Astarta Holding (AST) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · PL · Market cap 1.1B PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 16.20 PLN to 70.24 PLN (+333.6%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −3.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 62% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (55.64 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.82 PLN – 61.92 PLN · fair‑value band 55.64 PLN – 85.87 PLN · the 43.25 PLN price screens below the 70.24 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Astarta Holding (AST) currently trades at 43.25 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 70.24 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 62.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Astarta Holding generated revenue of 23.5B PLN at a net margin of -0.1%. Revenue grew 23.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.1%. Net debt stands at 94.0M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 55.64 PLN (bear case) to 85.87 PLN (bull case); at 43.25 PLN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 62%, AST screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (17.11 PLN) versus Earnings-Based (4.26 PLN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Astarta Holding PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the agriculture, sugar production, cattle farming, soybean crushing, and bioenergy businesses in Ukraine, Switzerland, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
Astarta Holding PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the agriculture, sugar production, cattle farming, soybean crushing, and bioenergy businesses in Ukraine, Switzerland, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It offers sugar, molasses, and sugar beet pulp granulated; feed corn, wheat, soybean, and Ukrainian rapeseeds and sunflower seeds; hydrated soybean oil, toasted soybean feed meal, and granulated soybean shell; millet, sunflower, mustard seed, and flax; and milk. The company is also involved in the sale of natural gas; trade and investment activities; asset and land management; storage services; research and development; and insurance. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Kyiv, Ukraine.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Astarta Holding reported revenue of 472M PLN in FY2025 versus 491M PLN in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was 19.9M PLN in FY2025, compounding −36.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch AST: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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