ATM Grupa S.A (ATG) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · PL · Market cap 309M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 1.45 PLN to 1.78 PLN (+22.8%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −0.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.22 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (1.03 PLN to 2.22 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.22 PLN – 4.29 PLN · fair‑value band 1.03 PLN – 2.22 PLN · the 3.66 PLN price screens above the 1.78 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
ATM Grupa S.A (ATG) currently trades at 3.66 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.78 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 51.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, ATM Grupa S.A generated revenue of 323M PLN at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 22.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 9.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.03 PLN (bear case) to 2.22 PLN (bull case); at 3.66 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -51%, ATG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (7.49 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (2.30 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ATM Grupa S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a television and film production company in Poland, Europe, North America, Asia, and Australia. It operates through Television and Film Production; Management of Fixed Assets; Broadcasting; Real Estate Development Activity; Production of Computer Games; and Other Activities segments.
Full company description
ATM Grupa S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a television and film production company in Poland, Europe, North America, Asia, and Australia. It operates through Television and Film Production; Management of Fixed Assets; Broadcasting; Real Estate Development Activity; Production of Computer Games; and Other Activities segments. The company produces commercial and documentaries, music and current affairs shows, comedy and game shows, reality and thriller shows, political fiction shows, and feature films; sells programming licenses; organizes events; and operates Bielany Stage, which hosts performances of Polish theatre companies. It also offers postproduction services for films, such as media storage, film and sound editing, voice over recording, colour correction, and exporting media; rental services for film studio, OB vans, and production equipment and accessories, including cameras, lenses, lightning, and grip and sound equipment; back-office support, logistics, and creative services, as well as manages sound stages, warehouses, and offices. In addition, the company leases and manages real estate properties; develops and constructs residential and non-residential buildings; broadcasts television programs; and engages in entertainment and recreational activities. Further, it develops computer games and mobile applications; and provides advertising spaces and accounting office services. The company serves broadcasters and viewers. ATM Grupa S.A. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Bielany Wroclawskie, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ATM Grupa S.A reported revenue of 323M PLN in FY2025 versus 224M PLN in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was 37.2M PLN in FY2025, compounding +10.9%/yr from FY2021.
ATG screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Peer Group
Entertainment · 267 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.77 | C$2.96 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $96.30 | $89.55 | -7% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $26.87 | $9.13 | -66% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $178.44 | $46.89 | -74% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €18.91 | €14.78 | -22% |
| TKO Group TKO | $184.40 | $22.16 | -88% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 60.49 MXN | +10% |
| Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 | ¥11.77 | ¥10.97 | -7% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 456.00 IDR | 221.09 IDR | -52% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹298.25 | ₹63.45 | -79% |
Compare ATM Grupa S.A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Communication Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is ATM Grupa S.A (ATG) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of ATG?
What is the quality score of ATG?
What is the revenue of ATM Grupa S.A (ATG)?
What is the net profit margin of ATG?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track ATM Grupa S.A and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.