Aisin Corporation (ASEKF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Aisin Corporation $22.02, price $13.01, upside +69.3%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.03 – $20.62 · fair‑value band $14.46 – $29.66 · the $13.01 price screens below the $22.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Aisin Corporation manufactures and sells automotive parts, lifestyle, and energy and wellness related products in Japan.
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Aisin Corporation manufactures and sells automotive parts, lifestyle, and energy and wellness related products in Japan. It provides eAxle; hybrid transmission; AT, CVT, and MT; thermal management products; fuel cell electric products; engine related products; parking and driving assistance systems; brakes; steering; doors and roofs; aerodynamic devices; battery frame parts; seat related products; cabin monitoring; and other products, as well as MaaS, car navigation related, and aftermarket products. The company also offers energy solutions comprising ENE·FARM, a system that generates electricity by extracting hydrogen from gas; gas heat pump air conditioners; and Peltier modules that are thermoelectric conversion devices. In addition, it provides YYProbe, a real time speech recognition application; AIR, a technology that allows conversion of water molecules in the air into water particles; pendulum acceleration reduction system; fiber laser; and audio equipment under the TAOC name. Aisin Corporation was founded in 1943 and is headquartered in Kariya, Japan.
Stock analysis
Aisin Corporation (ASEKF) currently trades at $13.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.02, implying the stock looks roughly 40.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $29.22 per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the $13.01 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $9.88, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $14.46 (bear) to $29.66 (bull), the price of $13.01 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Aisin Corporation reported revenue of ¥5.1T in FY2026 versus ¥3.9T in FY2022, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥173B in FY2026, compounding +5.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $10.6B · P/E ratio 6.7 · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) $1.93 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 8.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 69%, ASEKF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $14.46Fair Value $22.02Bull $29.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.7% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ −6.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10% vs −4%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 68% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.2% a year for the price and +0.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 695 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside+69% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.24× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aisin Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASEKF
Frequently asked questions
Is Aisin Corporation (ASEKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.02 versus a price of $13.01, about +69% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ASEKF?
Our model-based fair value for Aisin Corporation is $22.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.01.
What is the quality score of ASEKF?
Aisin Corporation has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $22.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.46, optimistic scenario $29.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aisin Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $22.02, about +69% upside versus a price of $13.01 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $14.46, optimistic scenario $29.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
Aisin Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥5.1T (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Aisin Corporation pay a dividend?
Aisin Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aisin Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by -4.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASEKF use?
Our models discount Aisin Corporation at 8.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.57, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aisin Corporation that is -4.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aisin Corporation (ASEKF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aisin Corporation grew +7.9 % a year. The price currently implies -4.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aisin Corporation (-4.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.88 %: that much free cash flow Aisin Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aisin Corporation it is $22.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $13.01. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aisin Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ASEKF trades below its calculated fair value: price $13.01, fair value $22.02, a gap of about +69% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASEKF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($22.02). For Aisin Corporation the two are $9.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aisin Corporation worth?
The market values Aisin Corporation at about $10.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $13.01; our models calculate a fair value of $22.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASEKF?
Our models span a range for Aisin Corporation: cautious scenario $14.46, base $22.02, optimistic $29.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $13.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASEKF?
Aisin Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $22.02 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aisin Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.6%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Aisin Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aisin Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $13.01, calculated fair value $22.02 (+69%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASEKF calculated?
We run Aisin Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $22.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Aisin Corporation currently trades 69 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $13.01. Our model-based fair value is $22.02, about +69% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aisin Corporation right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($14.46). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($14.46 to $29.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF) come from?
Earnings per share at Aisin Corporation grew −5.9 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −3.4 %, EBIT margin −4.2 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Aisin Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
The market capitalisation of Aisin Corporation is $10.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aisin Corporation is 0.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
Earnings per share at Aisin Corporation are $1.93 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
The dividend yield of Aisin Corporation is 3.2% (payout 21.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
The net margin of Aisin Corporation is 3.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aisin Corporation is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aisin Corporation is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
The operating margin of Aisin Corporation is 5.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
Revenue at Aisin Corporation is growing +4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aisin Corporation (ASEKF)?
Earnings per share at Aisin Corporation are growing +16.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aisin Corporation (ASEKF) carry?
The net debt of Aisin Corporation is ¥94.2B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026