ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock (ASPI) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $841M · ISIN US00218A1051
What is ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 492% above our fair value of $0.7100.
As of Aug 14, 2026, the fair value of ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock is $0.7100 per share against a price of $4.20, so the fair value sits 83% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +3.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.8900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (17/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.4700 to $0.8900) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
46‑month range $0.3200 – $14.05 · fair‑value band $0.4700 – $0.8900 · the $4.20 price screens above the $0.7100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock (ASPI) currently trades at $4.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7100, implying the stock looks roughly 491.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $26.9M. Revenue grew 279.3% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $69.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.4700 (bear case) to $0.8900 (bull case); at $4.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −83%, ASPI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
ASP Isotopes Inc., a development stage advanced materials company, engages in the production, distribution, marketing, and sale of isotopes in South Africa,Hong Kong, and United States. It operates in two segments, Nuclear Fuels, and Specialist Isotopes and Related Services.
Full company description
ASP Isotopes Inc., a development stage advanced materials company, engages in the production, distribution, marketing, and sale of isotopes in South Africa,Hong Kong, and United States. It operates in two segments, Nuclear Fuels, and Specialist Isotopes and Related Services. The Nuclear Fuels segment focuses on the research and development of technologies and methods used to produce high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) and Lithium-6 for the advanced nuclear fuels target end market. Its Specialist Isotopes and Related Services segment engages in the research and development of technologies and methods used to separate high-value, low-volume isotopes, such as C-14, Mo-100 and Si-28, for target end markets, including pharmaceuticals and agrochemicals, nuclear medical imaging, and semiconductors; provision of related services; and operation of PET labs. The company offers the Aerodynamic Separation Process (ASP) technology, which separates gas species and isotopes in a volatile state; and the Quantum Enrichment (QE) technology, which separates isotopes. It also produces and commercializes Molybdenum-100, Molybdenum-98, and Ytterbium-176 for the nuclear medical industry. In addition, the company develops Zinc-68, Nickel-64, and Xenon-129/136 for the nuclear medical industry; Lithium-7, Uranium-235, and Chlorine-37 for the energy industry; and Germanium-70/72/74 for semiconductor markets. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2019 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $23.8M in FY2025 versus $22.6M in FY2019, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$175M in FY2025.
ASPI screens 492% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 340 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 | 49.50 SAR | 18.13 SAR | −63% |
| A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP | $849.00 | $203.64 | −76% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥24.49 | ¥20.17 | −18% |
| Dow Inc DOW | $30.51 | $21.03 | −31% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥41.32 | ¥21.62 | −48% |
| Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 | ¥13.76 | ¥2.39 | −83% |
| Zangge Mining Company 000408 | ¥78.04 | ¥20.99 | −73% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,855 IDR | 1,584 IDR | −15% |
| Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 | ¥52.53 | ¥16.17 | −69% |
| Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 | ¥18.87 | ¥17.09 | −9% |
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