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Aisin Corporation (ASEKF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $10.6B

AC Aisin Corporation logo Aisin Corporation ASEKF · US
Price$13.01
Fair Value$22.26
Upside+71.1%
Quality53/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.23% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: Medium Range $13.67 – $30.27 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $29.90 to $22.26 (−25.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 71% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($13.67). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($13.67 to $30.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$20.62 $6.03 Fair Value $22.26 Jun 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.03 – $20.62 · fair‑value band $13.67 – $30.27 · the $13.01 price screens below the $22.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Aisin Corporation (ASEKF) currently trades at $13.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.26, implying the stock looks roughly 71.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Aisin Corporation generated revenue of $5.1T at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at $94.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.67 (bear case) to $30.27 (bull case); at $13.01, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 71%, ASEKF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $15.05 $22.01 $31.99 80
Rev-Margin DCF $17.94 $29.18 $42.04 74
ROIC Compounder $17.44 $20.23 $25.10 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $14.81 $22.67 $34.66 38
Owner Earnings $21.15 $32.54 $49.91 31
5Y Revenue Exit $17.94 $29.27 $43.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $29.80 $51.45 $76.89 41
5Y P/E Exit $20.83 $34.68 $49.23 38
10Y Revenue Exit $16.07 $26.14 $39.79 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $24.23 $41.54 $65.04 37
10Y P/E Exit $18.51 $29.90 $43.93 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.83 $33.64 $44.73 54
Lynch FV $7.30 $10.43 $13.56 50
PEG = 1.0 $7.30 $10.43 $13.56 46
EPV $17.44 $20.23 $22.68 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $26.28 $35.04 $43.80 63
P/S Multiple $20.31 $27.08 $33.85 58
P/B Multiple $20.31 $27.08 $33.85 55
EV/EBIT $30.15 $39.98 $49.81 53
EV/EBITDA $42.42 $56.34 $70.25 54
EV/Revenue $20.54 $29.06 $37.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.21 $13.68 $20.41 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $15.05 $22.01 $31.99 80
Rev-Margin DCF $17.94 $29.18 $42.04 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $16.91 $18.07 $20.19 61
ROIC Compounder $17.44 $20.23 $25.10 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $21.61 $30.87 $40.13 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($30.87) versus Earnings-Based ($10.43). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.1T
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.2%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 8.6%
Free cash flow $135B FY2026
P/E ratio 7.6
More key figures
Operating margin 5.4%
EPS (TTM) $1.93
Dividend yield 3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +16.4%
Net debt $94.2B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Aisin Corporation manufactures and sells automotive parts, lifestyle, and energy and wellness related products in Japan.

Full company description

Aisin Corporation manufactures and sells automotive parts, lifestyle, and energy and wellness related products in Japan. It provides eAxle; hybrid transmission; AT, CVT, and MT; thermal management products; fuel cell electric products; engine related products; parking and driving assistance systems; brakes; steering; doors and roofs; aerodynamic devices; battery frame parts; seat related products; cabin monitoring; and other products, as well as MaaS, car navigation related, and aftermarket products. The company also offers energy solutions comprising ENE·FARM, a system that generates electricity by extracting hydrogen from gas; gas heat pump air conditioners; and Peltier modules that are thermoelectric conversion devices. In addition, it provides YYProbe, a real time speech recognition application; AIR, a technology that allows conversion of water molecules in the air into water particles; pendulum acceleration reduction system; fiber laser; and audio equipment under the TAOC name. Aisin Corporation was founded in 1943 and is headquartered in Kariya, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Aisin Corporation reported revenue of $5.1T in FY2026 versus $3.9T in FY2022, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was $173B in FY2026, compounding +5.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$5.1T
Latest YoY
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+5.1%
Revenue +7.1%/yr
FY22 $3.9T
FY23 $4.4T
FY24 $4.9T
FY25 $4.9T
FY26 $5.1T
Net income +5.0%/yr
FY22 $142B
FY23 $37.7B
FY24 $90.8B
FY25 $108B
FY26 $173B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aisin Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASEKF

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +71% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 17
FUTURE 21 · sector 23
PAST 34 · sector 26
HEALTH 88 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 65 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

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Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
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Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Aisin Corporation (ASEKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.26 versus a price of $13.01, about +71% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ASEKF?
Our model-based fair value for Aisin Corporation is $22.26 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.01.
What is the quality score of ASEKF?
Aisin Corporation has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
Aisin Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.1T (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ASEKF?
The net profit margin of Aisin Corporation is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Aisin Corporation pay a dividend?
Aisin Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.23% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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