Astarta Holding N.V. (AST) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Astarta Holding N.V. PLN 64.27, price PLN 36.90, upside +74.2%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Astarta Holding PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the agriculture, sugar production, cattle farming, soybean crushing, and bioenergy businesses in Ukraine, Switzerland, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
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Astarta Holding PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the agriculture, sugar production, cattle farming, soybean crushing, and bioenergy businesses in Ukraine, Switzerland, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It offers sugar, molasses, and sugar beet pulp granulated; feed corn, wheat, soybean, and Ukrainian rapeseeds and sunflower seeds; hydrated soybean oil, toasted soybean feed meal, and granulated soybean shell; millet, sunflower, mustard seed, and flax; and milk. The company is also involved in the sale of natural gas; trade and investment activities; asset and land management; storage services; research and development; and insurance. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Kyiv, Ukraine.
Stock analysis
Astarta Holding N.V. (AST) currently trades at 36.90 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 64.27 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 42.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 17.11 PLN per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the 36.90 PLN price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 14.19 PLN, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 44.45 PLN (bear) to 70.37 PLN (bull), the price of 36.90 PLN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Astarta Holding N.V. reported revenue of €472M in FY2025 versus €491M in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was €19.9M in FY2025, compounding −36.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.1B PLN (≈ $286M) · P/E ratio 175.7 · P/S ratio 7.42 · EPS (TTM) 0.2100 PLN · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity −0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 74%, AST screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 44.45 PLNFair Value 64.27 PLNBull 70.37 PLN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1542 PLN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.2% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+19.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18% vs −9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 11%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 296 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+74% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
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Is Astarta Holding N.V. (AST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 64.27 PLN versus a price of 36.90 PLN, about +74% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AST?
Our model-based fair value for Astarta Holding N.V. is 64.27 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 36.90 PLN.
What is the quality score of AST?
Astarta Holding N.V. has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 64.27 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 44.45 PLN, optimistic scenario 70.37 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Astarta Holding N.V. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 64.27 PLN, about +74% upside versus a price of 36.90 PLN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 44.45 PLN, optimistic scenario 70.37 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Astarta Holding N.V. pay a dividend?
Astarta Holding N.V. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.11% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Astarta Holding N.V. it is 64.27 PLN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 36.90 PLN. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Astarta Holding N.V. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AST trades below its calculated fair value: price 36.90 PLN, fair value 64.27 PLN, a gap of about +74% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AST?
No. The price is what the market pays today (36.90 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (64.27 PLN). For Astarta Holding N.V. the two are 27.37 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Astarta Holding N.V. worth?
The market values Astarta Holding N.V. at about 1.1B PLN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 36.90 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 64.27 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AST?
Our models span a range for Astarta Holding N.V.: cautious scenario 44.45 PLN, base 64.27 PLN, optimistic 70.37 PLN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 36.90 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AST?
Astarta Holding N.V. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 175.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 64.27 PLN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 0.5, P/S 0.0.
What is the PEG ratio of AST?
The PEG ratio of Astarta Holding N.V. is 0.25 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
Balance-sheet figures for Astarta Holding N.V. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.1%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AST from its 52-week high?
Astarta Holding N.V. trades at 36.90 PLN, about 35% below its 52-week high of 57.20 PLN and 6% above the low of 34.90 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 64.27 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Astarta Holding N.V.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Astarta Holding N.V. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 36.90 PLN, calculated fair value 64.27 PLN (+74%), Quality Score 40/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AST calculated?
We run Astarta Holding N.V. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 64.27 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Astarta Holding N.V. currently trades 74 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 36.90 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 64.27 PLN, about +74% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Astarta Holding N.V. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (44.45 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Astarta Holding N.V. (AST) come from?
Earnings per share at Astarta Holding N.V. grew +1.0 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.2 %, EBIT margin −9.1 %, tax rate −1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Astarta Holding N.V.
How large is the market capitalisation of Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
The market capitalisation of Astarta Holding N.V. is 1.1B PLN (≈ $286M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Astarta Holding N.V. is 7.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
Earnings per share at Astarta Holding N.V. are 0.2100 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 175.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
The dividend yield of Astarta Holding N.V. is 1.1% (payout 196%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
The net margin of Astarta Holding N.V. is 4.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Astarta Holding N.V. is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Astarta Holding N.V. is 14.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
Revenue at Astarta Holding N.V. is growing +23.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Astarta Holding N.V. (AST)?
Earnings per share at Astarta Holding N.V. are growing −94.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Astarta Holding N.V. (AST) generate?
The free cash flow of Astarta Holding N.V. is −€65.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Astarta Holding N.V. (AST) carry?
The net debt of Astarta Holding N.V. is €94.0M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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