was formerly known as Seed Labs, Inc. Silvair, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Silvair, Inc reported revenue of 4.4M PLN in FY2025 versus 645K PLN in FY2021, a compound +61.9%/yr. Reported net income was 515K PLN in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.4M PLN
Latest YoY
+75.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+50.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+64.1%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.2%
Revenue +61.9%/yr
FY21 645K PLN
FY22 1.3M PLN
FY23 1.9M PLN
FY24 2.5M PLN
FY25 4.4M PLN
Net income
FY21 −3.1M PLN
FY22 −2.2M PLN
FY23 −1.3M PLN
FY24 −788K PLN
FY25 515K PLN

SVRS screens 86% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Silvair, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SVRS

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -38% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -29% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.11× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.06× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.84× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 53.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 35.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 38
PAST 0 · sector 13
HEALTH 94 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

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Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Silvair, Inc (SVRS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5900 PLN versus a price of 4.20 PLN, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SVRS?
Our model-based fair value for Silvair, Inc is 0.5900 PLN (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 4.20 PLN.
What is the quality score of SVRS?
Silvair, Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Silvair, Inc (SVRS)?
Silvair, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.4M PLN (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SVRS?
The net profit margin of Silvair, Inc is about 11.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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