Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Altai Resources Inc $0.01, price $0.02, upside -4.7%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Altai Resources Inc. operates as a natural resource exploration and development company in Canada. The company explores for oil and natural gas, and gold properties.
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Altai Resources Inc. operates as a natural resource exploration and development company in Canada. The company explores for oil and natural gas, and gold properties. It holds a 50% interest in the Malartic gold property which consists of six map designated claims covering an area of 127.6 hectares located in the Malartic Township, Quebec; and a 50% interest in the Cessford oil property covering an area of 240 acres located in the Cessford area of Southern Alberta. The company was incorporated in 1955 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Stock analysis
Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF) currently trades at $0.0150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0143, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.9%).
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Altai Resources Inc reported revenue of C$108K in FY2025 versus C$114K in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was −C$1.0M in FY2025.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 1,264% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −5%, ARSEF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0143Fair Value $0.0143Bull $0.0143
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.3/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−47.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.3% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−213.5% (2020) → −114.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 293 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Below median
Fair Value upside−4.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−23.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−92.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
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Is Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0143 versus a price of $0.0150, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ARSEF?
Our model-based fair value for Altai Resources Inc is $0.0143 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0150.
What is the quality score of ARSEF?
Altai Resources Inc has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0143 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Altai Resources Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0143, about −5% upside versus a price of $0.0150 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Altai Resources Inc it is $0.0143 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0150. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Altai Resources Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ARSEF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0150, fair value $0.0143, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARSEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0150); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0143). For Altai Resources Inc the two are $0.0007 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Altai Resources Inc worth?
The market values Altai Resources Inc at about $841K (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0150; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0143 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Altai Resources Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −37.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARSEF from its 52-week high?
Altai Resources Inc trades at $0.0150, about 63% below its 52-week high of $0.0400 and 1,264% above the low of $0.0011 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0143 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Altai Resources Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Altai Resources Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0150, calculated fair value $0.0143 (−5%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARSEF calculated?
We run Altai Resources Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0143, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Altai Resources Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.0150. Our model-based fair value is $0.0143, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Altai Resources Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0143). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Altai Resources Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF)?
The market capitalisation of Altai Resources Inc is $841K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF)?
Earnings per share at Altai Resources Inc are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Altai Resources Inc is −37.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Altai Resources Inc is −6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF)?
The operating margin of Altai Resources Inc is −1,770% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF) generate?
Altai Resources Inc generates revenue of −$37.5K (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF)?
Revenue at Altai Resources Inc is growing −92.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF)?
Earnings per share at Altai Resources Inc are growing +507% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF) generate?
The free cash flow of Altai Resources Inc is −C$348K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Altai Resources Inc (ARSEF) hold?
Altai Resources Inc holds more cash than debt, C$701K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026