APT PACKAGING LTD. (APTPACK) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹850M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −12.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹24.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹0.7500 – ₹188.95 · fair‑value band ₹14.57 – ₹24.56 · the ₹66.32 price screens above the ₹19.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
APT PACKAGING LTD. (APTPACK) currently trades at ₹66.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹19.65, implying the stock looks roughly 70.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, APT PACKAGING LTD. generated revenue of ₹225M at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue grew 48.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.9%. Net debt stands at ₹63.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹14.57 (bear case) to ₹24.56 (bull case); at ₹66.32, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at -70%, APTPACK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹32.69) versus Economic Profit (₹7.49). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
APT Packaging Limited manufactures and sells co-extruded plastic tubes in India and internationally. The company offers packaging tubes in various types of diameters, layers, decorations, colors, types, caps, and tampered proof sealing packaging. It exports its products to the United States, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
Full company description
APT Packaging Limited manufactures and sells co-extruded plastic tubes in India and internationally. The company offers packaging tubes in various types of diameters, layers, decorations, colors, types, caps, and tampered proof sealing packaging. It exports its products to the United States, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company was formerly known as Anil Chemicals and Industries Limited and changed its name to APT Packaging Limited in June 2008. APT Packaging Limited was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Aurangabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
APT PACKAGING LTD. reported revenue of ₹225M in FY2026 versus ₹115M in FY2022, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹16.1M in FY2026.
APTPACK screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 106.80 | kr 125.82 | +18% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 31.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -48% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 3,350 TWD | 675.50 TWD | -80% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,193 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 134.00 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -5% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹208.56 | ₹161.42 | -23% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹247.30 | ₹111.65 | -55% |
| Polyplex Corporation 524051 | ₹1,211 | ₹924.62 | -24% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 21,650 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +45% |
| PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, PBID | 525.00 IDR | 774.13 IDR | +47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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