Archtis Ltd (AR9) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Archtis Ltd A$0.14, price A$0.08, upside +80.1%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0400 – A$0.3850 · fair‑value band A$0.0798 – A$0.1667 · the A$0.0750 price screens below the A$0.1351 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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archTIS Limited engages in the design and development of products, solutions, and services for secure information sharing and collaboration in Australia and internationally.
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archTIS Limited engages in the design and development of products, solutions, and services for secure information sharing and collaboration in Australia and internationally. It offers KOJENSI, an accredited classified file sharing and document collaboration software platform for defense, military, and government sectors; data discovery, compliance and protection software for Microsoft 365, SharePoint server, and file sharing applications; NC Encrypt, an Encryption, and HYOK and BYOK key management solutions for Microsoft 365, SharePoint, and file shares; and Trusted Data Integration to integrate, secure, and govern sensitive and classified structured data from multiple sources at scale and speed. archTIS was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Barton, Australia.
Stock analysis
Archtis Ltd (AR9) currently trades at A$0.0750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1351, implying the stock looks roughly 44.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$0.1500 per share, and 5 of the 7 models we run sit above the A$0.0750 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.0700, and 2 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0798 (bear) to A$0.1667 (bull), the price of A$0.0750 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Archtis Ltd reported revenue of A$6.1M in FY2025 versus A$4.6M in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$29.1M (≈ $20.2M) · P/S ratio 3.09 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Net margin −78.4% · Return on equity −58.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −38.5% · Operating margin −135% · Revenue (TTM) A$9.4M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 80%, AR9 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0798Fair Value A$0.1351Bull A$0.1667
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−38.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+61.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.5% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−784.6% (2020) → −108.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 366 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside+73.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−26.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−101.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−134.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth119.7% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.74× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Archtis Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AR9
Frequently asked questions
Is Archtis Ltd (AR9) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1351 versus a price of A$0.0750, about +80% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AR9?
Our model-based fair value for Archtis Ltd is A$0.1351 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0750.
What is the quality score of AR9?
Archtis Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1351 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0798, optimistic scenario A$0.1667. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Archtis Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1351, about +80% upside versus a price of A$0.0750 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0798, optimistic scenario A$0.1667. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
Archtis Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$9.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Archtis Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -9.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +61.7 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AR9 use?
Our models discount Archtis Ltd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.14, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Archtis Ltd that is -9.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Archtis Ltd (AR9) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Archtis Ltd grew +61.7 % a year. The price currently implies -9.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Archtis Ltd (AR9) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Archtis Ltd (-9.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.53 %: that much free cash flow Archtis Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Archtis Ltd it is A$0.1351 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of A$0.0750. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Archtis Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, AR9 trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0750, fair value A$0.1351, a gap of about +80% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AR9?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1351). For Archtis Ltd the two are A$0.0601 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Archtis Ltd worth?
The market values Archtis Ltd at about A$29.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0750; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1351 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AR9?
Our models span a range for Archtis Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0798, base A$0.1351, optimistic A$0.1667 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price A$0.0750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
Balance-sheet figures for Archtis Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −58.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AR9 from its 52-week high?
Archtis Ltd trades at A$0.0750, about 53% below its 52-week high of A$0.1600 and 88% above the low of A$0.0400 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1351 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Archtis Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Archtis Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price A$0.0750, calculated fair value A$0.1351 (+80%), Quality Score 52/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AR9 calculated?
We run Archtis Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.1351, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Archtis Ltd currently trades 44 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was A$0.0750. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1351, about +80% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Archtis Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0798). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0798 to A$0.1667) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Archtis Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
The market capitalisation of Archtis Ltd is A$29.1M (≈ $20.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Archtis Ltd is 3.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
Earnings per share at Archtis Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
The net margin of Archtis Ltd is −78.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Archtis Ltd is −58.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Archtis Ltd is −38.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
The operating margin of Archtis Ltd is −135% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Archtis Ltd (AR9)?
Revenue at Archtis Ltd is growing +120% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Archtis Ltd (AR9) hold?
Archtis Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$977K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026