Asmodee Group (ASMDEE-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 34.2B SEK (≈ $3.6B) · ISIN SE0023615638
What is Asmodee Group really worth?
A solid business, but trading 92% above our fair value of kr 82.15.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −4.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 107.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 57.21 to kr 107.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (19 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range kr 85.09 – kr 165.30 · fair‑value band kr 57.21 – kr 107.08 · the kr 157.50 price screens above the kr 82.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Asmodee Group (ASMDEE-B) currently trades at kr 157.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 82.15, implying the stock looks roughly 91.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 301.62 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 157.50 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 36.28, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Asmodee Group generated revenue of 1.7B SEK at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 19.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. Net debt stands at 259M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 57.21 (bear case) to kr 107.08 (bull case); at kr 157.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −48%, ASMDEE-B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 0.8865 per share, which is 1.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 301.62) versus Earnings-Based (kr 36.28). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
Notify me when ASMDEE-B reaches fair value
Put ASMDEE-B on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Asmodee Group AB (publ) engages in publishing and distribution of tabletop games. The company offers board games, trading card games, and various other type of games played on or around table. Its portfolio includes CATAN, Ticket to ride, Dobble/Spot-it!, 7 Wonders, and Exploding Kittens.
Full company description
Asmodee Group AB (publ) engages in publishing and distribution of tabletop games. The company offers board games, trading card games, and various other type of games played on or around table. Its portfolio includes CATAN, Ticket to ride, Dobble/Spot-it!, 7 Wonders, and Exploding Kittens. The company also establishes third-party licensing and/or distribution collaborations with entertainment franchises and third-party IP owners. Asmodee Group AB (publ) has strategic alliance with Chuck E. Cheese to bring the award-winning Spot It! game, known as Dobble, to life through an mmersive summer experience. It operates in Sweden, France, Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, rest of the Americas, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Boulogne-Billancourt, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Asmodee Group reported revenue of €1.7B in FY2025 versus €1.2B in FY2022, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was €27.7M in FY2025, compounding −36.5%/yr from FY2022.
ASMDEE-B screens 92% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Peer Group
Leisure · 190 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 82020 | HK$65.10 | HK$97.98 | +51% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$158.70 | HK$227.30 | +43% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $33.03 | $16.16 | −51% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $94.10 | $81.97 | −13% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $45.40 | $15.61 | −66% |
| Li Ning Company 82331 | HK$11.62 | HK$11.48 | −1% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $89.10 | $36.89 | −59% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥44.94 | ¥39.73 | −12% |
| Mattel, Inc MAT | $15.26 | $18.93 | +24% |
| Planet Fitness, Inc PLNT | $53.33 | $52.62 | −1% |
Compare Asmodee Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Asmodee Group (ASMDEE-B) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of ASMDEE-B?
What is the quality score of ASMDEE-B?
What is the revenue of Asmodee Group (ASMDEE-B)?
What is the net profit margin of ASMDEE-B?
Does Asmodee Group pay a dividend?
Watch Asmodee Group in the live analysis
One click puts Asmodee Group on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.