PT Arthavest Tbk, (ARTA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 1.1T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price −4.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (400.33 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 237.37 IDR – 3,890 IDR · fair‑value band 289.00 IDR – 400.33 IDR · the 2,390 IDR price screens above the 344.67 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
PT Arthavest Tbk, (ARTA) currently trades at 2,390 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 344.67 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 85.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Arthavest Tbk, generated revenue of 69.1B IDR at a net margin of -5.0%. Revenue declined 17.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 54.5B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 289.00 IDR (bear case) to 400.33 IDR (bull case); at 2,390 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -86%, ARTA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (264.47 IDR) versus Asset-Based (229.30 IDR). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Arthavest Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the hospitality business in Central Jakarta. The company owns and operates Redtop, a 4-star business hotel, which includes convention and banquet, meeting room, and business center, as well as sports center and spa facilities.
Full company description
PT Arthavest Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the hospitality business in Central Jakarta. The company owns and operates Redtop, a 4-star business hotel, which includes convention and banquet, meeting room, and business center, as well as sports center and spa facilities. It also offers information technology and payment system services, as well as is involved in trading business. The company was formerly known as PT Artha Securities Tbk. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Arthavest Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Lucas SH CN.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Arthavest Tbk, reported revenue of 71.4B IDR in FY2025 versus 40.5B IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was −5.8B IDR in FY2025.
ARTA screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →
Peer Group
Lodging · 168 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $369.05 | $135.64 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $328.48 | $123.67 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $159.87 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $191.00 | $47.69 | -75% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.67 | $47.55 | +11% |
| Accor SA AC | €47.25 | €39.26 | -17% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹743.20 | ₹260.68 | -65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $78.54 | $24.02 | -69% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 113,500 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -67% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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