Agora, Inc (API) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $352M
Agora, Inc
API · US
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $2.92 to $1.64 (−43.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.83 – $48.71 · fair‑value band $1.23 – $2.05 · the $4.46 price screens above the $1.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Agora, Inc (API) currently trades at $4.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.64, implying the stock looks roughly 63.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Agora, Inc generated revenue of $146M at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at $6.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.23 (bear case) to $2.05 (bull case); at $4.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -63%, API screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($5.76) versus Earnings-Based ($0.5700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Agora, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of a real-time engagement platform-as-a-service in the United States, the People's Republic of China, and internationally.
Full company description
Agora, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of a real-time engagement platform-as-a-service in the United States, the People's Republic of China, and internationally. Its RTE-PaaS platform enables real-time engagement for concurrent end users which offers real-time engagement offerings, such as video calling, voice calling, live streaming, chat, signaling, conversational AI engine, and convo AI device kit. The company also provides extensions, including analytics, media services, Interactive whiteboard, Real-time speech-to-text, and Real-time translation. It operates under the Agora and Shengwang brands. Agora, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Agora, Inc reported revenue of $141M in FY2025 versus $168M in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $9.6M in FY2025.
API screens 63% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Agora, Inc. to Report Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on August 13, 2026
- Here is Why Agora (API) is One of the Best Tech Stocks to Buy for the Next 5 Years
- Agora Inc (API) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic Innovations
- Agora (API) CEO to Purchase up to $20M in Stock
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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