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Agora Inc (API) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Agora Inc stock $2.90, price $4.20, that is 31.0% below the price, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 8 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US

AI Agora Inc logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Agora Inc

API · US
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 31% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +18%, profit +140%.
Quality 57/100
Thin margins · 7.2% net margin (TTM)
Insiders bought $1.3M (6M)
Fair value $2.90 · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.1 %/yr in USD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 25/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$33.92 $1.83 Fair Value $2.90 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.83 – $33.92 · fair‑value band $2.17 – $3.62 · the $4.20 price screens above the $2.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Agora, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of a real-time engagement platform-as-a-service in the United States, the People's Republic of China, and internationally.

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Its RTE-PaaS platform enables real-time engagement for concurrent end users which offers real-time engagement offerings, such as video calling, voice calling, live streaming, chat, signaling, conversational AI engine, and convo AI device kit.

The company also provides extensions, including analytics, media services, Interactive whiteboard, Real-time speech-to-text, and Real-time translation. It operates under the Agora and Shengwang brands. Agora, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Stock analysis

Agora Inc (API) currently trades at $4.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.90, 31% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $3.76 per share, and 1 of the 8 models we run sit above the $4.20 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.03, and 7 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $2.17 (bear) to $3.62 (bull), the price of $4.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Agora Inc reported revenue of $141M in FY2025 versus $168M in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $9.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $388M Small · P/E ratio 44.8 · P/S ratio 2.56 · EPS (TTM) $0.1000 · Net margin 7.2% · Return on equity 2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −2.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −31%, API screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.17 Fair Value $2.90 Bull $3.62
Price $4.20 · Downside -31.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0855 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $3.62 $3.76 $4.06 75
Growth-Adj P/E $1.61 $2.31 $3.00 66
Graham-Dodd $0.7000 $1.65 $2.12 63
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.7000 $1.65 $2.12 63
PEG = 1.0 $0.2800 $0.4000 $0.5300 55
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.17 $2.90 $3.62 61
P/S Multiple $1.32 $1.76 $2.20 56
P/B Multiple $3.18 $4.24 $5.30 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.7300 $1.10 $1.38 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.62 $3.76 $4.06 75
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.61 $2.31 $3.00 66

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 22
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 44
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 57
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 53
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 43
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 53
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $1.3M, on Nov 3, 2026.

  • BuyBin ZhaoChief Executive Officer, Director8× since Sep 16, 2026: 315,278 shares, avg. $4.25$1.3MNov 3, 202610b5-1 plan

Plus 5 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.9% (2020) → −6.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

API screens overvalued: fair value 31% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 628 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Below median
Fair Value upside −31.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 2.0% · Below median
Return on assets 1.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 7.2% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) −2.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 18.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.14× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 44.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.69× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.56× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)90 · sector 41
PAST (return on equity)8 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Adobe Inc ADBE $239.30 $463.72 +94% vs API
Salesforce, Inc CRM $213.65 $342.73 +60% vs API
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $68.59 $101.28 +48% vs API
Intuit Inc INTU $341.50 $459.14 +34% vs API
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $101.97 $112.60 +10% vs API
SAP SE SAP €210.75 €173.59 −18% vs API
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $319.92 $225.48 −30% vs API
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $303.35 $150.40 −50% vs API
Shopify Inc SHOP $148.91 $64.96 −56% vs API
Snowflake Inc SNOW $275.88 $73.81 −73% vs API

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Agora Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Agora Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/API

Frequently asked questions

Is Agora Inc (API) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.90 versus a price of $4.20, about 31% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of API?
Our model-based fair value for Agora Inc is $2.90 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.20.
What is the quality score of API?
Agora Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Agora Inc (API)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.90 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.17, optimistic scenario $3.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Agora Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.90, about 31% lower versus a price of $4.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.17, optimistic scenario $3.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Agora Inc (API)?
Agora Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $152M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Agora Inc (API)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Agora Inc it is $2.90 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $4.20. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Agora Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, API trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.20, fair value $2.90, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of API?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.90). For Agora Inc the two are $1.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Agora Inc worth?
The market values Agora Inc at about $388M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $4.20; our models calculate a fair value of $2.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about API?
Our models span a range for Agora Inc: cautious scenario $2.17, base $2.90, optimistic $3.62 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $4.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of API?
Agora Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.8 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 2.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Agora Inc (API)?
Balance-sheet figures for Agora Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 2.0%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is API from its 52-week high?
Agora Inc trades at $4.20, about 20% below its 52-week high of $5.26 and 30% above the low of $3.24 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Agora Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Agora Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $4.20, calculated fair value $2.90 (−31%), Quality Score 57/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of API calculated?
We run Agora Inc through 8 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $2.90 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Agora Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Agora Inc (API)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $4.20. Our model-based fair value is $2.90, about 31% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Agora Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Agora Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Agora Inc (API)?
The market capitalisation of Agora Inc is $388M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Agora Inc (API)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Agora Inc is 2.56 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Agora Inc (API)?
Earnings per share at Agora Inc are $0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 44.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Agora Inc (API)?
The net margin of Agora Inc is 7.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Agora Inc (API)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Agora Inc is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Agora Inc (API)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Agora Inc is −7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Agora Inc (API)?
The operating margin of Agora Inc is −2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Agora Inc (API)?
Revenue at Agora Inc is growing +18.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Agora Inc (API)?
Earnings per share at Agora Inc are growing +140% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Agora Inc (API) generate?
The free cash flow of Agora Inc is −$4.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Agora Inc (API) carry?
The net debt of Agora Inc is $6.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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