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Arthavest Tbk (ARTA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Arthavest Tbk IDR 345, price IDR 2,170, upside -84.1%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · ID · ISIN ID1000093305

AT Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Arthavest Tbk

ARTA · JK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 344.67 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−84%)
!Quality 42/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +16.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/9)
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

3,890 IDR 237.37 IDR Fair Value 344.67 IDR Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 237.37 IDR – 3,890 IDR · fair‑value band 289.00 IDR – 400.33 IDR · the 2,170 IDR price screens above the 344.67 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Arthavest Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the hospitality business in Central Jakarta. The company owns and operates Redtop, a 4-star business hotel, which includes convention and banquet, meeting room, and business center, as well as sports center and spa facilities.

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PT Arthavest Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the hospitality business in Central Jakarta. The company owns and operates Redtop, a 4-star business hotel, which includes convention and banquet, meeting room, and business center, as well as sports center and spa facilities. It also offers information technology and payment system services, as well as is involved in trading business. The company was formerly known as PT Artha Securities Tbk. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Arthavest Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Lucas SH CN.

Stock analysis

Arthavest Tbk (ARTA) currently trades at 2,170 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 344.67 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 529.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 289.00 IDR (bear) to 400.33 IDR (bull), the price of 2,170 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Arthavest Tbk reported revenue of 71.4B IDR in FY2025 versus 40.5B IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was −5.8B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 969B IDR (≈ $54.2M) · P/S ratio 14.9 · EPS (TTM) −7.59 IDR · Net margin −8.1% · Return on equity −2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.8% · Operating margin −59.7% · Revenue (TTM) 69.1B IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −84%, ARTA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 289.00 IDR Fair Value 344.67 IDR Bull 400.33 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA 208.80 IDR 264.47 IDR 320.14 IDR 67
NCAV (Graham) 171.12 IDR 229.30 IDR 342.24 IDR 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 208.80 IDR 264.47 IDR 320.14 IDR 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 171.12 IDR 229.30 IDR 342.24 IDR 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−32.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.1% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−59.3% (2020) → −9.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ARTA screens 530% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 168 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −60% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.23× · Above median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $351.66 $150.61 −57%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $307.22 $268.06 −13%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $154.85 $97.57 −37%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $157.80 $49.88 −68%
H World Group HTHT $42.78 $63.51 +48%
Accor SA AC €45.22 €40.27 −11%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹743.70 ₹502.32 −32%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $67.86 $29.84 −56%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 140,100 KRW 28,728 KRW −79%
Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH $100.32 $73.41 −27%

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Arthavest Tbk · Fair Value
344.67 IDR −530%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arthavest Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARTA

Frequently asked questions

Is Arthavest Tbk (ARTA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 344.67 IDR versus a price of 2,170 IDR, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARTA?
Our model-based fair value for Arthavest Tbk is 344.67 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2,170 IDR.
What is the quality score of ARTA?
Arthavest Tbk has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 344.67 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 289.00 IDR, optimistic scenario 400.33 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arthavest Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 344.67 IDR, about −84% upside versus a price of 2,170 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 289.00 IDR, optimistic scenario 400.33 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
Arthavest Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 69.1B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arthavest Tbk it is 344.67 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2,170 IDR. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arthavest Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ARTA trades above its calculated fair value: price 2,170 IDR, fair value 344.67 IDR, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARTA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2,170 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (344.67 IDR). For Arthavest Tbk the two are 1,825 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arthavest Tbk worth?
The market values Arthavest Tbk at about 969B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2,170 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 344.67 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARTA?
Our models span a range for Arthavest Tbk: cautious scenario 289.00 IDR, base 344.67 IDR, optimistic 400.33 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2,170 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arthavest Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.7%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARTA from its 52-week high?
Arthavest Tbk trades at 2,170 IDR, about 44% below its 52-week high of 3,850 IDR and 12% above the low of 1,945 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 344.67 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arthavest Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arthavest Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2,170 IDR, calculated fair value 344.67 IDR (−84%), Quality Score 42/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARTA calculated?
We run Arthavest Tbk through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 344.67 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Arthavest Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 2,170 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 344.67 IDR, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arthavest Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (400.33 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Arthavest Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
The market capitalisation of Arthavest Tbk is 969B IDR (≈ $54.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arthavest Tbk is 14.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
Earnings per share at Arthavest Tbk are −7.59 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
The net margin of Arthavest Tbk is −8.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arthavest Tbk is −2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arthavest Tbk is −1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
The operating margin of Arthavest Tbk is −59.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
Revenue at Arthavest Tbk is growing −17.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arthavest Tbk (ARTA)?
Earnings per share at Arthavest Tbk are growing −75.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Arthavest Tbk (ARTA) generate?
The free cash flow of Arthavest Tbk is −4.0B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Arthavest Tbk (ARTA) hold?
Arthavest Tbk holds more cash than debt, 54.5B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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