Archer Limited (ARCH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Archer Limited NOK 53.89, price NOK 21.65, upside +148.9%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 16.76 – kr 45.30 · fair‑value band kr 30.25 – kr 77.52 · the kr 21.65 price screens below the kr 53.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Archer Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides various oilfield products and services to the oil and gas industry in Norway, Europe, North America, south America, and internationally. The company operates through Platform Operations, Well Services, Renewables, and Land Drilling segments.
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Archer Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides various oilfield products and services to the oil and gas industry in Norway, Europe, North America, south America, and internationally. The company operates through Platform Operations, Well Services, Renewables, and Land Drilling segments. It provides platform drilling and workover, platform plug and abandonment, MODU Management, modular rigs, rentals, drill pipe pool, well engineering, facilities engineering, project management and consulting, construction and installations, and inspection services. The company also offers well services, including coiled tubing, oiltools, wireline, well construction and completion, well intervention and workover, well P&A and slot recovery, surface solutions, geothermal, and CCUS. In addition, it provides land drilling services, including drilling rigs and workover services. Further, the company offers renewable energy, such as geothermal drilling for district heating, carbon storage, floating offshore wind, wind turbine, and hydropower services. The company was formerly known as Seawell Limited and changed its name to Archer Limited in May 2011. Archer Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Sandnes, Norway.
Stock analysis
Archer Limited (ARCH) currently trades at kr 21.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 53.89, implying the stock looks roughly 59.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 8.10 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the kr 21.65 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 6.06, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: kr 30.25 (bear) to kr 77.52 (bull), the price of kr 21.65 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Archer Limited reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $936M in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$58.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4B NOK (≈ $253M) · P/S ratio 2.04 · EPS (TTM) kr −2.70 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin −4.9% · Return on equity −10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2% · Operating margin 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 149%, ARCH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 30.25Fair Value kr 53.89Bull kr 77.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.3% (2020) → 7.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.8% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Drilling · 34 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+149% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.41× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Drilling median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.42× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Archer Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARCH
Frequently asked questions
Is Archer Limited (ARCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 53.89 versus a price of kr 21.65, about +149% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ARCH?
Our model-based fair value for Archer Limited is kr 53.89 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 21.65.
What is the quality score of ARCH?
Archer Limited has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Archer Limited (ARCH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 53.89 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 30.25, optimistic scenario kr 77.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Archer Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 53.89, about +149% upside versus a price of kr 21.65 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 30.25, optimistic scenario kr 77.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
Archer Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Archer Limited pay a dividend?
Archer Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Archer Limited (ARCH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Archer Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +5.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ARCH use?
Our models discount Archer Limited at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.33, country premium for Norway. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Archer Limited that is +5.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Archer Limited (ARCH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Archer Limited grew +7.8 % a year. The price currently implies +5.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Archer Limited (ARCH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Archer Limited (+5.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.34 %: that much free cash flow Archer Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Archer Limited it is kr 53.89 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 21.65. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Archer Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ARCH trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 21.65, fair value kr 53.89, a gap of about +149% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARCH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 21.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 53.89). For Archer Limited the two are kr 32.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Archer Limited worth?
The market values Archer Limited at about 2.4B NOK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 21.65; our models calculate a fair value of kr 53.89 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARCH?
Our models span a range for Archer Limited: cautious scenario kr 30.25, base kr 53.89, optimistic kr 77.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 21.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Archer Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −10.7%, debt of 2.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARCH from its 52-week high?
Archer Limited trades at kr 21.65, about 25% below its 52-week high of kr 28.86 and 14% above the low of kr 18.94 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 53.89 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Archer Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Noble Corporation, Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation, Transocean Ltd, Valaris Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Archer Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 21.65, calculated fair value kr 53.89 (+149%), Quality Score 34/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARCH calculated?
We run Archer Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 53.89, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Archer Limited currently trades 149 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was kr 21.65. Our model-based fair value is kr 53.89, about +149% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Archer Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 30.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (kr 30.25 to kr 77.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Archer Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
The market capitalisation of Archer Limited is 2.4B NOK (≈ $253M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Archer Limited is 2.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
Earnings per share at Archer Limited are kr −2.70. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
The dividend yield of Archer Limited is 1.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
The net margin of Archer Limited is −4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Archer Limited is −10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Archer Limited is 6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Archer Limited (ARCH)?
The operating margin of Archer Limited is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Archer Limited (ARCH)?
Revenue at Archer Limited is growing −6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Archer Limited (ARCH)?
Earnings per share at Archer Limited are growing −2.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Archer Limited (ARCH) carry?
The net debt of Archer Limited is $426M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026