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Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Il · Market cap 2.1B ILA

AA Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd ASHO · TA
Price85.99 ILA
Fair Value40.82 ILA
Upside-52.5%
Quality53/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range 26.44 ILA – 56.75 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from 40.71 ILA to 40.82 ILA (+0.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −17.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (56.75 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (26.44 ILA to 56.75 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

151.79 ILA 10.02 ILA Fair Value 40.82 ILA Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 10.02 ILA – 151.79 ILA · fair‑value band 26.44 ILA – 56.75 ILA · the 85.99 ILA price screens above the 40.82 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO) currently trades at 85.99 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.82 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 52.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd generated revenue of 464M ILA at a net margin of 13.0%. Revenue grew 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at 63.2M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 26.44 ILA (bear case) to 56.75 ILA (bull case); at 85.99 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -53%, ASHO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 20.97 ILA 29.11 ILA 39.87 ILA 80
Residual Income 19.41 ILA 21.43 ILA 28.97 ILA 76
Rev-Margin DCF 21.24 ILA 32.86 ILA 45.51 ILA 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 20.50 ILA 29.43 ILA 41.82 ILA 38
Owner Earnings 19.20 ILA 27.55 ILA 39.14 ILA 31
5Y Revenue Exit 21.24 ILA 32.70 ILA 46.93 ILA 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 27.35 ILA 43.70 ILA 62.18 ILA 41
5Y P/E Exit 27.23 ILA 43.48 ILA 59.89 ILA 38
10Y Revenue Exit 20.13 ILA 30.20 ILA 42.89 ILA 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 24.51 ILA 37.51 ILA 53.88 ILA 37
10Y P/E Exit 24.44 ILA 37.37 ILA 52.23 ILA 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 15.25 ILA 38.55 ILA 50.09 ILA 54
PEG = 1.0 7.13 ILA 10.18 ILA 13.24 ILA 46
EPV 23.42 ILA 27.09 ILA 30.25 ILA 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 13.86 ILA 25.54 ILA 40.79 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 13.86 ILA 20.72 ILA 27.84 ILA 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 35.32 ILA 47.10 ILA 58.87 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 27.15 ILA 36.20 ILA 45.25 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 28.59 ILA 38.12 ILA 47.66 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 37.39 ILA 49.78 ILA 62.17 ILA 53
EV/EBITDA 35.77 ILA 47.62 ILA 59.47 ILA 54
EV/Revenue 23.03 ILA 32.81 ILA 42.58 ILA 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 11.10 ILA 14.87 ILA 22.20 ILA 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 20.97 ILA 29.11 ILA 39.87 ILA 80
Rev-Margin DCF 21.24 ILA 32.86 ILA 45.51 ILA 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 19.41 ILA 21.43 ILA 28.97 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 23.64 ILA 28.77 ILA 34.70 ILA 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 27.31 ILA 39.01 ILA 50.72 ILA 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (39.01 ILA) versus Asset-Based (14.87 ILA). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 464M ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.3%
Net margin 13.0%
Return on equity 10.5%
Free cash flow 49.9M ILA FY2025
P/E ratio 33.2
More key figures
Operating margin 16.7%
EPS (TTM) 2.59 ILA
EPS growth (YoY) +43.5%
Net debt 63.2M ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 56
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd. manufactures and sells systems and components for aerospace and defense in Israel, the United States, and Europe.

Full company description

Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd. manufactures and sells systems and components for aerospace and defense in Israel, the United States, and Europe. The company offers aerospace products, such as engine shafts and rotating parts; high lift system components, including universal joints, transmissions and gearboxes, lever bearing arms, and long and short shafts for rotary actuation; landing gears components for turbo prop and business jet aircraft; electro and mechanical assemblies for aerospace applications; gearboxes, transmissions, and gear-based products; and tungsten products, which are installed in various aircrafts to balance weights in the wing fuselage, vertical and horizontal stabilizers, helicopter rotors, propellers, and aerospace instruments. It also provides land products comprising automated transmission products used in heavy-duty vehicles; final drive products; suspension systems, which include rotary and linear, shock absorbers, road arms, suspension springs and arms, tension mechanisms, and road wheel tracks; and upgrade packages. It serves defense, aerospace, agriculture, mining, marine, oil and gas, printing, construction, industrial, and commercial markets. Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd. was incorporated in 1970 and is based in Ashkelon, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd reported revenue of 459M ILA in FY2025 versus 342M ILA in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was 56.8M ILA in FY2025, compounding +36.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
459M ILS
Latest YoY
+16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+4.8%
Revenue +7.6%/yr
FY21 342M ILA
FY22 316M ILA
FY23 327M ILA
FY24 394M ILA
FY25 459M ILA
Net income +36.7%/yr
FY21 16.3M ILA
FY22 16.7M ILA
FY23 12.7M ILA
FY24 27.8M ILA
FY25 56.8M ILA

ASHO screens 53% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASHO

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −53% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.51× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 14.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 22 · sector 46
PAST 42 · sector 38
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €213.25 €86.20 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.82 ILA versus a price of 85.99 ILA, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASHO?
Our model-based fair value for Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd is 40.82 ILA (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 85.99 ILA.
What is the quality score of ASHO?
Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 464M ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ASHO?
The net profit margin of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd is about 13.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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