Arbonia AG (ARBN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Arbonia AG CHF 6.60, price CHF 4.72, upside +40.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 3.52 – CHF 21.79 · fair‑value band CHF 4.40 – CHF 8.80 · the CHF 4.72 price screens below the CHF 6.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Arbonia AG engages in the supply of interior doors crafted from wood, glass, and metal in Switzerland, Germany, Spain, and internationally. The company offers interior doors, functional doors, digital locking systems, loft doors, partition wall systems, shower doors and cubicles, and handles.
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Arbonia AG engages in the supply of interior doors crafted from wood, glass, and metal in Switzerland, Germany, Spain, and internationally. The company offers interior doors, functional doors, digital locking systems, loft doors, partition wall systems, shower doors and cubicles, and handles. It also provides construction glass, shower enclosures, frames, and wall systems. The company was formerly known as AFG Arbonia-Forster-Holding AG and changed its name to Arbonia AG in December 2016. Arbonia AG was founded in 1874 and is based in Arbon, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Arbonia AG (ARBN) currently trades at CHF 4.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 6.60, implying the stock looks roughly 28.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of CHF 13.57 per share, and 4 of the 4 models we run sit above the CHF 4.72 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 7.08, and 0 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: CHF 4.40 (bear) to CHF 8.80 (bull), the price of CHF 4.72 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Arbonia AG reported revenue of CHF 625M in FY2025 versus CHF 1.2B in FY2021, a compound −14.8%/yr. Reported net income was −CHF 91.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 327M · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) CHF −0.1400 · Net margin −14.7% · Return on equity −1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin −26.3% · Revenue (TTM) CHF 628M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 40%, ARBN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear CHF 4.40Fair Value CHF 6.60Bull CHF 8.80
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.0% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.9% (2020) → −1.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 253 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+38% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−26% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth15% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arbonia AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARBN
Frequently asked questions
Is Arbonia AG (ARBN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 6.60 versus a price of CHF 4.72, about +40% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ARBN?
Our model-based fair value for Arbonia AG is CHF 6.60 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 4.72.
What is the quality score of ARBN?
Arbonia AG has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 6.60 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 4.40, optimistic scenario CHF 8.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arbonia AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 6.60, about +40% upside versus a price of CHF 4.72 (undervalued). Cautious scenario CHF 4.40, optimistic scenario CHF 8.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
Arbonia AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 628M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arbonia AG it is CHF 6.60 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of CHF 4.72. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arbonia AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ARBN trades below its calculated fair value: price CHF 4.72, fair value CHF 6.60, a gap of about +40% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARBN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 4.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 6.60). For Arbonia AG the two are CHF 1.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arbonia AG worth?
The market values Arbonia AG at about CHF 327M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is CHF 4.72; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 6.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARBN?
Our models span a range for Arbonia AG: cautious scenario CHF 4.40, base CHF 6.60, optimistic CHF 8.80 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price CHF 4.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arbonia AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −1.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARBN from its 52-week high?
Arbonia AG trades at CHF 4.72, about 17% below its 52-week high of CHF 5.70 and 34% above the low of CHF 3.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 6.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arbonia AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arbonia AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price CHF 4.72, calculated fair value CHF 6.60 (+40%), Quality Score 43/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARBN calculated?
We run Arbonia AG through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 6.60, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Arbonia AG currently trades 40 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was CHF 4.72. Our model-based fair value is CHF 6.60, about +40% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arbonia AG right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (CHF 4.40 to CHF 8.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Arbonia AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
The market capitalisation of Arbonia AG is CHF 327M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arbonia AG is 0.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
Earnings per share at Arbonia AG are CHF −0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
The net margin of Arbonia AG is −14.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arbonia AG is −1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arbonia AG is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
The operating margin of Arbonia AG is −26.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
Revenue at Arbonia AG is growing +14.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arbonia AG (ARBN)?
Earnings per share at Arbonia AG are growing +273% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Arbonia AG (ARBN) generate?
The free cash flow of Arbonia AG is −CHF 31.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arbonia AG (ARBN) carry?
The net debt of Arbonia AG is CHF 153M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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