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Assystem S.A (ASY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · FR · Market cap €641M

AS Assystem S.A ASY · PA
Price€43.30
Fair Value€23.13
Upside-46.6%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.28% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/15)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range €14.15 – €23.56 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from €12.83 to €23.13 (+80.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€23.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€51.33 €20.45 Fair Value €23.13 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €20.45 – €51.33 · fair‑value band €14.15 – €23.56 · the €43.30 price screens above the €23.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Assystem S.A (ASY) currently trades at €43.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €23.13, implying the stock looks roughly 46.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Assystem S.A generated revenue of €657M at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue grew 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. Net debt stands at €89.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €14.15 (bear case) to €23.56 (bull case); at €43.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -47%, ASY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €19.32 €26.84 €35.83 80
Residual Income €13.13 €12.60 €9.74 76
Rev-Margin DCF €11.43 €17.30 €23.83 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €18.98 €27.33 €37.81 38
Owner Earnings €8.42 €12.89 €18.51 31
5Y Revenue Exit €11.43 €16.89 €23.42 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €17.10 €27.07 €38.17 41
5Y P/E Exit €9.66 €13.72 €17.64 38
10Y Revenue Exit €14.16 €19.41 €25.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €17.67 €25.73 €35.52 37
10Y P/E Exit €13.40 €17.44 €21.75 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €3.39 €8.48 €11.00 54
PEG = 1.0 €1.55 €2.21 €2.88 46
EPV €4.58 €5.72 €6.67 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €7.44 €12.40 €17.67 70
DDM Multi-Stage €7.44 €10.62 €13.61 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €7.86 €10.47 €13.09 63
P/S Multiple €6.36 €8.48 €10.60 58
P/B Multiple €6.36 €8.48 €10.60 55
EV/EBIT €11.01 €15.94 €20.87 53
EV/EBITDA €18.58 €26.02 €33.47 54
EV/Revenue €6.78 €11.30 €15.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €9.65 €12.93 €19.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €19.32 €26.84 €35.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF €11.43 €17.30 €23.83 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €13.13 €12.60 €9.74 76
ROIC Compounder €4.58 €5.72 €6.67 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €6.05 €8.65 €11.24 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€17.44) versus Earnings-Based (€5.72). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €657M
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.5%
Net margin 1.1%
Return on equity 2.2%
Free cash flow €37.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 88.2
More key figures
Operating margin 5.3%
EPS (TTM) €0.4900
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -10.8%
Net debt €89.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Assystem S.A. provides engineering and infrastructure project management services in France, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

Full company description

Assystem S.A. provides engineering and infrastructure project management services in France, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers siting, licensing, environmental services, system engineering and design, construction management and commissioning, and nuclear safety and risk, as well as project management office, project controls, project management consultancy consulting, and other consulting services. It also provides digital transformation consulting, engineering information systems, data as a source of value, 3D immersive technologies and tools, industrial control systems and cybersecurity, and security and site protection systems. It serves nuclear, hydrogen, renewables, grids, transportation, cities and territorial development, and defense sectors. In addition, the company offers decommissioning and waste processing, treatment, and storage services. The company was formerly known as AssystemBrime S.A. and changed its name to Assystem S.A. in June 2005. Assystem S.A. was founded in 1966 and is based in Courbevoie, France. Assystem S.A. is a subsidiary of HDL Development.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Assystem S.A reported revenue of €657M in FY2025 versus €445M in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was €7.4M in FY2025, compounding −31.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€657M
Latest YoY
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+1.4%
Revenue +10.2%/yr
FY21 €445M
FY22 €494M
FY23 €578M
FY24 €611M
FY25 €657M
Net income −31.8%/yr
FY21 €34.2M
FY22 €48.9M
FY23 €102M
FY24 €8.3M
FY25 €7.4M

ASY screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Assystem S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASY

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 88.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.59× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.13× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 19.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 36.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 11.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 33 · sector 18
PAST 9 · sector 26
HEALTH 87 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Assystem S.A (ASY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €23.13 versus a price of €43.30, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASY?
Our model-based fair value for Assystem S.A is €23.13 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €43.30.
What is the quality score of ASY?
Assystem S.A has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Assystem S.A (ASY)?
Assystem S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €657M (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ASY?
The net profit margin of Assystem S.A is about 1.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Assystem S.A pay a dividend?
Assystem S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.29% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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