Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd ILS 33.36, price ILS 64.90, upside -48.6%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.67 ILA – 131.40 ILA · fair‑value band 22.46 ILA – 45.84 ILA · the 64.90 ILA price screens above the 33.36 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd. manufactures and sells systems and components for aerospace and defense in Israel, the United States, and Europe.
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Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd. manufactures and sells systems and components for aerospace and defense in Israel, the United States, and Europe. The company offers aerospace products, such as engine shafts and rotating parts; high lift system components, including universal joints, transmissions and gearboxes, lever bearing arms, and long and short shafts for rotary actuation; landing gears components for turbo prop and business jet aircraft; electro and mechanical assemblies for aerospace applications; gearboxes, transmissions, and gear-based products; and tungsten products, which are installed in various aircrafts to balance weights in the wing fuselage, vertical and horizontal stabilizers, helicopter rotors, propellers, and aerospace instruments. It also provides land products comprising automated transmission products used in heavy-duty vehicles; final drive products; suspension systems, which include rotary and linear, shock absorbers, road arms, suspension springs and arms, tension mechanisms, and road wheel tracks; and upgrade packages. It serves defense, aerospace, agriculture, mining, marine, oil and gas, printing, construction, industrial, and commercial markets. Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd. was incorporated in 1970 and is based in Ashkelon, Israel.
Stock analysis
Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO) currently trades at 64.90 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.36 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 94.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 39.01 ILA per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the 64.90 ILA price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 14.87 ILA, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 22.46 ILA (bear) to 45.84 ILA (bull), the price of 64.90 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd reported revenue of 459M ILS in FY2025 versus 342M ILS in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was 56.8M ILS in FY2025, compounding +36.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.1B ILA · P/E ratio 25.1 · P/S ratio 3.10 · EPS (TTM) 2.59 ILA · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 12.4% · Return on equity 10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −49%, ASHO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 22.46 ILAFair Value 33.36 ILABull 45.84 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.90 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.0% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+71.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+69.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.31% vs 13%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 16%
2025 sits 226% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.3% a year for the price.
Compare Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−49% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)13% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)25.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.25× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.52× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF14.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA7.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)22· sector 46
PAST (return on equity)42· sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)37· sector 17
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.36 ILA versus a price of 64.90 ILA, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASHO?
Our model-based fair value for Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd is 33.36 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 64.90 ILA.
What is the quality score of ASHO?
Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 33.36 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 22.46 ILA, optimistic scenario 45.84 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 33.36 ILA, about −49% upside versus a price of 64.90 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 22.46 ILA, optimistic scenario 45.84 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 464M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd pay a dividend?
Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.87% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +23.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASHO use?
Our models discount Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd that is +23.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd grew +8.3 % a year. The price currently implies +23.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (+23.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.12 %: that much free cash flow Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd it is 33.36 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 64.90 ILA. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ASHO trades above its calculated fair value: price 64.90 ILA, fair value 33.36 ILA, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASHO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (64.90 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (33.36 ILA). For Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd the two are 31.54 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd worth?
The market values Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd at about 2.1B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 64.90 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 33.36 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASHO?
Our models span a range for Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd: cautious scenario 22.46 ILA, base 33.36 ILA, optimistic 45.84 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 64.90 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASHO?
Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 33.36 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASHO from its 52-week high?
Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd trades at 64.90 ILA, about 51% below its 52-week high of 131.40 ILA and 8% above the low of 60.37 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 33.36 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 64.90 ILA, calculated fair value 33.36 ILA (−49%), Quality Score 53/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASHO calculated?
We run Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 33.36 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 64.90 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 33.36 ILA, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (45.84 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (22.46 ILA to 45.84 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
The market capitalisation of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd is 2.1B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd is 3.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
Earnings per share at Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd are 2.59 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
The dividend yield of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd is 1.9% (payout 46.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
The net margin of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd is 12.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
The operating margin of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd is 16.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
Revenue at Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd is growing +4.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO)?
Earnings per share at Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd are growing +43.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd (ASHO) carry?
The net debt of Ashot Ashkelon Industries Ltd is 63.2M ILA (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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