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Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited THB 0.05, price THB 0.47, upside -89.4%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · TH

AL Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited

ARIN · BK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 0.0500 THB · Strongly overvalued (−89%)
!Quality 31/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -61.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

7.20 THB 0.3700 THB Fair Value 0.0500 THB Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.3700 THB – 7.20 THB · fair‑value band 0.0300 THB – 0.0600 THB · the 0.4700 THB price screens above the 0.0500 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited engages in the property development business in Thailand. It is also involved in the development of residential and commercial properties, including houses, townhouses, condos, and commercial buildings. Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited was founded in 2014 and is based in Chonburi, Thailand.

Stock analysis

Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN) currently trades at 0.4700 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0500 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 839.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 0.0300 THB (bear) to 0.0600 THB (bull), the price of 0.4700 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited reported revenue of 55.2M THB in FY2025 versus 183M THB in FY2021, a compound −25.9%/yr. Reported net income was −36.0M THB in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 282M THB (≈ $8.5M) · P/S ratio 4.98 · EPS (TTM) −0.0600 THB · Net margin −65.3% · Return on equity −12.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.4% · Operating margin −138% · Revenue (TTM) 60.2M THB.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −89%, ARIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.0300 THB Fair Value 0.0500 THB Bull 0.0600 THB
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 0.2500 THB 0.3400 THB 0.5000 THB 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2500 THB 0.3400 THB 0.5000 THB 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−48.3%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.0%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +35.2% a year
Revenue growth 11 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.4%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−29.8% (2020) → −35.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ARIN screens 840% overvalued. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 579 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −61% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −138% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 114% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.22× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 53
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$109.70 HK$153.48 +40%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.44 HK$71.69 +54%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.74 $1.52 −83%
DLF Limited DLF ₹669.50 ₹170.37 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.43 HK$22.35 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,144 ₹285.04 −75%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 4,980 IDR 1,325 IDR −73%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.68 ¥14.20 +150%
CTP N.V CTPNV €13.58 €10.30 −24%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.27 ¥7.06 −3%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARIN

Frequently asked questions

Is Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0500 THB versus a price of 0.4700 THB, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARIN?
Our model-based fair value for Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited is 0.0500 THB (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.4700 THB.
What is the quality score of ARIN?
Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0500 THB (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0300 THB, optimistic scenario 0.0600 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0500 THB, about −89% upside versus a price of 0.4700 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0300 THB, optimistic scenario 0.0600 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 60.2M THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited it is 0.0500 THB per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 0.4700 THB. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ARIN trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.4700 THB, fair value 0.0500 THB, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.4700 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0500 THB). For Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited the two are 0.4200 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited at about 282M THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 0.4700 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0500 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARIN?
Our models span a range for Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.0300 THB, base 0.0500 THB, optimistic 0.0600 THB per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 0.4700 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −12.0%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARIN from its 52-week high?
Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited trades at 0.4700 THB, about 43% below its 52-week high of 0.8200 THB and 2% above the low of 0.4600 THB (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0500 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 0.4700 THB, calculated fair value 0.0500 THB (−89%), Quality Score 31/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARIN calculated?
We run Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0500 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 0.4700 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.0500 THB, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0600 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (0.0300 THB to 0.0600 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
The market capitalisation of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited is 282M THB (≈ $8.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited is 4.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
Earnings per share at Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited are −0.0600 THB. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
The net margin of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited is −65.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited is −12.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited is −4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
The operating margin of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited is −138% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN)?
Revenue at Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited is growing +114% versus a year earlier (3y avg −32.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN) generate?
The free cash flow of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited is −7.4M THB (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited (ARIN) carry?
The net debt of Arinsiri Land Public Company Limited is 395M THB (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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