Silvair Inc (SVRS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Silvair Inc PLN 3.40, price PLN 4.10, upside -17.1%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.34 PLN – 12.00 PLN · fair‑value band 1.72 PLN – 6.14 PLN · the 4.10 PLN price screens above the 3.40 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Silvair, Inc. builds and provides software solutions for the Internet of Things in the United States, the European Union, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Lighting Control, Smart Lighting Services, and Smart Building Management.
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Silvair, Inc. builds and provides software solutions for the Internet of Things in the United States, the European Union, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Lighting Control, Smart Lighting Services, and Smart Building Management. It focuses on developing a technology for lighting manufacturers and providers of intelligent building management systems. Its products include lighting firmware enables wireless communication with other devices using the Bluetooth Mesh technology; and digital tools for commissioning, configuration and management of smart lighting networks. The company also provides lighting infrastructure diagnostics; emergency lighting system test automation; energy consumption monitoring; and remote control and configuration of the lighting installation. The company was formerly known as Seed Labs, Inc. Silvair, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Stock analysis
Silvair Inc (SVRS) currently trades at 4.10 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.40 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 20.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1.48 PLN per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the 4.10 PLN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.3700 PLN, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 1.72 PLN (bear) to 6.14 PLN (bull), the price of 4.10 PLN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Silvair Inc reported revenue of $4.4M in FY2025 versus $645K in FY2021, a compound +61.9%/yr. Reported net income was $515K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 71.9M PLN (≈ $18.7M) · P/S ratio 18.0 · EPS (TTM) −0.0400 PLN · Net margin 11.6% · Return on equity 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.1% · Operating margin −37.5% · Revenue (TTM) 4.1M PLN.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −17%, SVRS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.3700 PLN to 4.18 PLN). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 1.72 PLNFair Value 3.40 PLNBull 6.14 PLN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+75.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+64.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +29.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−664.8% (2020) → 22.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+54.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Poland: IMF forecast 3.1% a year to 2030, 4.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +49.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 721 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−17% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−38% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−29% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.93× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Silvair Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SVRS
Frequently asked questions
Is Silvair Inc (SVRS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.40 PLN versus a price of 4.10 PLN, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SVRS?
Our model-based fair value for Silvair Inc is 3.40 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4.10 PLN.
What is the quality score of SVRS?
Silvair Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.40 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.72 PLN, optimistic scenario 6.14 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Silvair Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.40 PLN, about −17% upside versus a price of 4.10 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.72 PLN, optimistic scenario 6.14 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
Silvair Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.1M PLN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Silvair Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +54.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +64.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SVRS use?
Our models discount Silvair Inc at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.09, country premium for Poland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Silvair Inc that is +54.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Silvair Inc (SVRS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Silvair Inc grew +64.1 % a year. The price currently implies +54.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Silvair Inc (SVRS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Silvair Inc (+54.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.52 %: that much free cash flow Silvair Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Silvair Inc it is 3.40 PLN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 4.10 PLN. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Silvair Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SVRS trades above its calculated fair value: price 4.10 PLN, fair value 3.40 PLN, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SVRS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4.10 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.40 PLN). For Silvair Inc the two are 0.7000 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Silvair Inc worth?
The market values Silvair Inc at about 71.9M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 4.10 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 3.40 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SVRS?
Our models span a range for Silvair Inc: cautious scenario 1.72 PLN, base 3.40 PLN, optimistic 6.14 PLN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 4.10 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Silvair Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.1%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SVRS from its 52-week high?
Silvair Inc trades at 4.10 PLN, about 66% below its 52-week high of 12.00 PLN and 7% above the low of 3.84 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.40 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Silvair Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Silvair Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 4.10 PLN, calculated fair value 3.40 PLN (−17%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SVRS calculated?
We run Silvair Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.40 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Silvair Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 4.10 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 3.40 PLN, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Silvair Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide (1.72 PLN to 6.14 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Silvair Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
The market capitalisation of Silvair Inc is 71.9M PLN (≈ $18.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Silvair Inc is 18.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
Earnings per share at Silvair Inc are −0.0400 PLN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
The net margin of Silvair Inc is 11.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Silvair Inc is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Silvair Inc is −8.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
The operating margin of Silvair Inc is −37.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Silvair Inc (SVRS)?
Revenue at Silvair Inc is growing −29.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +50.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Silvair Inc (SVRS) carry?
The net debt of Silvair Inc is 3.5M PLN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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